‘Anything that was good and true about Western civilization is preserved and thriving in Russia.’ And after a millennium of playing catch-up, she now has the dominant military heft and osmotic alliance with Iran and China to help craft new civilizational calculations.
By Pepe Escobar at Sputnik International.
A Holy of the Holies was shattered in the Holy Land as Iran staged a quite measured, heavily choreographed response to the Israeli terror attack against its consulate/ambassador residence in Damascus, a de facto evisceration of the Vienna Convention on diplomatic immunity.
This game-changer will directly interfere on how the Anglo-American system manages its simultaneous conflagration with Russia, China and Iran – three top BRICS members.
The key problem is escalations are already built in – and will be hard to remove. The Total Cancel War against Russia; the genocide in Gaza – with its explicit policy masterfully decoded by Prof. Michael Hudson; and the decoupling/shaping the terrain against China won’t simply vanish – as all communication bridges with the Global Majority keep being torched.
Yet the Iranian message indeed establishes a “New Equation” – as Tehran christened it, and prefigures many other surprises to come from West Asia.
Iran wanted to – and did send – a clear message. New equation: if the biblical psychopathic entity keeps attacking Iranian interests, from henceforth it will be counter-attacked inside Israel. All that in a matter of “seconds” – as the Security Council in Tehran has already cleared all the procedures.
Escalation though seems inevitable. Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak: “Netanyahu is influenced by his [fundamentalist] political partners to go into an escalation so he can hold onto power and accelerate the coming of the Messiah.”
Compare it to Iranian President Raisi: “The smallest act against Tehran’s interests will be met with a massive, extensive, and painful response against all its operations.”
(L) July 2019: IRGC Aerospace Force General Amirali Hajizadeh in a meeting with his Russian counterpart General “Armageddon” Surovikin before the Russia-Ukraine war: ‘Help us build our aerospace command force, and I will help you build Russia’s drone command force’ [01] [02] ; (R) April 10, 2024: After Imam Khamenei said Israel must be punished, a subtle smile appeared on the face of General Hajizadeh. [03] ; April 17, 2024: [04]
For Tehran, regulating the intensity of the clash in West Asia between Israel and the Axis of Resistance while simultaneously establishing strategic deterrence to replace “strategic patience” was a matter of launching a triple wave: a drone swarm opening the path for cruise missiles and ballistic missiles.
The performance of the much-vaunted Iron Dome, Arrow-3 and David’s Sling – aided by F-35 fighter jets and the US and the UK naval force – was not exactly stellar. There’s no video of the “outer-layer” Arrow-3 system shooting down anything in space.
At least 9 ballistic missiles penetrated the dense Israeli defense network and hit the Nevatim and Ramon bases. Israel is absolutely mum on the fate of its Golan Heights intel installation – hit by cruise missiles.
Amidst classic fog of war, it’s irrelevant whether Tehran launched hundreds or dozens of drones and missiles. Regardless of NATOstan media hype, what’s proven beyond the shadow of a doubt is that the supposedly “invincible” Israeli defense maze – ranging from US-made AD/ABM systems to Israeli knockoffs – is helpless in real war against a technologically advanced adversary.
What was accomplished by a single operation did raise quite a few professional eyebrows. Iran forced Israel to furiously deplete its stock of interceptors and spend at least $1.35 billion – while having its escalatory dominance and deterrence strategy completely shattered.
The psychological blow was even fiercer.
What if Iran had unleashed a series of strikes without a generous previous warning lasting several days? What if US, UK, France and – traitorous – Jordan were not ready for coordinated defense? (The – startling – fact they were all directly dispensing firepower on Tel Aviv’s behalf was not analyzed at all). What if Iran had hit serious industrial and infrastructural targets?
Establishing an Equation Without Disturbing a Pivot
Predictably, there has been less than zero debate across NATOstan about the sudden collapse of the Fortress Israel Myth – which underpins the larger myth of Zionism offering Impregnable Security for those living in Israel. No more. This narrative spin is D.O.A.
Iran, for its part, could not care less about what NATOstan spins. The shift towards the New Equation in fact was generous enough to offer Tel Aviv a de-escalation escape route – which will not be taken, at Israel’s peril.
For Tel Aviv, everything that happened so far spells out Strategic Defeat across the spectrum: in Gaza, in Lebanon, with the economy tanking, totally losing legitimacy around the world, and now with the added painful loss of deterrence.
All eyes are now on what may happen next: will it finally become clear whether the Hegemon prevails or whether Israel runs the “wag the dog” show?
It’s essential to consider the Russia-China strategic partnership view. The consensus among Chinese scholars is that the Hegemon prefers not to commit too many resources to West Asia, as this would affect the – already collapsing – Project Ukraine and the strategic planning to counter China in the Asia-Pacific.
When it comes to Russia, President Raisi personally called President Putin and they discussed all relevant details over the phone. Cool, calm and collected.
Additionally, later this week Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Ali Bagheri Kani – who said Iran will respond “within seconds” to any new Israeli attack – visits Moscow for the Conference on Nonproliferation and will also meet with the top echelons of the Russian Foreign Ministry.
It’s quite remarkable that Iran managed to establish the New Equation without disturbing its own pivot to Eurasia – after the collapse of the 2015 nuclear deal – while protecting the complex framework engaged in the defense of Palestine.
The Hegemon’s options are dire. They run from being eventually expelled from West Asia and the Persian Gulf to an unwinnable existential clash against three civilization-states – Russia, China, Iran.
What’s left as the number one feasible scenario is a carefully calculated retreat to an easily controlled backyard: Latin America, especially South America, manipulating new, convenient, sovereign-deprived asset Argentina.
And of course maintaining control over a de-industrialized and sovereignty-deprived Europe.
That does not change the fact that US power projection on the wane, globally, is the way the wind is blowing. The Straussian neocon psycho-dementia is unsustainable. The question is whether they can be progressively purged from the US power structure before they attempt to plunge the Global Majority into their irrational depths of doom.
And Don’t Forget the New BRICS Equation
By contrast, on the Global Majority front, over 40 nations want to join BRICS – and counting, according to the head of the Russian Council Committee on International Affairs, Grigory Karasin.
After a meeting of the chairmen of the international affairs committees of BRICS Parliaments last week in Moscow, Karasin noted how many BRICS member-nations understand that they should not rush to create a rigid charter, “seeing how counterproductive and even provocative the European Union is acting.” The name of the game is flexibility.
Alastair Crooke has touched on a key theme that runs through my new book, Eurasia v. NATOstan: “Anything that was good and true about Western civilization is preserved and thriving in Russia. This is the unspoken insight that so infuriates the western elites. And it is also why, in part, BRICS states so evidently look to Russia for leadership.”
The New Equation established by Iran, a sovereign BRICS member, will do wonders to solidify this – multilateral, multicultural – state of cooperation as the Empire and its “aircraft carrier” in West Asia, except in the covert ops department, are increasingly reduced to the role of a paper tiger.
This morning’s 8 minute interview on India’s premier English language global broadcaster was high level and covered a number of issues well outside the narrow confines of what Mr. Netanyahu may or may not do next. I expect many readers will find value in it.
gilbertdoctorow
Israel is now vowing to respond to Iran’s retaliatory attack, and while the Biden regime claims to have told Netanyahoo that the U.S. won’t aid in any offensive action, they are still promising to provide air defense… just like they did when Tehran retaliated for Israel’s deadly attack on the Iranian consulate in Syria.
Journalist and Editor-in-Chief of The Cradle, Sharmine Narwani, reported that an Iranian military security official revealed exclusively to The Cradle that the U.S. reached out and asked Iran to allow Israel “a symbolic strike to save face,” which was “outright rejected” and met with warnings that any attack from Israel targeting Iran will be met with immediate action.
~~~~~
Choreographed retaliations impacting Iran proper, or its interests anywhere else, as during the mild and lawful Round One Iranian barrage, were rejected by Iran for Round Two.
Iran warned ANY support of Zion’s aggression by the deranged West (such as needed aerial refueling and air defense) will bring retaliation on their bases throughout the region, and closing Hormuz, perhaps selectively a la Houthis?!
Zion is committed to regaining permanently lost deterrence. F-UKUS is committed to Zion. The circle is about to be squared
En suivant la rive de la rivière glacée Ukika, j’emprunte un sentier à travers un bois de Nothofagus, genre regroupant des espèces d’arbres à feuilles persistantes, parsemé d’amas de champignons orange de la forme et de la taille d’une balle de golf. Les branches constituent des écosystèmes miniatures, couverts de minuscules bryophytes, groupe de plantes comprenant les mousses, les marchantiophytes et les anthocérotes, et enchevêtrés d’un lichen nommé usnée barbue, aussi connu sous le nom de barbe de Jupiter, qui ondule à mon passage. Des racines sinueuses et des troncs tombés sur le sol quadrillent le chemin, tandis qu’un craquement sinistre se fait entendre lorsque la canopée s’agite sous l’effet d’un vent violent. Les alentours sont déserts, à l’exception d’un pic de Magellan (Campephilus magellanicus), dont la tête pourpre est dissimulée et les rapides coups de bec résonnent régulièrement au-dessus du vacarme environnant.
J’émerge finalement du Parque Municipal Ukika et j’observe la rivière traversant une plage de pierres et se jetant dans le canal de Beagle, du gris de la poudre à canon, qui serpente à travers la Terre de Feu, reliant les océans Atlantique et Pacifique. À ma droite se situe le hameau de Villa Ukika, où vit la petite communauté indigène Yahgan, et à ma gauche se trouve la périphérie de Puerto Williams, la ville la plus méridionale de la planète.
Au-dessous de la Patagonie, la pointe de l’Amérique du Sud se fragmente en un archipel d’îles, d’îlots, de caps et de péninsules traversés par des cours d’eau sinueux et drapés de forêts vert bouteille et de glaciers scintillants. Il s’agit de la Terre de Feu. Selon les légendes du peuple indigène Selk’nam, la topographie de la région aurait été façonnée par un jeune homme nommé Táyin : il « attrapa des pierres et les jeta violemment dans toutes les directions avec sa fronde ; là où celles-ci atterrirent, apparurent de grandes crevasses dans le sol qui se remplirent d’eau. »
Le nom poétique « Terre de Feu » a été inspiré des feux de joie allumés par le peuple Selk’nam, découvert par l’explorateur portugais Fernand de Magellan en 1520 alors qu’il tentait d’accomplir la première navigation autour du monde. Un demi-millénaire plus tard, cette région peu peuplée, partagée entre l’Argentine et le Chili, reste une terre sauvage. Ceci dit, de plus en plus de touristes se rendent dans le port argentin d’Ushuaïa, ancienne colonie pénitentiaire surnommée la « Sibérie du Sud » et aujourd’hui plus grande ville de la Terre de Feu, point de départ principal des croisières en Antarctique.
Toutefois, peu de voyageurs poursuivent leur route vers le sud en traversant le canal de Beagle, nommé d’après le navire qui transportait le jeune Charles Robert Darwin lors de son voyage historique autour de l’Amérique du Sud, jusqu’à l’île chilienne de Navarino, où se trouve Puerto Williams. Cette localité de 2 800 habitants, dont le statut a été élevé au rang de ville par le gouvernement chilien en 2019, se trouve à un peu plus de 2 400 kilomètres de la capitale, Santiago, mais à seulement à un peu moins de 1 080 kilomètres de l’Antarctique.
Puerto Williams n’est accessible que par avion ou par bateau et le fait qu’elle soit si reculée contribue largement à son attrait. Lors de ma première visite, avant la pandémie, je me suis lancé sur la route la plus longue. Je suis monté dans un bus au départ du port chilien de Punta Arenas, en Patagonie, puis j’ai traversé le détroit de Magellan en ferry jusqu’à la Grande île de la Terre de Feu, avant de continuer vers le sud, dans la partie argentine de la région, et d’arriver douze heures plus tard à Ushuaïa. Le lendemain, j’ai traversé le canal de Beagle en bateau, en longeant de tapageuses colonies de lions de mer affalés sur une chaîne d’îlots rocheux, pour atteindre le poste-frontière chilien de Puerto Navarino, où j’ai grimpé dans un minibus pour la dernière étape le long de la côte jusqu’à Puerto Williams.
Cette fois, j’opte pour l’option la plus rapide : un vol de trente minutes depuis Punta Arenas qui offre des vues spectaculaires sur le parc national Alberto de Agostini, recouvert de neige. Cette région a laissé sa marque dans l’esprit de Darwin qui, dans Voyage d’un naturaliste autour du monde, parle de jets d’eau jaillissant de bancs de baleines, d’un climat orageux et d’un paysage de « magnifiques glaciers qui s’étendent du flanc de la montagne jusqu’au bord de l’eau » : « Il n’est guère possible d’imaginer quelque chose de plus beau que le bleu béryl de ces glaciers. »
Sur la rive sud du canal de Beagle, adossée aux pentes couvertes de forêts denses et aux pics enneigés en dents de scie de la chaîne des Dientes de Navarino, Puerto Williams constitue la capitale officielle de la province de l’Antarctique chilien mais elle conserve l’aspect et l’atmosphère d’une petite ville. Construite en tant que base navale dans les années 1950, dans une région longtemps habitée par des communautés du peuple Yahgan, elle compte un quartier d’impeccables maisons blanchies à la chaux destinées au personnel militaire et à leur famille, qui représente environ la moitié de la population, ainsi qu’une extension composée de maisons pour les civils, dépareillées, disposant de grandes antennes paraboliques, de piles de bois de chauffage et, souvent, d’un chien au poil hirsute.
Dans un rayon de soleil de fin d’après-midi, je flâne dans les rues calmes et balayées par le vent, passant devant des églises aux murs de bois, des groupes de bâtiments municipaux, une petite école, quelques magasins et restaurants simples, la plupart fermés, et une poignée de maisons d’hôte. Les vaches et les chevaux se promènent librement, broutant sur les pelouses mouchetées de marguerites. Les portes d’entrée ne sont pas fermées à clé, la criminalité n’étant qu’un lointain souvenir dans ces régions. En effectuant une pause sur une promenade en bois surplombant le canal de Beagle, je contemple un pétrel tempête (Hydrobates pelagicus) tournoyant au-dessus de deux bateaux de pêche revenant avec une prise de crabes royaux de très grande taille.
Après avoir dégusté les délicieux crustacés au dîner dans un restaurant décoré de bibelots nautiques, je discute avec Anna Baldinger, qui travaille à l’Hotel Fio Fio, la maison d’hôte où je séjourne. Elle a quitté son Autriche natale pour venir enseigner à Puerto Williams, avant de tomber amoureuse d’un habitant et de la Terre de Feu en elle-même. « Puerto Williams, c’est comme être dans une bulle : les gens le considèrent comme le village du bout du monde », explique-t-elle.
La ville n’a peut-être que soixante-dix ans mais cette région est habitée par des communautés du peuple Yahgan depuis des millénaires, comme en témoignent les sites archéologiques disséminés dans la campagne environnante. L’anthropologue Maurice Van de Maele, propriétaire de l’Hotel Fio Fio, m’indique que Navarino est l’un des endroits les plus denses au monde sur le plan archéologique, estimant qu’il pourrait y avoir jusqu’à 2 000 sites sur l’île. Il s’agit notamment de tas d’ordures liés à une activité humaine préhistorique et de dépressions circulaires, vestiges d’anciens abris, que j’aperçois en nombre sur le trajet depuis Puerto Navarino.
Maurice Van de Maele est un ancien directeur du musée local, anciennement connu sous le nom de musée anthropologique Martin Gusinde. Il a été rebaptisé Museo Territorial Yagan Usi - Martín González Calderón afin de reconnaître l’héritage indigène de la région, longtemps négligé. Située à l’extrémité ouest de Puerto Williams, cette institution qui ne passe pas inaperçue dispose sur son terrain d’un imposant squelette de baleine blanchi par le soleil. À l’intérieur, le musée offre un aperçu fascinant de la culture du peuple Yahgan grâce à des objets tels que des harpons en os finement sculptés, des bijoux de toute beauté et des canoës en bois construits de main de maître.
Il met également en lumière les ravages subis par les peuples indigènes lors de la colonisation de la Terre de Feu à la fin du 19e et au début du 20e siècle, une période qui a attiré des vagues de missionnaires, de chercheurs d’or et d’éleveurs de moutons venus du Chili, d’Argentine et d’ailleurs.
Cette partie de la Terre de Feu peut sembler intemporelle mais le changement est à venir. Lors de ma visite à Puerto Williams, je ne croise qu’une douzaine de touristes, dont la plupart viennent faire de la randonnée, observer les oiseaux, pêcher la truite sauvage ou simplement faire l’expérience de la vie au « bout du monde ». D’autres sont toutefois en chemin : les navires de croisière en Antarctique font désormais escale plus régulièrement, amenant des centaines de passagers vêtus de vestes assorties. Un appontement polyvalent moderne, capable d’accueillir de plus grands navires, est actuellement en train d’être bâti. C’est également le cas d’un grand hôtel. Le petit aéroport de Puerto Williams, quant à lui, est en cours de modernisation, avec notamment la construction d’un nouveau terminal pour les passagers.
Cette dernière constitue l’un des nombreux projets d’infrastructures actuellement menés en Terre de Feu. L’asphalte de la route la plus au sud du pays, la Y-905, s’arrête juste à l’est de Puerto Williams, près de Villa Ukika. Il est substitué par du gravier sur les vingt derniers kilomètres qui mènent à Caleta Eugenia, un ranch isolé appartenant à la marine chilienne. Il est cependant question de prolonger la route jusqu’à Puerto Toro, le village habité qui est le plus au sud du monde et qui n’est actuellement accessible que par bateau. Un centre de recherche scientifique de pointe, le Centro Subantártico Cabo de Hornos, a également ouvert ses portes récemment dans la ville. Perchée au sommet d’une colline, à l’est du centre, cette structure de verre et de béton, dotée de sa propre éolienne, ressemble vaguement à un vaisseau spatial.
Néanmoins, lorsque je marche vers l’ouest depuis Puerto Williams, toute inquiétude concernant le surdéveloppement s’évanouit rapidement. Je ne croise personne sur le chemin qui mène au sommet du Cerro Bandera, soit la « colline du drapeau », culminant à près de 610 mètres d’altitude, un sentier abrupt en lacets qui monte à travers une forêt de hêtres et représente la première étape du circuit des Dientes de Navarino, un trek épique d’un peu plus de 53 kilomètres. Peu à peu, les arbres se raréfient, avec des troncs de plus en plus rabougris et courbés, comme s’ils tiraient leur révérence, avant de disparaître complètement au sommet, laissant place à une toundra austère.
J’y trouve un drapeau chilien accroché à un mât. Le terrain rocailleux est parsemé de plantes en coussinet à croissance lente et de tertres verts, tels des tables de billard, et sillonné par de rubans de neige. Au nord, le canal de Beagle est moucheté de blanc et, au sud, les Dientes de Navarino percent le ciel. Il n’y a aucune autre âme qui vive. Dans cet endroit retiré magnifique, le vent souffle presque sans interruption et la température est en chute libre.
Me rappelant qu’il ne s’agit pas réellement d’un sommet, j’enfile une autre couche de base et je continue. Je suis pendant encore quarante minutes un chemin longeant une succession de cairns jusqu’à ce que j’atteigne une crête offrant des vues panoramiques, surpassant d’une certaine manière ce que j’ai pu voir jusqu’à présent et donnant sur un lac glaciaire entouré de pics enneigés. Mes mains sont engourdies par le froid et le grésil, abrasif, m’irrite la peau du visage, mais je ne peux m’empêcher de sourire en me remémorant ma conversation de la veille avec Anna. « Quand on arrive au sommet du Cerro Bandera, il n’y a aucune âme qui vaille », m’avait-elle révélé. « Le reste du monde semble bien loin. »
Comment s’y rendre :
Aerovías DAP assure la liaison entre Punta Arenas et Puerto Williams en un peu plus d’une heure.
Cet article a initialement paru sur le site nationalgeographic.com en langue anglaise.
Le Fonds monétaire international (FMI) a relevé ses prévisions de croissance du PIB russe en 2024 à 3,2 % (2,6
L’article Le FMI relève les prévisions de croissance du PIB russe pour 2024 est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Les États-Unis ont déployé pour la première fois des systèmes de missiles à moyenne portée au sol dans la région
L’article Les États-Unis déploient des missiles Typhon en Asie malgré les avertissements russes est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Les États-Unis ont l’intention d’introduire prochainement de nouvelles sanctions contre l’Iran dans le contexte de son attaque contre Israël, a
L’article Washington prépare des sanctions contre l’Iran après son attaque contre Israël est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
The Russia-Iran Strategic Partnership Edition.
A Poem..
Duma Deputy Chairman Piotr Tolstoy, on top of his competence and gallantly carrying THAT name, is also fluent in French:
His poem, in English:
“In the garden of friendship blooms the noble cause,
Hand in hand, the hearts in osmosis.
Every gesture, every word sows hope,
Illuminates the shadows, removes darkness.
United, our dreams weave a sweeter tomorrow.”
Added translation: Russia supporting Iran – way beyond BRICS+ and SCO ties – mirroring Israel’s position on country 404.
April 17
Ali Bagheri Kani meeting Qassem Soleimani
Tomorrow, the same Iranian deputy foreign minister who two days ago said, “Iran will respond within seconds in case of a new attack by Israel,” will be in Moscow. Meanwhile, much vain huffing and puffing in the media, as Anglo-Zionists figure out the best way to commit an emphatic, ostentatious suicide — befitting their Exceptional station.
@Sputnik Africa:
Iran Deputy Foreign Minister to visit Moscow on April 18-20, Russian Foreign Ministry says
“On April 18-20, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Ali Bagheri Kani will be in Moscow on a visit to participate in the Moscow Conference on Nonproliferation,” the ministry told Sputnik.
Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister is expected to hold several meetings with the leadership of the Russian Foreign Ministry in Moscow, the ministry added.
@Middle East Spectator: Engrained in history, Arab traitors.
@DDGeopolitics:
There is currently a fire at the US Army’s ammunition plant in Scranton Pennsylvania.
This is where much of the United States’ conventional artillery ammunition is manufactured.
Before anyone says ‘Russian sabotage’ just remember the state of the plant per the picture in this post.
[An already aging MIC workforce, and inadequate capacity to the overstretched ambition, now loses precious factory space…]
A family from Russian Saratov found their grandmother in Avdeevka – they’d lost contact with her back in 2014!
The granddaughter saw her grandmother Lyudmila in the footage from the liberated town, and the volunteers helped organize their reunion. |video|
@Sputnik Africa:
Three more African countries withdraw J&J baby syrup after toxicity reports
Drug regulators in Zimbabwe, Rwanda and Tanzania have announced the recall of a shipment of Benylin baby syrup made by the US-based Johnson & Johnson unit Kenvue, following similar actions by South Africa and Nigeria over alleged toxicity.
Nigeria’s health authority found dangerously high levels of diethylene glycol in children’s cough syrup last week, a toxic substance that can cause severe symptoms including abdominal pain, vomiting, and kidney injury, potentially leading to death.
Johnson & Johnson has previously faced scrutiny in Africa for the alleged harmful effects of its products. Last year, Rwanda’s FDA recalled the company’s baby powder over cancer risk concerns.
Yesterday’s 24 minute Spotlight program was rather like a three-way conversation with the Teheran based moderator Marzieh Hashemi and Canada based fellow panelist, Yves Engler. The moderator was pitching to us the official Iranian position on what was achieved and sought our agreement or disagreement, as the case may be.
The main points in the official position are that the Iranian attack was justified under the terms of the UN Charter article 51 regarding each state’s right to self-defense; that the attack was intended to send a clear message to Israel that Iranian missiles can penetrate its Iron Dome and reach their designated targets, and that Teheran intentionally kept destruction to a minimum by giving advance notice of the attack and concentrating on two military sites while sparing civilians
See https://www.urmedium.net/c/presstv/129174
Transcript below by a reader
Marzieh Hashemi 0:21
Hello, and welcome to PressTV Spotlight. I’m Marzieh Hashemi. Thanks so much for being with us. Well, Iran, in an impressive display of strength, accuracy and technological prowess, sent hundreds of drones and missiles towards the Zionist-occupied territories during its retaliatory operation against the regime. Despite the Iron Dome and help from the United States, the UK, France and Jordan, in shooting down the drones, the Iranian missiles hit their targets, which were two bases, the Neverton military base and the Ramon Air Base were hit with accuracy. The paradigm in the region has been changed. What does it mean for the regime, the region, and the world? Stay with us as we take a look at all of this on the Spotlight.
I’d like to welcome my guests to the program. Out of Montreal, Yves Engler, author and political activist. And out of Brussels, Gilbert Doctorow, independent international affairs analyst.
Well thank you both for being with me. Let’s start this off in Montreal. And Yves, well, Iran’s retaliatory operation was initiated due to the Israeli regime’s attack on Iran’s consular section of the embassy in Damascus on April the 1st. Now. Tehran has cited Article 51, the Charter of the United Nations, and its right to self-defense. Your assessment of Iran’s right to have carried out this strike?
Yves Engler 1:58
Well, I’m not a lawyer or an expert in international law, but clearly Israel violated Iranian sovereignty in murdering a number of Iranian officials, including top generals, two weeks ago. So– and Israel has, of course, you know, killed many Iranians in Syria over recent years and also even is alleged to have been behind a whole series of operations within Iran that have killed different officials over the years. So, I think that it’s clear that Israel violated international law, and it seems at least a plausible argument that Iran had the right, according to international law, to respond to Israel’s aggression. So, you know, again, I’m not a lawyer, but on the surface of it, it seems that Iran obviously had a right to respond to Israel’s crass, brazen violation of international law.
Marzieh Hashemi: 3:09
Okay. Well, Gilbert, there are major attempts now to downplay the success of Iran’s True Promise operation. What is your perspective regarding the operation and the overall effectiveness of the strike?
Gilbert Doctorow 3:24
I think the operation has to be looked at on two levels, tactical and strategic. It was the tactical level, at a minimum, the Iranian attack provided important intelligence information to Iran on the components and the location of those components in the Israeli Iron Dome and air defense levels, because they have several different systems in operation. At the tactical level, the mission was disputed, as you have noted, that Iran claimed success in hitting its two military objects that were essential to its retaliatory response, whereas Western media tend to ignore or even to deny that any significant damage was done. That remains to be appraised in the future.
However, the very fact that Iran responded in this way, that in the first time ever in its history has directly struck the territory of Israel, thus sent a message through the whole community in the Middle East, which has a strategic level of importance, namely the clear warning that Iran issued, and that has to be taken seriously given the actions of this past weekend, is the warning that it made to other Gulf states, and in particular states which are home to American military bases and operational centers such as Bahrain is.
And these warnings were that if you facilitate the counter-attack that one may expect or think will happen from Israel in response to this weekend’s massive drone and ballistic missile and cruise missile attack on Israel– if you facilitate an Israeli response, we will bomb you. The fact is that none of the players in the news wants to be brought into the war directly. And so what has happened as a consequence of this exercise by Iran, a limited exercise over the weekend, is that the neighbors are withdrawing their permission for the United States to operate and to use the airspace of these countries to support Israel in any future counterattack.
Now, that is something that Iran has strived to achieve over decades, and it seems to have been achieved in one weekend. So at a tactical level, there may be disputes over what was actually done on the ground. There is no dispute that Iran showed it is capable of, self-confident in pursuing a military confrontation with Israel, if that is what has to happen. And at a strategic level, it has changed the game in the Middle East, because all the neighboring states have backed away from the United States.
Marzieh Hashemi: 6:43
OK. Well, Yves, no country has dared to attack inside of the Israeli regime, to the Western hegemonic front’s unwavering support for the regime. But Iran chose to do it, and has been effective. Now, your thoughts on the overall attack, and is it a game changer? Iran was able to penetrate several layers of defense from the regime itself and also from the United States, France, the UK and Jordan. That in itself is extremely effective. Your thoughts?
Yves Engler: 7:23
Well, I agree with my co-panelist’s assessment to a large extent. I think this is significant. There’s a kind of two different angles being done in the Canadian and Western media. On one hand, saying that Iran has drastically escalated things, and then at the same time saying that Iran has been unsuccessful, which is a little bit in contradiction with each other. So, you know, whether this is going to be a game changer for the region, I’m a little bit hesitant on that front. I think that … I’m made scared by the situation, because I think that there really are fanatics in charge of the Israeli government and military.
And I think that even if the U.S. and others have tried to warn Israel to not do something really crazy in response, I think there’s a decent chance that the Netanyahu government will do a– launch something that is a huge escalation from an already tense situation, and that could spiral into something even bigger. But I think that to me, the hope here is that Israel is restrained in terms of its response to Iran, and also that Israel and the other countries in the region that have, like Jordan for instance, that, you know, helped shoot down drones, that this puts a whole lot of pressure on that government to do more to end the genocide in Gaza, and that Israel is put more on the back foot in its policy in Gaza. But at this point, I don’t think it’s clear, you know, what the Israeli reaction is going to be, and if the most crazy elements of the Israeli government will be restrained.
Marzieh Hashemi: 9:45
Hmm. Okay, well, Gilbert, Iran says its goals of the operation were deterring, punishing, and warning the Zionist regime. Do you think that it reached its goals?
Gilbert Doctorow: 9:58
I think it has. Of course, we’ll know in the coming days whether the Israeli government acts rationally or pursues an emotional response that is self-destructive. It has been stated in the Western press that the Iranian attack was the largest-in-scale use of drones and other missiles to a single day. This was 320 or something like that, missiles and other objects sent away to Israel. However, let’s look at the numbers. This is a numbers game. And you have to consider that the potential of Iran to deliver a devastating or more than one devastating attack on the very compact geography of Israel is overwhelmingly clear.
The numbers of missiles in the Iranian inventory– including the most recent, most modern, and most destructive missiles that number several thousand– can be as many as 10,000. So in this respect, what happened over the weekend was only indicative and a warning of what can come. There is no way that a massive, genuinely massive, missile strike against Israel can be turned back by an Iron Dome or any other air defense system. So in this context any action by Israel that wants to be a macho is going to be self-destructive.
Marzieh Hashemi: 11:44
Okay, well your thoughts about that, Yves, because if, according to Gilbert, if the Israeli regime understands that any action they will take will be self-destructive– because I want to go back to what you said, and when you talked about the regime and the possibility of actually now them initiating an attack. But how logical would that be, when even Iran has not used its more sophisticated missiles, but still were able to penetrate?
Now Iran is saying that it did not want to cause any major damage, it wanted to send a message, and it sent that message by hitting those two bases. It also did not want to hit any civilian areas, which perhaps can be a lesson for the Israeli regime. Your thoughts on that side of things.
Yves Engler: 12:35
Well, I think the Israelis are caught, because the Israelis want to– this, you know, psycho power that unleashes far more destruction on anyone else than is ever committed on them is part of their whole raison d’etre, how they operate. And obviously we see that in Gaza, that in response to the October 7th, they feel the need to demonstrate how violent and try to scare the whole region. So Israel wants to operate like that. So I think the general ethos from the Israeli government is going to be to respond in that way. And also, I think the fact that they are failing in their stated objectives in Gaza, in that they haven’t got the hostages and Hamas is still able to operate, that that makes them want to lash out even more.
But I agree that the likely response, if Israel does go, let’s call it crazy, in its response to Iran, then there’s going to be a lot of damage in Israel. And the Israeli public is, you know, their little bubble’s going to burst. The reality is, even despite October 7th, Israelis have lived a fairly quiet existence while occupying and brutalizing Palestinians. But, you know, I wouldn’t, unfortunately, I wouldn’t put it past the Netanyahu government to pursue something that’s on the very escalatory side of a response. I would assume there’s going to be some response from Israel. I don’t think Israel is going to be able to not respond in any way.
But, yeah, I mean, I think that the Israeli military and the Israeli government are caught in a difficult position from their standpoint, in that they want to be the bully that gets to do all the killing and gets to do all the damage and not have any impact or very little impact on Israeli society. And now they’ve been confronted with the fact that much of Israel could be destroyed if they try to, you know, keep up that that bully posture.
Marzieh Hashemi: 15:15
Hmm. Well Gilbert, Iran has said that they have not shown the most of their ability. They just wanted to send this message and serve as a deterrent. However, that if the Israeli regime continues with its aggression, that it will definitely respond in much harsher ways inside of the regime. Your thoughts about, first of all, what Iran is saying, and second of all, how likely can that serve as a deterrent in itself?
Gilbert Doctorow: 15:51
Well, the Israelis are very dependent on the United States and other allies to enable their very powerful armed forces, to maintain that posture of strength. And as the warning of Iran regarding how it will behave, should there be a forceful Israeli response to this latest weekend’s events, that has, as I said, frightened the neighborhood and sobered up the neighborhood, so that they are stepping away from the United States.
But Mr. Biden has urged caution on Israel. It is not a matter of his humanitarian disposition. It is a realization that American bases in the neighborhood are hostage to Israeli actions. And the head of the regional operational center for the United States is under threat. The base of the 5th Fleet is under threat, under massive threat that Iran can carry out, depending on what the Israelis do next.
Now if we have to look at what the Israelis would like to do, what Netanyahu would like to do, we don’t have to guess. He has talked about it for the last five or ten years. He would like to destroy the alleged Iranian nuclear program, that is, weaponry. And here Mr. Netanyahu is totally dependent on American support. Because the facilities in Iran are at a great distance from Israel, and Israeli planes can achieve missions only with the help of American tanker planes. Mr. Biden would have to then be in the midst of any Israeli attack and it’s hardly credible that he will do that now, given the vulnerability of American assets in the region.
So what Israelis could do, how they could realize their dreams, it is unforeseeable, it is improbable that their dreams can be fulfilled, that they can do damage of a great significance to Iran. Iran is vastly larger, it is ten times bigger in population. It is inconceivable that Israel could deliver a damage to Iran that would not be immediately turned into destruction of Israel. So I think that however hotheads may exist in the Israeli cabinet– there are at least two of them who are quite prominent in their rabid remarks– I don’t think that they can prevail against the common sense and the sense of self-preservation of their colleagues.
Marzieh Hashemi: 19:01
Well, your thoughts, Yves, on the significance of the United States not getting involved and coming so far to the aid of the Zionists to attack Iran. Gilbert pointed out some points, but I’d like to hear your perspective.
Yves Engler: 19:14
Well, I mean, the U.S. did help in shooting down and destroying some of the drones and missiles. So the U.S. has provided help, and they, of course, provide innumerable forms of support to the Israeli military at all times, and intelligence and weapons, et cetera, et cetera. Whether they will enable, directly enable Israel to strike nuclear facilities in Iran, I would venture to guess they won’t. I agree with that. You know, we don’t know, the U.S. tried to say they had no role in the attack on April 1st. I don’t know if that’s correct or not. In a direct sense, it may be correct, but you know, indirectly, there’s so many ways in which they enabled Israeli military and also the fact that they failed to condemn the attack, you know, a sort of tacit endorsement of what Israel did.
I think the U.S. is divided. Also, I think this is, you know, one of the things that Israel obviously wants to draw the U.S. into fighting Iran as much as possible, and I don’t think it’s just around destroying, you know, alleged nuclear program. I think they would probably like– Israel would like to see the U.S. just, you know, destroy Iran generally, but– and certainly, you know, destroy as much of its military as possible. I still think that the, you know, Biden is so wildly pro-Israel and there’s so many of the upper echelons of his administration that are so wildly pro-Israel– and so much of the Republican and the political culture in the U.S. is so pro-Israel– I think there’s still a possibility here that Israel does something, you know, very aggressive in its response and the U.S. is sucked into defending Israel and fighting Iran in a more, in a direct sense.
So, I think that that’s definitely a possibility. And it’s just so many ways in which all that can escalate, too. I mean, you know, the more bombings in Syria, and there’s obviously Russian forces in Syria, and you can draw in, obviously, you know, Hezbollah will be part of this. But there’s a lot of ways in which this can escalate quite quickly. But I don’t think that, I wouldn’t put it past the fact that the Biden administration will end up being directly involved against Iran on behalf of Israel.
Marzieh Hashemi: 21:58
Your thoughts, Gilbert, on where this could go. Because on the one hand, we have the resistance front and their allies. We’re looking at, of course, the traditional resistance front. We also have Russia and China now coming out and supporting Iran’s right to initiate that retaliatory attack. I mean, your overall assessment of where this can go at this point in time.
Gilbert Doctorow: 22:25
Well, it can go in all directions, and it can take us to very dramatic change in global economics. Iran has many possibilities of defending itself and imposing enormous pain on those who attack it. Last week, we all learned about the taking of a merchant vessel, a container vessel, Israeli-owned, in the Straits of Hormuz, and it’s being directed to Iranian port. The Straits of Hormuz are under close watch of Iran, which has ground to naval vessel attack missiles capable of closing the straits and strangling the global movement of natural gas and oil.
That is to say, the amount of pain that any of Iran’s enemies can think of imposing on Iran is held in check by the reality of the pain that Iran can impose on the world at large. So I am skeptical that this will go off in a wild direction, since all parties are aware of what I just said. However, tit-for-tat, at a less than awful level, are foreseeable or possible, and I sincerely hope that the conflict will remain contained.
Marzieh Hashemi: 24:14
Okay. And on that note, I thank both of you for being with me here on the Spotlight. Yves Engler, author and political activist out of Montreal. Gilbert Doctorow, independent international affairs analyst out of Brussels. And thank you viewers for being with us on another Spotlight, I’m Marzieh Hashemi, signing out for myself and all the crew right here in Tehran. Hope to see you right here next time.
24:35
Translation below into German (Andreas Mylaeus)
Gespräch mit Press TV über die Ergebnisse des Angriffs auf Israel vom Wochenende: Spotlight 15.04.24
Die gestrige 24-minütige Spotlight-Sendung glich eher einem Dreiergespräch mit der in Teheran ansässigen Moderatorin Marzieh Hashemi und ihrem in Kanada lebenden Gesprächspartner Yves Engler. Die Moderatorin legte uns die offizielle iranische Position zu den Errungenschaften dar und bat um unsere Zustimmung oder Ablehnung, je nachdem.
Die wichtigsten Punkte in der offiziellen Stellungnahme sind, dass der iranische Angriff gemäß Artikel 51 der UN-Charta, der das Recht jedes Staates auf Selbstverteidigung betrifft, gerechtfertigt war; dass der Angriff eine klare Botschaft an Israel senden sollte, dass iranische Raketen den Iron Dome durchdringen und die vorgesehenen Ziele erreichen können, und dass Teheran die Zerstörung absichtlich auf ein Minimum beschränkte, indem es den Angriff im Voraus ankündigte und sich auf zwei militärische Einrichtungen konzentrierte, während die Zivilbevölkerung verschont wurde.
Siehe https://www.urmedium.net/c/presstv/129174
gilbertdoctorow
Garland Nixon interviews Laith Marouf — West Asia update — on a seismic week which changed our world. Le roi est mort, vive le roi!
Iran’s retaliation is historic for Palestine, the region, our world. Zio-USUK suffered a strategic defeat, on top of moral defeat of Gaza
the regional war has moved from non-state actors to state-on-state [with the implications of aligned alliances a la 1914]
Iran forced Anglo-Zionist-NATO alliance to reveal their air defenses (AD), including radars, locations, capabilities, occult allies (GCC), tactics, etc. It made clear Franco-Brits are vassals; the combined West is a totalitarian Empire under a single diktat, for those oblivious the last six months of Genocide…
Iran has started bleeding both their budgets/treasure ($3+ BILLION cost in a few hours!) and air defense interceptors/warjets wear & tear/munitions through massive unprecedented swarm of cheap drones
Iran demonstrated, in addition to precision of its older drones/missiles (! Thx Comrades BeiDou & GLONASS), significant deterrence
Israel demonstrated its survival is dependent on combined West – demoted to abject vassal like Bahrain from its former optical strut
even this western defense is proven worthless, as in 404. US funded and part-built air defenses were thoroughly exposed.
as they proved they could take down western AD using older drones and Scuds, in real war they would rapidly degrade airbases and hardware required for the sole remaining advantage of Anglo-Zionists – air power; Hamas has exposed ground war inadequacy and Houthis the lost naval force projection.
Everything in Israel today exists by Grace of Iran (!!!). It can be leveled
Hezbollah today salted the wounded by blasting another “Iron” Dome AD complex in north occupied Palestine
during the Iranian aerial slap, Netanyahoo hid in the Jerusalem bunker of the messianic Jewish billionaire funding the Red Heifer sacrifice, destruction of Al Aqsa Masjid and building of the Third Temple on its ruins. The crazed want Armageddon. The Danger remains
A lesson learned by multipolar Global Majority during this measured & mild Iranian deterrence action: the US will need to bring all its forces for zionazi proxy to have a chance! Thus dominoes will quickly fall everywhere else, whether 404, Korea, etc.. [unfortunately, this INCREASES risk of total West Asian war.. all now have a vested interest in finishing off the Last Satanic Empire in such a distant and predictable weak theater, also given its tenuous logistics and abject emotional messianic devotion. iow, an emotional albatross]
As Houthis have same weaponry as Iran, they are shown to have pulled their punches in Red Sea.. more proof of imperial lunacy to keep fighting a lost war, merely for optics
if USUK persist, they will end up third world countries at the end of this mad devotion to Zion [AHH: actually, a best case scenario at this point]
Jordanian compradore regime will soon cease to exist; its fate is linked to zionism now
the Arab region now plans for the day after collapse of Zion, and eviction of USUK (provided we’re still alive); this is not merely Greater Syria but other natural agglomerations which used to exist prior to arrival of West or even Turks
Garland: the strike on Israel was an Exclamation Point of the [arrival] of the Multipolar World
Avec ses plus de 656 millions d’habitants, l’Amérique latine est une vaste région dans laquelle de nombreux peuples et cultures d’Europe, d’Afrique, des Amériques et du monde entier sont venus s’installer au fil des siècles. L’espagnol et le portugais, qui constituent les vestiges de deux superpuissances rivales, y sont les langues dominantes. Les anciennes civilisations du sous-continent, comme celles des Aztèques, des Incas et des Mayas, sont encore bien présentes au travers des collections archéologiques de ses musées, mais aussi des spectacles vivants de ses carnavals, parades et célébrations religieuses, tels que le Jour des Morts et le culte de déesses comme Yemanjá, venues de la côte ouest de l’Afrique.
La vie nocturne, les activités culturelles et les progrès politiques en matière de droits des personnes de la communauté LGBTQ+ sont tout particulièrement visibles dans les grandes villes de la région. De nombreux touristes du monde entier viennent ainsi pour profiter du style Beaux-Arts des rues de Buenos Aires, mais aussi des rivages dorés de la côte Caraïbe et des inoubliables paysages montagneux qui sont accolés au Pacifique, et créent ainsi des conditions idéales pour les amateurs de surf.
L’Argentine compte parmi les nations les plus avancées du monde en matière de droits des personnes LGBTQ+. Le pays a adopté une loi autorisant le mariage entre personnes de même sexe en 2010, soit trois ans avant la France. Parsemée d’architecture française marquée par le style Beaux-Arts, sa capitale, Buenos Aires, devrait constituer le point de départ de toute aventure argentine. Les visiteurs pourront y explorer des centaines de librairies, dont la plus célèbre, El Ateneo Grand Splendid, construite dans un ancien théâtre, mais aussi y trouver des cafés, des musées et un somptueux opéra. N’hésitez pas à arpenter ses nombreuses rues, telles que l’immense et emblématique Avenida 9 de Julio.
Où passer ses soirées en Argentine ?
Buenos Aires renferme l’une des meilleures vies nocturnes LGBTQ+ du sous-continent. Les soirées ne commencent qu’après minuit et les rues restent animées jusqu’à bien après le lever du soleil. Le Club Amerika, dans le quartier d’Almagro, est la plus grande boîte de nuit de la ville ainsi qu’un lieu important des soirées queers. El Lugar Gay, un petit hôtel économique réservé aux hommes, est situé dans le quartier historique de San Telmo, connu pour son marché d’antiquités du dimanche et ses spectacles de tango.
Où découvrir la culture argentine ?
Bien que controversée en Argentine, Eva Perón, plus connue sous le nom d’Evita, l’ancienne première dame, reste l’une des figures les plus célèbres et charismatiques du pays. Le Museo Evita, situé au sein de l’élégant quartier de Palermo, explore le mythe, le mystère, la légende et la garde-robe de cette icône gay, incarnée à l’écran et sur scène par Madonna, Patti LuPone et Elaine Paige.
Que faire en famille en Argentine ?
La capitale argentine offre un large éventail d’activités pour les familles queers ; vous pouvez par exemple aller observer les célèbres « dames aux chats » qui s’occupent des nombreux félins du cimetière de Recoleta, ou visiter le Museo de los Niños, dans le quartier d’Abasto, qui propose des activités scientifiques éducatives pour les enfants. La Patagonie argentine est une excellente option pour s’essayer au ski ou à la randonnée à Bariloche. Les amateurs de vins, quant à eux, apprécieront Mendoza, une importante région viticole spécialisée dans l’utilisation du Malbec, une variété de cépage.
Comment s’y rendre ?
HE Travel, l’une des plus anciennes agences de voyages gay du monde, propose un voyage de plusieurs jours en Argentine comprenant divers arrêts tels que Buenos Aires et la Patagonie, avec des extensions possibles pour visiter les chutes d’Iguazú et l’Antarctique. Les tarifs des prochains voyages n’ont pas encore été annoncés, mais s’élèvent généralement à environ 7 500 € par personne.
Peu de destinations latino-américaines peuvent rivaliser avec l’expérience inoubliable offerte par l’un des plus grands pays du monde. Avec ses milliers de kilomètres de plage, ses grandes métropoles, ses montagnes et sa forêt amazonienne, le Brésil abrite un paysage aussi diversifié que sa population. Avec tant de choses à voir et à faire, il peut être difficile de savoir par où commencer, c’est pourquoi nombre de voyageurs et voyageuses LGBTQ+ choisissent d’y retourner à plusieurs reprises.
Où profiter de la vie nocturne brésilienne ?
À Rio de Janeiro, une métropole pétillante qui a longtemps été la capitale du pays, les différents quartiers se mélangent aux nombreuses montagnes et plages, tous surplombés par la gigantesque statue du Christ Rédempteur qui règne sur le mont Corcovado. Le Carnaval de Rio, qui est organisé chaque année en février ou en mars, en fonction du calendrier de Pâques, constitue l’événement le plus important de la vie culturelle de la ville, mais aussi la plus grande célébration de ce type au monde. Parmi les plages emblématiques de Rio, deux représentent de véritables lieux incontournables de la vie LGBTQ+ : la plage d’Ipanema, avec la Rua Farme de Amoedo, et la célèbre plage de Copacabana, avec son emblématique coucher de soleil et sa vue imprenable sur l’imposant mont du Pain de Sucre. Le parc de Flamengo est également un haut lieu de la culture brésilienne ; il abrite notamment le musée Carmen Miranda, qui rend hommage à l’actrice et chanteuse dont les coiffes surdimensionnées ont servi d’inspiration aux créations de nombreuses drag queens.
Où aller pour explorer le Brésil ?
Allez profiter du charme urbain de São Paulo, dont les quartiers riches et pauvres s’étendent à seulement quelques pas les uns des autres. Chaque année, au mois de mai, la ville accueille une gigantesque marche des fiertés à l’occasion de laquelle des millions de personnes se rassemblent le long de l’avenue Paulista. De son côté, la ville de Salvador, dans l’État de Bahia, au nord-est du pays, constitue un haut lieu de la culture afro-brésilienne. Les statues de Yemanjá, mère des orishas (esprits divins) dans la religion yoruba, y sont omniprésentes et rappellent ainsi le passé de la région. Allez visiter le quartier du Pelourinho, avec ses rues pavées bordées de bâtiments colorés qui offrent des points de vue pour le moins époustouflants.
Quelles destinations pour des vacances en famille au Brésil ?
Pour les familles LGBTQ+ qui voyagent avec des enfants, ne manquez pas la découverte des chutes d’Iguazú situées dans le sud du pays, à la frontière avec l’Argentine et le Paraguay, qui constituent un arrêt immanquable de tout voyage au Brésil. Selon la légende, Eleanor Roosevelt se serait exclamée « Pauvres Niagara ! » en voyant ces chutes, qui sont encore plus grandes que les plus impressionnantes cascades d’Amérique du Nord.
Comment s’y rendre ?
Out Adventures propose des voyages au Brésil, notamment à Rio de Janeiro, à São Paulo ou en Amazonie. Contactez-les pour connaître les dates et tarifs des prochains voyages.
Si vous prévoyez un voyage au Mexique, commencez par visiter sa glorieuse capitale, Mexico, avec ses nombreux musées et lieux culturels comme le Palais des Beaux-Arts ou le fascinant musée national d’anthropologie. Autrefois connue comme la capitale aztèque Tenochtitlan, la ville s’articule autour de l’immense Zócalo, une grande place où régnaient des temples et pyramides historiques détruits et remplacés par des bâtiments espagnols.
Où profiter de la vie nocturne mexicaine ?
Peu de quartiers renferment autant de lieux de vie nocturne LGBTQ+ que la Zona Rosa, à Mexico. Vous trouverez les bars, boîtes de nuit, restaurants et autres établissements appréciés des touristes et habitants LGBTQ+, ainsi que certains des meilleurs hôtels de la ville, dans les alentours du monument d’El Ángel de la Independencia, le long de l’Avenida Paseo de la Reforma.
Où aller pour s’imprégner de la culture du Mexique ?
Dans le quartier de Colonia del Carmen, allez visiter le musée Frida-Kahlo, également connu sous le nom de Casa Azul. Ce lieu emblématique, qui rend hommage à l’artiste ouvertement bisexuelle dont il est également la maison natale, est ouvert au public depuis la fin des années 1950.
Où aller pour explorer la nature mexicaine ?
Le littoral mexicain offre un large choix de plages qui n’attendent que d’être explorées. Cancún et la Riviera Maya, dans la péninsule du Yucatán, comptent parmi les joyaux du pays et sont ainsi à l’origine d’une grande partie de ses revenus liés au tourisme. Rendez-vous dans la célèbre ville de Puerto Vallarta, l’une des destinations balnéaires LGBTQ+ les plus populaires d’Amérique latine.
Comment s’y rendre ?
Olivia Travel, qui s’adresse principalement aux femmes lesbiennes, bisexuelles et transgenres, propose une croisière de six jours pour aller observer les baleines de la baie de Magdalena, avec des escales à San Carlos, Bahía Almejas et Boca de Soledad. Les tarifs, qui commencent à environ 5 900 €, incluent notamment l’hébergement, les correspondances depuis l’aéroport de Loreto, les excursions, les repas, les droits d’entrée.
Des plages aux montagnes, en passant par la jungle amazonienne, le Pérou abrite toutes sortes de paysages, ce qui en fait une destination incontournable pour les personnes en quête de nature.
Où profiter de la vie nocturne péruvienne ?
Lima, la capitale du Pérou, est un véritable paradis gastronomique, avec des spécialités locales comme le ceviche, un plat de poisson cru et d’agrumes, et des boissons comme le pisco sour. La culture et la cuisine péruviennes ont été particulièrement marquées par l’influence de la population japonaise, importante dans le pays. Le verdoyant district de Miraflores, dont le nom signifie littéralement « regardez les fleurs », constitue le principal quartier LGBTQ+ de la capitale. Malheureusement, le Lola Bar et la Discoteca Legendaris, deux hauts lieux de la vie nocturne gay, ont récemment fermé leurs portes ; un certain nombre de nouveaux lieux sont cependant en préparation, et le ValeTodo DownTown, un bar emblématique pour la population gay de la ville, est encore bien en activité.
Où partir à l’aventure au Pérou ?
De nombreux touristes se rendent au Pérou afin de découvrir ses anciennes racines incas de leurs propres yeux. Le pays abrite deux destinations de voyage les plus convoitées du monde : le Machu Picchu, un ancien complexe de temples andins surplombés de vues imprenables, et Cuzco, la capitale de l’Empire inca. Vous pourrez y trouver des bâtiments coloniaux construits sur d’anciens temples à la suite de la conquête espagnole ; les périodes architecturales sont particulièrement reconnaissables grâce aux différences visibles dans les styles des édifices. Un vieux train, qui traverse un sublime col de montagne, relie Cuzco et le Machu Picchu, ce qui permet l’organisation d’excursions à la journée. Les plus aventureux pourront parcourir les différents sentiers de l’Inca Trail et découvrir, au fil de ce périple de plusieurs jours, des ruines historiques moins connues.
Comment s’y rentre ?
Zoom Adventures propose un circuit d’une semaine entre Lima, Cuzco et le Machu Picchu. Les tarifs, qui comprennent l’hébergement dans des hôtels cinq étoiles ainsi que tous les petits déjeuners et les correspondances, commencent à environ 6 000 € par personne.
Tandis que certaines régions d’Amérique latine sont connues pour leur extravagance, le Chili constitue quant à lui une destination plus réservée. Santiago, sa capitale, s’étend le long de l’Avenida Libertador General Bernardo O’Higgins, son artère principale, et se situe de part et d’autre du Mapocho.
Où profiter de la vie nocturne chilienne ?
Le quartier pittoresque de Barrio Bellavista, dont une grande partie date des années 1920, est le cœur de la vie nocturne LGBTQ+ de Santiago. Le Chili est une ancienne colonie espagnole, et les influences de cette histoire se retrouvent dans l’architecture de la région. Le soir, les clubs, restaurants et bars, dont beaucoup proposent des représentations de musique live, ouvrent leurs portes. Le quartier est également dominé par la colline San Cristóbal de Santiago et sa statue de la Vierge Marie, symbole de la ville, que vous pourrez atteindre grâce à un funiculaire... qui n’est toutefois pas toujours en service.
Où aller pour s’imprégner de la culture du Chili ?
Bien que, de l’autre côté des Andes, Mendoza, en Argentine, constitue la plus célèbre région viticole d’Amérique du Sud, le Chili possède quant à lui l’une des plus grandes régions viticoles du continent. Cette dernière, située tout autour de Santiago, a l’avantage d’être accessible en seulement 1h30 de route, aussi bien avec son propre véhicule que dans le cadre d’un tour organisé de la vallée de Casablanca, la province de Maipo ou la Vallée centrale, où des exploitations comme Concha y Toro conçoivent de délicieux vins à base de carménère, de cabernet sauvignon, entre autres cépages.
Comment s’y rendre ?
HE Travel propose un circuit de 10 jours en Patagonie chilienne avec des arrêts à Punta Arenas, l’île de Magdalena, le parc national Torres del Paine, la Valle del Pingo et Puerto Natales, à partir d'environ 7 800 € par personne (option chambre partagée) comprenant tous les petits déjeuners, ainsi que six déjeuners et six dîners.
Cet article a initialement paru sur le site nationalgeographic.com en langue anglaise.
Les astronomes amateurs ont de quoi être comblés cette année : une série de merveilles célestes a déjà commencé à illuminer les cieux. Citons l’éclipse totale de Soleil qui a capté l’attention de millions de personnes en Amérique du Nord, ou encore la « comète du diable » 12P/Pons-Brooks, qui s'est déjà manifestée et devrait être particulièrement visible autour du 21 avril.
Mais cette année sera également marquée par des pluies d'étoiles filantes et d’éblouissantes aurores boréales, lesquelles devraient se faire plus nombreuses à mesure que le Soleil se rapprochera de sa période d’activité maximale, ainsi que par la convergence de la Lune et des planètes les plus proches et les plus brillantes, phénomène que l'on pourra facilement observer.
Voici donc une liste des plus beaux événements astronomiques à venir, qui méritent d’être inscrits sur votre calendrier.
Les amateurs d’étoiles filantes ne voudront pas manquer les Êta aquarides en 2024, car les conditions atmosphériques devraient être idéales au pic de cette pluie de météores. Vous devriez pouvoir observer au mieux le phénomène dans les heures précédant l’aube du 4 mai, lorsque le ciel sera particulièrement sombre car la Lune décroissante ne sera pas encore levée, ce qui vous permettra d’apercevoir même les étoiles filantes les plus ténues. Le radiant de l’essaim d’étoiles filantes, à savoir l’endroit d’où sembleront provenir les météores, sera proche de l’horizon sud-est, dans la constellation du Verseau (Aquarius, en anglais), laquelle a donné son nom aux Êta Aquarides. En raison de cet emplacement, le spectacle céleste favorise légèrement les astronomes amateurs de l’hémisphère sud.
N’oubliez pas de vous installer dans un endroit éloigné de la pollution lumineuse et de laisser vos yeux s’adapter à l'obscurité pendant au moins 20 minutes. Depuis l’hémisphère sud, vous devriez assister à un spectacle impressionnant car 20 à 30 étoiles filantes devraient défiler chaque heure, tandis qu’au nord vous pouvez vous attendre à 10 à 20 étoiles filantes par heure dans les heures précédant l’aube du 4 mai. Bien qu’il ne s’agisse pas de la pluie d’étoiles la plus spectaculaire, les Êta aquarides ont la particularité de provenir du nuage de poussière résiduelle laissée par la comète Halley, dont le dernier passage près de la Terre remonte à 1986.
Chaque année à la mi-août, la Terre traverse un nuage de débris rejetés par la comète Swift-Tuttle, ce qui provoque une pluie d’étoiles filantes lorsque de petits météores brûlent dans l’atmosphère. Il s’agit de la pluie de météores des Perséides, lors de laquelle on peut observer jusqu’à 60 étoiles filantes par heure au cours d’une année normale. Cette année promet d’être particulièrement favorable à l’observation des Perséides, car leur pic coïncidera avec un ciel sombre et sans Lune. En effet, la Lune gibbeuse se couchera vers minuit, ce qui offrira d’excellentes conditions d’observation plus tard dans la nuit et avant l’aube. La pluie de météores est plus visible dans l'hémisphère nord car les météores semblent émaner de la constellation de Persée, qui se trouve près de l'horizon pour ceux situés dans les latitudes méridionales éloignées.
Les meilleurs sites d’observation doivent être situés le plus loin possible de toute pollution lumineuse, mais même depuis un jardin ou un parc de banlieue, il devrait être possible d’observer des dizaines d’étoiles filantes toutes les heures en cas de ciel dégagé.
Les chasseurs de comètes surveillent de près le corps céleste A3 Tsuchinshan-ATLAS, repéré pour la première fois en février 2023, qui devrait donner lieu à un spectacle époustouflant à la fin de l’année 2024. Au début de l’été, il sera possible d'observer la comète au début de la nuit à l'aide d'un petit télescope. À l’approche du mois de septembre, l’orbite de la comète la rapprochera à la fois du Soleil et de la Terre pour la première fois depuis 80 000 ans. Selon les astronomes, elle devrait briller au point de devenir éventuellement visible à travers des jumelles ou même à l’œil nu, apparaissant bas dans le ciel de l’est avant le lever du soleil dans les latitudes méridionales.
Si la comète survit à son voyage autour du Soleil, les astronomes en herbe de l’hémisphère nord commenceront à l’observer vers le 12 octobre. Au fur et à mesure qu’elle s’élèvera dans le ciel du soir, la comète deviendra progressivement plus visible. Il est difficile de prédire le comportement d’une comète, mais Tsuchinshan-ATLAS, encore loin d’être au point de son orbite le plus proche de la Terre, promet déjà d’illuminer nos cieux de manière spectaculaire.
Les quatre derniers mois de l’année offriront une formidable séquence d’alignements célestes, car la Lune et Saturne se retrouveront côte à côte une fois par mois à partir du 17 septembre. Ce spectacle époustouflant, visible à l’œil nu, se répétera les 14 et 15 octobre, le 11 novembre et le 8 décembre. Les deux astres brillants seront visibles peu après le coucher du soleil, et il sera possible de les observer côte à côte à l’aide de jumelles à faible grossissement ; ils ne seront en revanche pas assez proches pour être observés en même temps à travers un télescope. Entre l’éclat argenté de la Lune et la teinte jaune distincte de la planète géante, le contraste des couleurs promet de donner une scène visuellement impressionnante.
Les spectateurs chanceux de l’hémisphère ouest auront droit à la deuxième éclipse solaire de 2024. La trajectoire de l'éclipse annulaire traverse principalement l’océan Pacifique, ce qui fait qu'elle ne sera visible que depuis quelques endroits sur la terre ferme. La première observation terrestre de l’éclipse annulaire aura lieu sur la pittoresque île de Pâques à 14 h 07, heure locale (19 h 07 UTC). Les habitants de l’île seront témoins d’une impressionnante annularité de 6 minutes et 23 secondes, moment paroxysmal de l’éclipse où la Lune occulte le centre du disque solaire, ce qui renvoie l’image d’un anneau de feu dans le ciel. Ce phénomène se produit lorsque la Lune est plus éloignée de la Terre que lors d’une éclipse solaire totale, et apparaît donc plus petite dans le ciel.
L’éclipse traversera ensuite une partie du sud du Chili et passera rapidement sur les Andes pour atteindre l’Argentine. Pendant ce temps, des millions de personnes dans la majeure partie du sud de l’Amérique du Sud pourront observer une éclipse partielle de soleil.
Les astronomes amateurs auront droit à un cadeau en début de soirée : la Lune et Vénus, les deux objets les plus brillants après le Soleil, s’uniront dans le ciel en début de soirée. Ces deux astres seront suffisamment proches pour être observés côte à côte à l’aide de jumelles. De plus, Vénus apparaîtra comme une version miniature du quart de lune à travers les télescopes. Pour profiter de cet alignement céleste, il vous suffira de chercher la Lune juste après le coucher du soleil, le 4 décembre.
De beaux moments se profilent à l’horizon !
Cet article a initialement paru sur le site nationalgeographic.com en langue anglaise.
Iran’s retaliatory strikes against Israel were not conducted alone. Strategic partners Russia and China have Tehran’s back, and their role in West Asia’s conflict will only grow if the US doesn’t keep Israel in check.
By Pepe Escobar at The Cradle.
A little over 48 hours before Iran’s aerial message to Israel across the skies of West Asia, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov confirmed, on the record, what so far had been, at best, hush-hush diplomatic talk:
The Russian side keeps in contact with Iranian partners on the situation in the Middle East after the Israeli strike on the Iranian consulate in Syria.
Ryabkov added, “We stay in constant touch [with Iran]. New in-depth discussions on the whole range of issues related to the Middle East are also expected in the near future in BRICS.”
He then sketched The Big Picture:
Connivance with Israeli actions in the Middle East, which are at the core of Washington’s policy, is in many ways becoming the root cause of new tragedies.
Here, concisely, we had Russia’s top diplomatic coordinator with BRICS – in the year of the multipolar organization’s Russian presidency – indirectly messaging that Russia has Iran’s back. Iran, it should be noted, just became a full-fledged BRICS+ member in January.
Iran’s aerial message this weekend confirmed this in practice: their missile guidance systems used the Chinese Beidou satellite navigation system as well as the Russian GLONASS system.
This is Russia–China intel leading from behind and a graphic example of BRICS+ on the move.
Ryabkov’s “we stay in constant touch” plus the satellite navigation intel confirms the deeply interlocked cooperation between the Russia–China strategic partnership and their mutual strategic partner Iran. Based on vast experience in Ukraine, Moscow knew that the biblical psychopathic genocidal entity would keep escalating if Iran only continued to exercise “strategic patience.”
The morphing of “strategic patience” into a new strategic balance had to take some time – including high-level exchanges with the Russian side. After all, the risk remained that the Israeli attack against the Iranian consulate/ambassador’s residence in Damascus could well prove to be the 2024 remix of the killing of Archduke Franz Ferdinand.
Marco Polo with elephants and camels arriving at Hormuz on the Gulf of Persia from India – Boucicaut Master
And don’t forget the Strait of Hormuz
Tehran did manage to upend the massive Western psychological operations aimed at pushing it into a strategic misstep.
Iran started with a misdirecting masterstroke. As US–Israeli fear porn went off the charts, fueled by dodgy western “intel,” the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) made a quick sideways move, seizing an Israeli-owned container ship near the Strait of Hormuz.
That was an eminently elegant manoeuvre – reminding the collective west of Tehran’s hold on the Strait of Hormuz, a fact immeasurably more dangerous to the whole western economic house of cards than any limited strike on their “aircraft carrier” in West Asia. That did happen anyway.
And once again, with a degree of elegance. Unlike that ‘moral’ army specialized in killing women, children, and the elderly and bombing hospitals, mosques, schools, universities, and humanitarian convoys, the Iranian attack targeted key Israeli military sites such as the Nevatim and Ramon airbases in the Negev and an intel center in the occupied Golan Heights – the three centers used by Tel Aviv in its strike on Iran’s Damascus consulate.
This was a highly choreographed show. Multiple early warning signs gifted Tel Aviv with plenty of time to profit from US intel and evacuate fighter jets and personnel, which was duly followed by a plethora of US military radars coordinating the defense strategy.
It was American firepower that smashed the bulk of what may have been a swarm of 185 Shahed-136 drones – using everything from ship-mounted air defense to fighter jets. The rest was shot down over Jordan by The Little King’s military – the Arab street will never forget his treachery – and then by dozens of Israeli jets.
Israel’s defenses were de facto saturated by the suicide drone-ballistic missile combo. On the ballistic missile front, several pierced the dense maze of Israel’s air defenses, with Israel officially claiming nine successful hits – interestingly enough, all of them hitting super relevant military targets.
The whole show had the budget of a mega blockbuster. For Israel – without even counting the price of US, UK, and Israeli jets – just the multi-layered interception system set it back at least $1.35 billion, according to an Israeli official. Iranian military sources tally the cost of their drone and missile salvos at only $35 million – 2.5 percent of Tel Aviv’s expenditure – made with full indigenous technology.
A mural in Palestine Square, Tehran, reads in Hebrew: “The next slap will be harsher”
A new West Asian chessboard
It took only a few hours for Iran to finally metastasize strategic patience into serious deterrence, sending an extremely powerful and multi-layered message to its adversaries and masterfully changing the game across the whole West Asian chessboard.
Were the biblical psychopaths to engage in a real Hot War against Iran, there’s no chance in hell Tel Aviv can intercept hundreds of Iranian missiles – the state-of-the-art ones excluded from the current show – without an early warning mechanism spread over several days. Without the Pentagon’s umbrella of weaponry and funds, Israeli defense is unsustainable.
It will be fascinating to see what lessons Moscow will glean from this profusion of lights in the West Asian sky, its sly eyes taking in the frantic Israeli, political, and military scene as the heat continues to rise on the slowly boiling – and now screaming – frog.
As for the US, a West Asian war – one it hasn’t scripted itself – does not suit its immediate interests, as an old-school Deep State stalwart confirmed by email:
That could permanently end the area as an oil-producing region and astronomically raise the oil price to levels that will crash the world financial structure. It is conceivable that the United States banking system could similarly collapse if the oil price rises to $900 a barrel should Middle East oil be cut off or destroyed.
It’s no wonder that the Biden combo, days before the Iranian response, was frantically begging Beijing, Riyadh, and Ankara, among others, to hold Tehran back. The Iranians might have even agreed – had the UN Security Council imposed a permanent ceasefire in Gaza to calm the regional storm. Washington was mute.
The question now is whether it will remain mute. Mohammad Bagheri, chief of the General Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces, went straight to the point:
We have conveyed a message to America through the Swiss Embassy that American bases will become a military target if they are used in future aggressive actions of the Zionist regime. We will consider this as aggression and will act accordingly.
The US dilemma is confirmed by former Pentagon analyst Michael Maloof:
We have got some 35 bases that surround Iran, and they thereby become vulnerable. They were meant to be a deterrence. Clearly, deterrence is no longer on the table here. Now they become the American’ Achilles heel’ because of their vulnerabilities to attack.
All bets are off on how the US–Israel combo will adapt to the new Iranian-crafted deterrence reality. What remains, for the historic moment, is the pregnant-with-meaning aerial show of Muslim Iran singlehandedly unleashing hundreds of drones and missiles on Israel, a feat feted all across the lands of Islam. And especially by the battered Arab street, subjugated by decrepit monarchies that keep doing business with Israel over the dead bodies of the Palestinians of Gaza.
L’armée russe a attaqué la zone de l’aérodrome des Forces armées ukrainiennes dans la banlieue de Starokonstantinov, dans la région
L’article La Russie frappe un aérodrome ukrainien qui doit recevoir des F-16 est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le Japon a décidé de conserver ses parts dans les projets Sakhalin-1 et Sakhalin-2 car il les considère comme importants
L’article Le Japon décide de conserver ses parts dans les projets pétro-gaziers en Russie est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
L’Ukraine a tenté d’attaquer la Russie à l’aide d’un ballon qui a été détruit par la défense aérienne au-dessus du
L’article Kiev a attaqué le territoire russe avec… un ballon est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Sweet coordinated moves in our Juntaland, West African Sahelian branch, among the Axes of Resistance!
Little noticed, just after Niger officially kicked out US troops (turning on the ticking clock, as with Frenchie earlier), and right after Russian advance troops arrived in town, China swooped in to provide sanctions-busting liquidity and lucrative deals. This effectively seals off Plunder Inc from one of most stupendous resource-rich regions on earth, easily to rival Russia itself. And Niger is projected to be Africa’s top growth economy this year….
Niamey, Niger protests against French occupation troops, July 2023.
@Arab_Africa:
The day after Russian troops arrived, Niger signed a $400 million oil deal with China. China asked for $400 million for the sale of crude oil. The official signing ceremony of the agreement between Niger and CNPC took place on April 12. It was attended by the Prime Minister of Niger, Mahamane Zein Lamin, and the Chinese Ambassador to Niamey. |video|
Niamey, Niger protests against French occupation troops, July 2023.
@Africa Intel:
Hundreds rally in Niger’s capital to push for U.S. military departure
Hundreds took to the streets of Niger’s capital on Saturday to demand the departure of U.S. troops, after the ruling junta further shifted its strategy by ending a military accord with the United States and welcoming Russian military instructors.
Marching arm in arm through central Niamey, the crowd waved Nigerien flags in a demonstration that recalled anti-French protests that spurred the withdrawal of France’s forces from Niger last year after the army seized power in a coup. |media|
Oh, the Chinese fan the flames. And the key Junta leaders were trained in the famous USA torture academy AKA “School of the Americas,” located in Georgia, LOL!!!!
Iran’s Retaliation: Implications of the Attack on Israel | Syriana Analysis W/ Mohammad Marandi
Join us as we explore the recent unprecedented Iranian attack on Israel, which consisted of a wave of drones and missiles launched in retaliation for an attack on the Iranian consulate in Syria. Dr. Mohammad Marandi, a Professor at the University of Tehran, provides insights on the implications of this attack.
“The era of strategic patience is over.” As with Bears forced to awaken over Genocide in Novorossiya, it is active deterrence from now on.
Israel, Gaza and West Bank should be seen as the global blueprint for basically how to financialize genocide and destruction. Palestinians will either emigrate or be killed. Exodus or Annihilation.
By Pepe Escobar at Strategic Culture Foundation.
In what can be considered the most crucial podcast of 2024 so far, Professor Michael Hudson – the author of seminal works such as Super-Imperialism and the recent The Collapse of Antiquity , among others – clinically lays down the essential background to understand the unthinkable: a 21st century genocide broadcast live 24/7 to the whole planet.
In an email exchange, Prof. Hudson detailed he’s now essentially “spilling the beans” about how, “50 years ago when I worked at the Hudson Institute with Herman Kahn [the model for Stanley Kubrick’s Dr. Strangelove], Israeli Mossad members were being trained, including Uzi Arad. I made two international trips with him, and he outlined to me pretty much what has happened today. He became head of Mossad and is now Netanhayu’s advisor.”
Prof. Hudson shows how “the basic Gaza plan is how Kahn designed the Vietnam War’s division into sectors, with canals cutting off each village, as the Israelis are doing to Palestinians. Also already at time, Kahn pinpointed Balochistan as the area to foment disruption in Iran and the rest of the region.”
It’s not by accident that Balochistan has been CIA jewel territory for decades, and recently with the added incentive of the disruption by any means necessary of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) – a key connectivity node of the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
Prof. Hudson then connects the major dots: “As I understand it, what the U.S. is doing with Israel is a dress rehearsal for it to move on to Iran and the South China Sea. As you know, there is no Plan B in American strategy for a very good reason: If anyone criticize Plan A, they’re considered not to be a team player (or even Putin’s Puppet), so critics have to leave when they see that they won’t be promoted. That’s why U.S. strategists won’t stop and re-think what they’re doing.”
Isolate them in strategic hamlets, then kill them
In our email exchange, Prof. Hudson remarked “this is basically what I said” in reference to the podcast with Ania K, drawing on his notes (here is the full, revised transcript). Fasten your seat belts: unvarnished truth is more lethal than a hypersonic missile hit.
On the Zionist military strategy in Gaza:
“My background in the 1970s at Hudson Institute with Uzi Arad and other Mossad trainees. My field was BoP, but I sat in on many meetings discussing military strategy, and I flew to Asia twice with Uzi and got to know him.
The U.S./Israeli strategy in Gaza is based in many ways on Herman Kahn’s plan that was carried out in Vietnam in the 1960s.
Herman’s focus was systems analysis. Start by defining the overall aim and then, how do we achieve it?
First, isolate them in Strategic Hamlets. Gaza has been carved up into districts, requiring electronic passes for entry from one sector to another, or into Jewish Israel to work.
First thing: kill them. Ideally by bombing, because that minimizes domestic casualties for your army.
The genocide that we are seeing today is the explicit policy of Israel’s founders: the idea of “a land without a people” means a land without non-Jewish people. They were to be driven out – starting even before the official founding of Israel, in the first Nakba, the Arab holocaust.
Two Israeli Prime Ministers were members of the Stern Gang of terrorists. They escaped from their British jail and joined to found Israel.
What we are seeing today is the Final Solution to this plan. It also dovetails into U.S. desires to control the Middle East and its oil reserves. For U.S. diplomacy, the Middle East IS (in caps) oil. And ISIS is part of America’s foreign legion since it was first organized in Afghanistan to fight the Russians.
That is why Israeli policy has been coordinated with the U.S.. Israel is the main U.S. client oligarchy in the Middle East. Mossad does most handling of ISIS in Syria and Iraq, and wherever else the U.S. may send ISIS terrorists. Terrorism and even the present genocide is central to U.S. geopolitics.
But as the U.S. learned in the Vietnam War, populations protest and vote against the President who supervises this war. Lyndon Johnson couldn’t make a public appearance without crowds chanting. He had to sneak out the side entrance of hotels where he was speaking.
To prevent an embarrassment such as Seymour Hersh describing the My Lai massacre, you block journalists from the battlefield. If they are there, you kill them. The Biden-Netanyahu team has targeted journalists in particular.
So the ideal is to kill the population passively, to minimize visible bombing. And the line of least resistance is to starve the population. That has been Israeli policy since 2008.”
And don’t forget to starve them
Prof. Hudson makes a direct reference to a Sara Roy piece in The New York Review of Books, citing a cable from the U.S. Embassy in Tel Aviv to the Secretary of State on November 3rd, 2008. The cable reads, “As part of their overall embargo plan against Gaza, Israeli officials have confirmed to [embassy officials] on multiple occasions that they intend to keep the Gazan economy on the brink of collapse without quite pushing it over the edge.”
That has led, according to Prof. Hudson, to Israel “destroying fishing boats and greenhouses of Gaza to deprive it from feeding itself.
Next, it has joined with the United States to block United Nations food aid and that of other countries. The U.S. quickly withdrew from the UN relief agency as soon as hostilities began, doing so immediately after the ICJ finding of plausible genocide. It was the major funder of this agency. The hope was that this would set back its activities.
Israel simply stopped letting food aid in. It set up long, long lines of inspections, that is, an excuse to slow the trucks to just 20% of their pre-Oct. 7 rate – from a normal rate of 500 a day to just 112. In addition to blocking trucks, Israel has targeted aid workers – about one a day.
The United States sought to avoid being condemned by pretending to build a wharf to unload food by sea. The intention was that by the time the wharf was built, Gaza’s population would be starved out.”
Biden and Netanyahu as war criminals
Prof. Hudson succinctly draws the key connection in the whole tragedy: “The U.S. is trying to blame one person, Netanyahu. But that has been Israeli policy since 1947. And it is U.S. policy. Everything that is occurring since October 2, when the Al-Aqsa mosque was raided by Israeli settlers, leading to Hamas’s [Al-Aqsa Flood] retaliation on October 7, was closely coordinated with the Biden administration. All the bombs that have been dropped, month after month, as well as blocking United Nations aid.
The U.S. aim is to prevent Gaza from having the offshore gas rights that would help finance their own prosperity and that of other Islamic groups that the United States views as enemies. And to show the neighboring countries what will be done to them, just as the U.S. has done to Libya just before Gaza. The bottom line is that Biden and his advisors are just as much war criminals as is Netanyahu.”
Prof. Hudson stresses how “the U.S. Ambassador to the UN, Blinken and other U.S. officials have said the International Court of Justice (ICJ) ruling of genocide and calling for it to stop is Non-Binding. Then, Blinken has just said that no genocide is taking place.
The U.S. aim of all this is to end the rule of international law as represented by the UN. It is to be replaced by the U.S. ‘rules-based order,’ with no rules published.
The intention is to make the U.S. immune to any opposition to its policies based on legal principles of international law or local laws. A totally free hand – chaos.
U.S. diplomats have looked forward and seen that the rest of the world is seeing to withdraw from the U.S. and European NATO orbit.
To cope with this irreversible movement, the U.S. is trying to de-tooth it by wiping away all remaining traces of the international rules that underlay the UN’s founding, and indeed the Westphalian principle back in 1648 of non-interference in the affairs of other countries.
The actual effect, as usual, is just the opposite of what the U.S. intended. The rest of the world is being forced to create its own New UN, along with a new IMF, new World Bank, new International Court at the Hague and other organizations controlled by the U.S..
So the world’s protest against the Israeli genocide in Gaza and the West Bank – don’t forget the West Bank – is the emotional and moral catalyst to creating a new multipolar geopolitical order for the Global Majority.”
Disappear or die
The key question remains: what will happen to Gaza and the Palestinians. Prof. Hudson’s judgement is ominously realistic: “As Alastair Crooke has explained, there now cannot be any two-state solution in Israel. It has to be either all Israeli or all Palestinian. And the way it looks now is all-Israeli – the dream from the outset in 1947 of a land without non-Jewish people.
Gaza will still be there geographically, along with its gas rights in the Mediterranean. But it will be emptied out, and occupied by the Israelis.”
On who would “help” to rebuild Gaza, there are a few solid takers already: “Turkish building companies, Saudi Arabia financing developments, UAE, American investors – maybe Blackstone. It will be foreign investment. If you look at the fact that the foreign investors of all these countries are looking for what they can get out of the genocide against Palestinians, you realize why there’s no opposition to the genocide.”
Prof. Hudson’s final verdict on “the great benefit to the U.S.” is that “no claims can be brought against the U.S. – and against any of the warfare and regime change that it is planning for Iran, China, Russia and for what has been done in Africa and Latin America.
Israel, Gaza and West Bank should be seen as an opening of the New Cold War. A plan for basically how to financialize genocide and destruction. Palestinians will either emigrate or be killed. That has been the announced policy for over a decade.”
Iran’s weekend massive drone, cruise missile and ballistic missile attack on Israel has now been covered in the global media, with the headlines announcing that 99% of the barrage was shot down by Israeli, U.S. and other friendly air defense systems. The question these media pose is what will be the Israeli response, as if that were a matter strictly to be decided by Prime Minister Netanyahu’s cabinet.
In fairness, I note that The Financial Times has also published a front page article setting out what it considers to be the Iranian perspective on the attack, namely that it was successful insofar as it demonstrated their country is not shying away from direct military confrontation with Israel and is confidently prepared to prosecute a full scale war if it comes to that. See “We’re crazier than you realize”: Iran delivers its message with attack on Israel. Tehran believes calibrated missile and drone barrage is enough to restore deterrent and bolster image.”
However, the Iranian position is much more nuanced and contains far greater threat not only to Israel but also to the entire United States presence in the region than the FT suggests. I say this on the basis of an analysis provided on last night’s edition of the Vladimir Solovyov talk show on Russian state television by a regular panelist, Semyon Arkadievich Bagdasarov, who is a leading Russian specialist on the region.
For those who wish to see and hear Bagdasarov’s 14 minutes on air in the original Russian, the link is
https://all-make.su/22174-vecher-s-solovyovym-14-04-2024/ minutes: 27 – 41.
In what follows I offer a brief biographical sketch of Bagdasarov so that the seriousness of his remarks can be better appreciated. Then I will summarize what he said on air.
*****
Aged 69, Bagdasarov was born in Central Asia in the Ferghana Valley, which passes through Uzbekistan, Tadjikistan and Kyrgyzstan. Accordingly, he has the proper birthright to his position since 2014 as director of the think tank called the Center for the Study of the Countries of the Near East and Central Asia. However, Bagdasarov reached this academic plateau after passing through a succession of military and civilian government posts, including the 5 years starting in 2007 as a Duma member from the ‘For a Just Russia opposition party of Sergei Mironov, which might be described as slightly to the Left of the ruling United Russia party.
Bagdasarov’s professional education was in a military academy and he ultimately retired with the rank of colonel. He then moved into government service first at the regional level and then as an expert to the Duma, to which, as I said above, he was later elected.
In line with what the FT article has said, Bagdasarov calls the Iranian attack on Israel a limited strike intended as a warning, but also yielding both specific tactical and strategic results.
On the tactical side, the swarming of drones was intended to activate the Iron Dome and other levels of Israeli air defense and to reveal the location of their component parts as well as to deplete the Israeli stock of relevant missiles.
Per Bagdasarov, Israeli claims to have shot down 99% of the incoming barrage should be taken with a grain of salt. The Iranians’ key targets in the attack were the Israeli air force base in the south of the country from which the Israeli strike on Iran’s consulate in Damascus was launched two weeks ago and a military intelligence compound which had prepared that deadly strike. The actual extent of damage from Iranian missiles remains to be evaluated.
Bagdasarov explains that the Iranian attack was ‘limited’ because it consisted of rather slow moving drones and of missiles with small warheads. These were not Iran’s most advanced and lethal attack materiel, which has been held in reserve for any possible Round Two.
How many drones, ballistic missiles and cruise missiles does Iran have? Bagdasarov says no one knows exactly but it may well be 10,000 or more and includes several hundred highly advanced missiles which also have multiple warheads and so are very difficult to defend against. Over the past 20 years, Iran has bet its defense budget on missiles and drones, and it has a large-scale serial production of both. Meanwhile, Iran’s regional allies also have large stocks of these weapons, some of which are also fairly sophisticated. In particular, Hizbollah in Lebanon may have 1500 high quality missiles in its arsenal.
At the strategic level, Iran demonstrated its ability to coordinate a missile and drone attack on Israel with its regional proxies so as to maximize the threat coming from all directions.
Iran used the attack to achieve a political and military objective that has long eluded it. Teheran has now issued threats against Persian Gulf states to bomb any and all that allow the Americans to use their air space or otherwise facilitate Israel’s possible revenge attack on Iran from their territories. These states all fear a war and have now agreed to Iran’s demand. In effect, this negates decades of U.S. unchallenged domination in the Gulf.
Iran has specifically threatened the U.S. regional command in Qatar and the base of the 5th fleet in Bahrain.
The latter point is reflected in Biden’s latest urging restraint on Israel. Washington has understood that its forces in the region are now hostage to whatever Netanyahu may do against Iran as follow-up to this weekend’s barrage.
Furthermore, at the threat level, Iran has a still unused but clearly visible ace in the hole: its ability at will to blockade the Straits of Hormuz and thereby cut off nearly all export shipments of gas and oil from the region. The Straits are just 50 km wide and are easily controlled by Iran’s anti-ship missiles ashore. Such a closure would create havoc on global energy markets. We were reminded of Iran’s dominant position there several days ago when they captured a container ship owned by an Israeli millionaire which was traveling through and directed it to their own coast.
And what about Israel’s alleged plans to attack Iran’s nuclear installations? Bagdasarov insists that this is an impossible objective. Firstly, because the Iranian nuclear program is distributed among 200 centers spread across the vast country and many of these locations are in desert areas buried under 40 meters of sand. The Israelis might only destroy a couple of the best known nuclear centers. Secondly, because to reach their targets in Iran, the Israeli jets would require in-air refueling by American tankers, and it is scarcely credible that Biden will give his consent considering how the U.S. regional bases are under threat.
Iran fired this time only on military objects, but if they use not 300 but 10,000 missiles and drones then Israel will be obliterated. Hizbollah alone have 1,500 advanced missiles. Iran surely has real missiles and drones that are still more powerful. No one knows exactly how many. Over the past 20 years Iran placed its bets on drones and missiles. In the assortment, they have some very sophisticated multi warhead missiles that are unstoppable.
Later in the program (at 1 hour 36 minutes) a military commentator who is a frequent panelist on the Solovyov show, Lt General (retired), Yevgeny Buzhinsky, head of the Center of Applied Military Research of Moscow State University, seconded the estimation of Bagdasarov that this was just a warning, a PR exercise by Iran. As for the shoot-down, he noted that with its S400 and other systems Russia has probably the best air defense in the world, and yet they strain to reach the 99% interception that Israel has blithely claimed.
As host Vladimir Solovyov commented at the opening of the program, the principal fact is that the Iranians did it. They spat on the U.S. and its allies, and they just did what they believed was necessary. In consequence the world ‘built on rules’ counts for nothing.
©Gilbert Doctorow, 2024
Translation below into German (Andreas Mylaeus)
Was Sie über den iranischen Angriff auf Israel wissen müssen, aber nicht in Ihren Mainstream-Nachrichten finden werden
Über Irans massiven Drohnen-, Marschflugkörper- und ballistischen Raketenangriff auf Israel am Wochenende haben die Medien weltweit berichtet, wobei die Schlagzeilen verkündeten, dass 99 % der Drohnen und Raketen von israelischen, US-amerikanischen und anderen befreundeten Luftabwehrsystemen abgeschossen wurden. Die Frage, die in diesen Medien gestellt wird, ist die nach der israelischen Antwort, als ob dies eine Angelegenheit wäre, die ausschließlich vom Kabinett von Premierminister Netanjahu zu entscheiden wäre.
Fairerweise muss ich anmerken, dass die Financial Times ebenfalls einen Artikel auf der Titelseite veröffentlicht hat, in dem sie die iranische Sichtweise des Angriffs darlegt, nämlich dass dieser insofern erfolgreich war, als er gezeigt hat, dass ihr Land eine direkte militärische Konfrontation mit Israel nicht scheut und selbstbewusst bereit ist, einen ausgewachsenen Krieg zu führen, wenn es dazu kommt. Siehe “Wir sind verrückter als ihr denkt”: Iran übermittelt seine Botschaft mit einem Angriff auf Israel. Teheran glaubt, dass ein kalibrierter Raketen- und Drohnenbeschuss ausreicht, um die Abschreckung wiederherzustellen und das Image zu stärken.”
Die iranische Position ist jedoch viel nuancierter und birgt eine weitaus größere Bedrohung nicht nur für Israel, sondern auch für die gesamte Präsenz der Vereinigten Staaten in der Region, als die FT annimmt. Ich sage dies auf der Grundlage einer Analyse, die in der gestrigen Ausgabe der Wladimir-Solowjow-Talkshow des russischen Staatsfernsehens von einem regelmäßigen Diskussionsteilnehmer, Semjon Arkadjewitsch Bagdasarow, einem führenden russischen Experten für die Region, vorgelegt wurde.
Für diejenigen, die Bagdasarows 14-minütige Sendung im russischen Original sehen und hören möchten, hier der Link
https://all-make.su/22174-vecher-s-solovyovym-14-04-2024/ minutes: 27 – 41.
Im Folgenden möchte ich eine kurze biografische Skizze von Bagdasarov geben, um die Ernsthaftigkeit seiner Äußerungen besser einschätzen zu können. Anschließend fasse ich zusammen, was er in der Sendung gesagt hat.
*****
Der 69-jährige Bagdasarow wurde in Zentralasien im Ferghana-Tal geboren, das durch Usbekistan, Tadschikistan und Kirgisistan verläuft. Dementsprechend ist er seit 2014 Direktor der Denkfabrik “Zentrum für das Studium der Länder des Nahen Ostens und Zentralasiens”. Dieses akademische Niveau erreichte Bagdasarow jedoch erst, nachdem er eine Reihe von militärischen und zivilen Regierungsposten durchlaufen hatte, darunter auch die fünf Jahre ab 2007 als Duma-Mitglied der Oppositionspartei ‚Für ein gerechtes Russland‘ von Sergej Mironow, die man als leicht links von der Regierungspartei ‚Einiges Russland‘ bezeichnen könnte.
Bagdasarow absolvierte eine Militärakademie und wurde schließlich mit dem Rang eines Oberst pensioniert. Danach trat er in den Staatsdienst ein, zunächst auf regionaler Ebene und dann als Experte in der Duma, in die er, wie ich bereits sagte, später gewählt wurde.
Im Einklang mit dem FT-Artikel bezeichnet Bagdasarow den iranischen Angriff auf Israel als einen begrenzten Schlag, der als Warnung gedacht war, aber auch konkrete taktische und strategische Ergebnisse brachte.
Auf der taktischen Seite sollten die Drohnenschwärme den Iron Dome [die Eiserne Kuppel] und andere Ebenen der israelischen Luftverteidigung aktivieren und den Standort ihrer Bestandteile aufdecken sowie den israelischen Bestand an relevanten Raketen dezimieren.
Die israelische Behauptung, 99 % des eintreffenden Bombardements abgeschossen zu haben, ist laut Bagdasarow mit Vorsicht zu genießen. Die wichtigsten Ziele des iranischen Angriffs waren der israelische Luftwaffenstützpunkt im Süden des Landes, von dem aus der israelische Angriff auf das iranische Konsulat in Damaskus vor zwei Wochen gestartet wurde, sowie ein militärisches Geheimdienstzentrum, das diesen tödlichen Angriff vorbereitet hatte. Das tatsächliche Ausmaß des Schadens durch iranische Raketen muss noch ermittelt werden.
Bagdasarov erklärt, dass der iranische Angriff “begrenzt” war, da er aus sich eher langsam bewegenden Drohnen und aus Raketen mit kleinen Sprengköpfen bestand. Es handelte sich nicht um das modernste und tödlichste iranische Angriffsmaterial, das für eine mögliche zweite Runde in Reserve gehalten wird.
Wie viele Drohnen, ballistische Raketen und Marschflugkörper besitzt der Iran? Bagdasarow sagt, niemand wisse es genau, aber es könnten durchaus 10.000 oder mehr sein, darunter mehrere hundert hochmoderne Raketen, die auch mehrere Sprengköpfe haben und daher sehr schwer abzuwehren sind. In den letzten 20 Jahren hat der Iran sein Verteidigungsbudget auf Raketen und Drohnen verwettet und produziert beides in großem Maßstab in Serie. Inzwischen verfügen auch die regionalen Verbündeten des Iran über große Bestände dieser Waffen, von denen einige ebenfalls recht hoch entwickelt sind. Insbesondere die Hisbollah im Libanon verfügt möglicherweise über 1.500 hochwertige Raketen in ihrem Arsenal.
Auf strategischer Ebene hat der Iran seine Fähigkeit unter Beweis gestellt, einen Raketen- und Drohnenangriff auf Israel mit seinen regionalen Vertretern zu koordinieren, um die Bedrohung aus allen Richtungen zu maximieren.
Der Iran hat den Angriff genutzt, um ein politisches und militärisches Ziel zu erreichen, das er schon lange nicht mehr verfolgt hat. Teheran hat nun den Staaten am Persischen Golf gedroht, alle zu bombardieren, die den Amerikanern die Nutzung ihres Luftraums gestatten oder auf andere Weise einen möglichen Vergeltungsangriff Israels auf den Iran von ihrem Territorium aus ermöglichen. Diese Staaten fürchten alle einen Krieg und haben nun der Forderung des Irans zugestimmt. Damit ist die jahrzehntelange unangefochtene Vorherrschaft der USA am Golf faktisch zunichte gemacht.
Der Iran hat insbesondere das US-Regionalkommando in Katar und den Stützpunkt der 5. Flotte in Bahrain bedroht.
Der letztgenannte Punkt spiegelt sich in Bidens jüngstem Aufruf zur Zurückhaltung gegenüber Israel wider. Washington hat begriffen, dass seine Streitkräfte in der Region nun Geisel dessen sind, was Netanjahu im Anschluss an das Bombardement vom Wochenende gegen den Iran unternehmen wird.
Darüber hinaus verfügt der Iran auf der Ebene der Bedrohung über ein noch ungenutztes, aber deutlich sichtbares Ass im Ärmel: seine Fähigkeit, nach Belieben die Straße von Hormuz zu blockieren und damit fast alle Gas- und Ölexporte aus der Region abzuschneiden. Die Straße von Hormuz ist nur 50 km breit und kann von Irans Anti-Schiffs-Raketen an Land leicht kontrolliert werden. Eine solche Sperrung würde die globalen Energiemärkte in Aufruhr versetzen. An die beherrschende Stellung Irans in der Meerenge wurden wir vor einigen Tagen erinnert, als das Land ein Containerschiff, das einem israelischen Millionär gehörte und auf der Durchfahrt war, gekapert und an die eigene Küste gesteuert hat.
Und was ist mit den angeblichen Plänen Israels, die Nuklearanlagen des Irans anzugreifen? Bagdasarov besteht darauf, dass dies ein unmögliches Ziel ist. Erstens, weil das iranische Atomprogramm auf 200 Zentren verteilt ist, die über das ganze Land verstreut sind, und viele dieser Standorte befinden sich in Wüstengebieten, die unter 40 Metern Sand begraben sind. Die Israelis könnten nur einige der bekanntesten Nuklearzentren zerstören. Zweitens würden die israelischen Jets, um ihre Ziele im Iran zu erreichen, Luftbetankung durch amerikanische Tankflugzeuge benötigen, und es ist kaum glaubhaft, dass Biden seine Zustimmung geben wird, wenn man bedenkt, dass die regionalen US-Basen bedroht sind.
Der Iran hat dieses Mal nur auf militärische Objekte gefeuert, aber wenn er nicht 300, sondern 10.000 Raketen und Drohnen einsetzen würde, würde Israel ausgelöscht. Allein die Hisbollah verfügt über 1.500 moderne Raketen. Der Iran hat sicherlich echte Raketen und Drohnen, die noch leistungsfähiger sind. Keiner weiß genau, wie viele. In den letzten 20 Jahren hat der Iran auf Drohnen und Raketen gesetzt. Im Sortiment haben sie einige sehr ausgeklügelte Raketen mit mehreren Sprengköpfen, die nicht zu stoppen sind.
Später in der Sendung (bei 1 Stunde 36 Minuten) schloss sich ein Militärkommentator, der häufig in der Solowjow-Sendung zu Wort kommt, Generalleutnant a.D. Jewgeni Buschinski, Leiter des Zentrums für angewandte Militärforschung der Staatlichen Universität Moskau, der Einschätzung von Bagdasarow an, dass es sich nur um eine Warnung, eine PR-Übung des Iran gehandelt habe. Was den Abschuss anbelangt, so merkte er an, dass Russland mit seinen S400- und anderen Systemen wahrscheinlich über die beste Luftabwehr der Welt verfüge, und dass es dennoch Mühe habe, die von Israel munter behaupteten 99 % Abfangquote zu erreichen.
Wie Gastgeber Wladimir Solowjow zu Beginn der Sendung sagte, ist die wichtigste Tatsache, dass es die Iraner waren. Sie haben die USA und ihre Verbündeten bespuckt und einfach getan, was sie für notwendig hielten. Infolgedessen zählt die Welt der regelbasierten Ordnung nichts.
gilbertdoctorow
Malgré la réputation amicale de leur espèce, les mâles bonobos s'en prennent beaucoup plus souvent à d'autres mâles que les mâles chimpanzés, selon une étude surprenante.
Lors de sa première semaine d'étude des bonobos en République démocratique du Congo, Maud Mouginot se souvient parfaitement d'avoir vu « deux boules de poils se poursuivre comme des fous dans les arbres ».
« Il était cinq heures du matin et les bonobos venaient de se réveiller. Les assistants de terrain ont dit "C'est une agression". Et je me suis dit : "Attendez, on parle bien du bonobo pacifique ?" », raconte Maud Mouginot, aujourd'hui anthropologue à l'université de Boston.
L'image harmonieuse des bonobos s'explique en partie par leur recours fréquent à la copulation pour apaiser les désaccords. Contrairement aux chimpanzés, ils sont également prêts à partager leur nourriture, non seulement avec leurs amis, mais aussi avec des bonobos qu'ils ne connaissent pas.
Maud Mouginot soupçonnait déjà les bonobos d'être plus complexes qu'on ne l'imaginait. Mais lorsqu'elle a commencé à comparer le nombre de comportements agressifs enregistrés chez les bonobos et les chimpanzés sauvages de cinq groupes différents, elle a eu du mal à croire ses résultats. « J'étais tellement troublée que j'ai examiné chaque agression une par une pour m'assurer qu'il n'y avait pas de doublon. »
Comme le rapportent Mouginot et ses collègues dans la revue Current Biology, il a fallu 2 047 heures de suivi de bonobos mâles individuels dans la réserve de bonobos de Kokolopori pour recenser 521 cas d'agression, comme se poursuivre, se frapper, se donner des coups de pied et se mordre. Dans le parc national de Gombe Stream, en Tanzanie, où les chimpanzés sont étudiés depuis plus de 60 ans (avec le soutien partiel de la National Geographic Society), il a fallu plus de 7 300 heures aux chercheurs pour dénombrer 654 actes d'agression.
« J'ai été surpris, mais les données sont solides », déclare Richard Wrangham, primatologue à l'université de Harvard, qui n'a pas pris part à la nouvelle étude.
Wrangham est également intrigué depuis longtemps par les différences flagrantes de comportement entre les chimpanzés et les bonobos. « Une explication plausible pourrait être que l'agression chez les mâles bonobos est beaucoup moins dangereuse que chez les chimpanzés, et qu'il y a donc moins de raisons de la limiter. »
Maud Mouginot partage cet avis. « Nous n'avons pas encore de rapports de bonobos s'entretuant, alors qu'il y en a beaucoup chez les chimpanzés. Les mâles chimpanzés forment des coalitions, de sorte qu'un mâle qui s'en prend à un autre mâle risque de subir des représailles de la part de la coalition, ce qui peut s'avérer très dangereux. Je pense donc que le tribut de l'agression est plus imprévisible et souvent plus élevé chez les chimpanzés, ce qui pourrait expliquer pourquoi les bonobos y ont recours plus facilement dans la vie de tous les jours. »
Les bonobos ont également une approche très différente de la défense territoriale, explique Martin Surbeck, coauteur de l'étude, primatologue à Harvard et explorateur National Geographic, qui étudie les bonobos à l'état sauvage depuis vingt ans.
« Les domaines vitaux des bonobos semblent beaucoup plus vastes que ceux des chimpanzés, de sorte qu'ils ne sont peut-être pas en mesure de les défendre en tant que territoires comme le font les chimpanzés. Alors que les coalitions de mâles chimpanzés n'hésitent pas à tuer des individus d'autres groupes, les bonobos de groupes différents peuvent se côtoyer pacifiquement et même se toiletter et partager de la nourriture lorsqu'ils se rencontrent. »
Mais pourquoi les mâles bonobos sont-ils si prompts à se quereller ? La recherche suggère que ces disputes ont souvent pour enjeu un meilleur accès aux femelles. Dans cette étude, en tout cas, les mâles bonobos les plus agressifs ont engendré beaucoup plus de petits que ceux qui étaient moins belliqueux.
C'est assez surprenant, car contrairement aux mâles chimpanzés, les mâles bonobos s'attireraient toutes sortes d'ennuis s'ils se montraient hostiles envers les femelles.
« Les femelles bonobos sont souvent agressives envers les mâles. Elles peuvent être très méchantes avec eux », explique Michael Wilson, primatologue à l'université du Minnesota qui travaille à Gombe depuis des décennies. Les femelles bonobos se regroupent pour dominer les mâles et ont tendance à choisir elles-mêmes leurs partenaires.
En revanche, « les femelles chimpanzés sont très soumises aux mâles et les craignent beaucoup ». C'est pourquoi, ajoute-t-il, les mâles chimpanzés peuvent parfois contraindre les femelles à s'accoupler.
Maud Mouginot estime que les femelles bonobos ne sont pas attirées par l'agression elle-même, mais plutôt par les mâles de haut rang qui ont recours à la force pour repousser leurs concurrents lorsqu'elles sont prêtes à s'accoupler.
En fait, les femelles pourraient jouer un rôle encore plus actif dans le succès des mâles, selon le primatologue Takeshi Furuichi, de l'université japonaise de Kyoto, qui étudie les bonobos à l'état sauvage depuis de nombreuses années.
« Les bonobos mâles dont la mère a un rang élevé défient souvent les autres mâles avec le soutien de leur mère, qui peut ainsi augmenter le nombre de ses petits-enfants », explique Furuichi. « Dans une étude récente, nous avons constaté que les interactions les plus agressives se produisaient entre les fils des mères de haut rang. »
Cet article a initialement paru sur le site nationalgeographic.com en langue anglaise.
Les forces armées russes ont frappé l’emplacement des mercenaires français à Slaviansk, contrôlé par les Forces armées ukrainiennes, a déclaré
L’article L’armée russe frappe des mercenaires français à Slaviansk est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Dans la nuit du 14 avril, l’Iran a attaqué Israël avec plus de 300 drones et missiles, c’était la première
L’article Après les frappes de l’Iran sur Israël, quelle sera la réponse de l’Etat hébreu ? est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
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Last night, Iran carried out retaliatory strikes on Israel in response to the Israeli attack on the consulate in Damascus. We are joined by veteran war correspondents Hala Jaber and Elijah J. Magnier to discuss the significance of the strike, what it means for the conflict in Gaza, and its geopolitical implications.
Hala Jaber, a Lebanese-British journalist, was honored with the Amnesty International Journalist of the Year Award in 2003. She garnered the title of Foreign Correspondent of the Year at the British Press Awards in both 2005 and 2006 for her exceptional coverage of the Iraq War.
Elijah J. Magnier, a veteran war correspondent with over 37 years of experience covering West Asia. He has resided in Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Sudan, and Syria for extended periods, specializing in political assessments, strategic planning, terrorist organizations, and non-state actors.
Prof. Hudson discusses his early career with Herman Kahn (the real Dr. Strangelove) alongside Mossad agents.
The roots of current annihilation of Palestinians lies in alliance between Anglo-Americans and Zionists, an alliance of convenience.
An agreed Grand Strategy, developed from lessons of Vietnam, includes targeted assassination of journalists to minimize exposure of extermination; destruction of hospitals to expedite the same; targeting of aid workers, UNRWA, green houses, farms, stores warehouses, fishing boats, etc.. to ensure comprehensive civilian starvation — and so on.
A systematic planning designed decades ago, steadily implemented piecemeal, and waiting for the right opportunity to roll out en masse “to tip over” the captive Palestinian population into absolute collapse.
Key point: USUK is not a hostage to messianic Judaism. The Empire actively ensures and supports implementation of the Policy at all levels. The merciless de-arabization ethnic cleansing objective of the zionists is supported at all costs, both to ensure the hegemonic proxy survival of the settler state (“our aircraft carrier”) and to introduce Chaos into the entire world, rolling back the modern International Law derived from post-Westphalian Treaty norms. And there is no Plan B.
~~~~~
TRANSCRIPT
Gaza: The Strategic Imperative
By Michael Sunday, April 14, 2024
PROF. MICHAEL HUDSON, THE TRUTH ABOUT THE DESTRUCTION OF GAZA. – Ania K
ANIA: Hello, everyone. Welcome back to my channel. Today I have with me for the fourth time, I’m still counting, a very, very special guest, one of the best professors in economics and financial analysts in the world. And I’m very glad we are reconnecting with Professor Hudson again.
I want to start this live stream with asking all of you to check all my links down below this live stream, because being on other platforms, especially nowadays, is very important. So you have my locals there, you have mailing lists, and every other link if you choose to support my work as well.
Also, Professor Hudson’s three links. You have the website (michael-hudson.com), Patreon (patreon.com/michaelhudson), and all the books that Professor Hudson has published so far, you can order. It’s all the way down below this live stream. I’m sure this video will bring you immense value, and I would like you to hit this like, because it helps other people to see it, since YouTube recommends videos with a lot of likes. Leave the comments and also share the video, because the knowledge that you will be hearing today, it’s priceless.
Welcome back, Professor Hudson. Thank you so much for joining me today for this conversation.
MICHAEL HUDSON: Thanks for having me back again.
ANIA: And I would like to say to the audience as well that this video is dedicated to what is taking place, especially in Gaza and Israel. Of course, we will address other countries related to this situation, but Professor Hudson has sent me a very in-depth email after our last live stream a week ago, also on Friday, and we actually decided after we ended that live stream to have this particular topic to be the main topic of this video. So, I give this to you, Professor Hudson, where would you like to start this conversation, please?
MICHAEL HUDSON: I think I should start with my own background, because 50 years ago, in 1974, I was working with the Hudson Institute, with Herman Kahn, and my colleagues there were a number of Mossad agents who were being trained. Uzi Arad was there, and he became the head of Mossad and is currently the main advisor to Benjamin Netanyahu.
So, all of what is happening today was discussed 50 years ago, not only with the Israelis, but with many of the U.S. defense people, because I was with the Hudson Institute, which was a national security agency, because I’d written Super Imperialism, and I was a balance of payments expert, and the Defense Department used my book Super Imperialism not as an expose, but a how-to-do-it book. And they brought me there as a specialist in the balance of payments. Herman brought me back and forth to the White House to meet with cabinet members and to discuss the balance of payments. He also brought me to the War College and to the Air Force think tanks.
So, all of what is happening now was described a long time ago, and Herman was known as a futurist. He was Dr. Strangelove in the movie. That was all based for him on his theories of atomic war, but he was also the main theorist behind Vietnam. And nobody seems to have noticed that what is happening in Gaza and the West Bank now is all based on what was the U.S. strategy during the Vietnam War. And it was based on the “strategic hamlets” idea, the fact that you could cut back, you could just divide all of Vietnam into little parts, having guards at all the transition points from one part to another. Everything that Israel is doing to the Palestinians in Gaza and elsewhere throughout Israel was all pioneered in Vietnam.
And Herman had me meet with some of the generals there to explain it. And I think I mentioned I flew to Asia twice with Uzi Arad. We had a chance to [get to] know each other very much. And I could see that the intention from the very beginning was to get rid of the Palestinians and indeed to use Israel as the basis for U.S. control of Near Eastern oil. That was the constant discussion of that from the American point of view. It was Israel as a part of the oil.
So, Herman’s analysis was on systems analysis. You define the overall aim and then you work backward. How do you do it? Well, you can see what the Israeli policy is today. First of all, you isolate the Palestinians and strategic hamlets. That’s what Gaza had already been turned into for the last 15 years. It’s been carved up into districts requiring electronic passes from one sector to another to go into Israel, to go to Jerusalem, or to go to Israel for jobs to work.
The aim all along has been to kill them. Or first of all, to make life so unpleasant for them that they’ll emigrate. That’s the easy way. Why would anyone want to stay in Gaza when what’s happening to them is what’s happening today? You’re going to leave. But if they don’t leave, you’re going to have to kill them, ideally by bombing because that minimizes the domestic casualties. Israel doesn’t want its soldiers to die any more than Americans do. So, the American form of war, as it was in Vietnam, is bombing them. You don’t want person-to-person contact because people fighting for their lives and liberty tend to be better fighters because for them it’s really essential. For the others, they’re just doing soldier’s work.
So, the genocide that you’re seeing today is an explicit policy, and that was a policy of the forefathers, the founders of Israel. The idea of a land without people was a land without Arabs in it, the land without non-Jewish people. That’s really what it meant. They were to be driven out starting even before the official funding of Israel, the first Nakba, the Arab Holocaust. And the two of the Israeli prime ministers were members of the Stern gang of terrorists. The terrorists became the rulers of Israel. They escaped from British jail and they joined to found Israel. So, what you’re seeing today is the final solution to this plan. And the founders of Israel were so obsessed with the Nazis, essentially, they wanted to do to them what they did to us, is how they explained it to people.
For the United States, what they wanted was the oil reserves in the Middle East. And again and again, I heard the phrase, ‘you’re our landed aircraft carrier in Israel’. Uzi Arad, the future Mossad head, would be very uncomfortable at this because he wanted Israel to be run by the Israelis. But they realized that for Israel to get by with the money that it needed for its balance of payments, it had to be in a partnership with the United States.
So, what you’re seeing today isn’t simply the work of one man, of Benjamin Netanyahu. It’s the work of the team that President Biden has put together. It’s the team of Jake Sullivan, the National Security Advisor, Lincoln, and the whole deep state, the whole neocon group behind them, Victoria Nuland, and everyone. They’re all self-proclaimed Zionists. And they’ve gone over this plan for essentially America’s domination of the Near East for decade after decade.
But as the United States learned in the Vietnam War, populations protest, and the U.S. population protested against the Vietnam War. What the Biden administration wants to avoid is the situation that President Johnson had in 1968. Any hotel, any building that he went to, to give a speech for his re-election campaign, there were crowds shouting, LBJ, LBJ, how many kids did you kill today? President Johnson had to take the servants entrance to get away from the press so that nobody would see what he was doing. And essentially, he went on television and resigned.
Well, to prevent this kind of embarrassment, and to prevent the embarrassment of journalists who were doing all this, Seymour Hersh described the [Mai Lai] massacre, and that helped inflame the opposition to Johnson. Well, President Biden, who’s approved Netanyahu’s plan, the first people you have to kill are the journalists. If you’re going to permit genocide, you have to realize that you don’t want the domestic U.S. population or the rest of the world to oppose the U.S. and Israel. You kill the journalists. And for the last, ever since the October 2nd Al-Aqsa event, you’ve had one journalist per week killed in Israel. That’s part of it.
The other people you don’t want, if you’re going to bomb them, you have to start by bombing the hospitals and all of the key centers. That also was part of the idea of the Vietnam War. How do you destroy a population? This was all worked out in the 1970s, when people were trying to use systems analysis to think, how do you work back and see what you need? And the idea, if you bomb a population, you can’t really hide that, even if you kill the journalists. How do you kill a population passively? So you minimize the visible bombing. Well, the line of least resistance is to starve them. And that’s been the Jewish, the Israeli policy since 2008.
You had a piece by Sarah Roy in the New York Review, citing a cable from 2008, from Tel Aviv to the embassy saying, as part of their overall embargo plan against Gaza, Israeli officials have confirmed to the embassy officials on multiple occasions that they intend to keep the Gaza economy on the brink of collapse without quite pushing it over the edge. Well, now they’re pushing it over the edge.
And so Israel has been especially focusing after the journalists, after the hospitals, you bomb the greenhouses, you bomb the trees, you sink the fishing boats that have supplied food to the population. And then you aim at fighting the United Nations relief people.
And you’ve read, obviously, the whole news of the last week has been the attack on the seven food providers that were not Arabs. And this was, again, from a systems analyst point, this is exactly what the textbook says to do strategically. If you can make a very conspicuous bombing of aid people, then you will have other aid suppliers afraid to go, because they think, well, if these people, aid suppliers, are just shot at, then we would be too.
Well, the United States is fully behind this. And to help starve the Gazan people, Biden immediately, right after the ICJ finding of plausible genocide, withdrew all funding from the United Nations relief agencies. The idea, again, the hope was to prevent the United Nations from having the money to supply food.
So when the United States is now trying to blame one person, and Biden goes on a television recorded call with Netanyahu saying, please be humane when you’re dropping your bombs, do it in a humane way. That’s purely for domestic consumption. It’s amazing how nakedly hypocritical all this.
And ever since the Al-Aqsa Mosque was raided by Israeli settlers on October 2, leading to Hamas’s Al-Aqsa Flood retaliation on October 7, it was closely coordinated with the Biden administration. All the bombs have been dropped day after day, week after week, with the whole of the US. And Biden has said on a number of occasions, the Palestinians are enemies.
So I think I want to make it clear that this is not simply an Israeli war against Hamas. It’s an American-backed Israeli war. Each of them have their own objectives. Israel’s objective is to have a land without non-Jewish population. And America’s aim is to have Israel acting as the local coordinator, as it has been coordinating the work with ISIS and the ISIS commanders to turn them against targets provided by the United States.
Basically, that’s the duopoly that’s been created.
And I think Alastair Crooke has cited Trita Parsi, one of the Israeli political leaders, saying the objective really in all this, of Israel’s conflict and Biden’s acquiescence to it, is that Israel is engaged in a deliberate and systematic effort to destroy existing laws and norms about warfare. And that’s really it.
You have people, you have reporters, such as Pepe Escobar, saying that the United States is a chaos agent. But there’s a logic in this. The United States is looking forward to what it’s going to be doing in the Near East, in Ukraine, and especially in the China Sea and Taiwan. Looking forward, the United States says, how do we prevent other nations moving against us in the international court or suing or somehow putting sanctions against us? Israel is the test case, not simply for what’s happening there in Israel and Palestine itself, but against anything that the United States will be doing through the rest of the world.
That’s why the U.S. ambassador to the U.N., echoed by Lincoln and other U.S. officials, said there’s no court of justice ruling against genocide, that it was a non-binding ruling. Well, of course it was binding, but it has no means of enforcement. And both Lincoln and yesterday, the head of the army said, there is no genocide taking place in Gaza. Well, what that means is you have to go to a court, and that’s going to take years and years. And by the time the court case is over and there’s any judgment of reparations due, then you’re going to, by then the Gazans will all be dead. So the U.S. aim is to end the rule of international law that is why the United Nations was founded in 1945.
And in fact, this international law goes way back to 1648 with the peace of Westphalia in Germany to end the 30 years war. All the European nations agreed not to interfere with the internal affairs of other countries. Well, that also was part of the United Nations principle.
And yet you have the United States explicitly advocating regime change in other countries, and most specifically in Russia and throughout the Middle East. So if you can end the whole kind of rule of law, then there’s really no alternative to the United States rules-based order, which means we can do whatever we want, chaos.
And if you look at what’s happening in Gaza is facilitating a transition from a orderly world of the United Nations to chaos, then you’re going to understand basically what the whole, the big picture, the long range picture that’s been put in place really over a series of decades. That’s why the United States, and the United States has no plan B. It only has the plan A to do this. It’s not taking into account the counter reactions and the feedback. Maybe we can discuss that a little later. I’d better leave the questions up to you.
ANIA: Thank you. You actually have already answered many of my questions in that intro, but I want to ask you this now. I will jump a little bit now. I have a question about something that you wrote to me in your email.
I believe looking at many, many situations that are taking place in the world, that sometimes all you really need to do is to follow the money and it will give you a lot of answers. So as you said in your email that, let me check, where is it? The Israeli developers already are planning to turn Gaza into luxury beachfront properties.
So let me ask you here, Professor Hudson, What is really the main goal for Israel’s existence? And in this case, is this really about their luxurious properties, oil? What else is this region really about? Why is it so crucial?
MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, it’s not just about beach properties. It’s what’s off the beach, the gas, the natural gas that they’ve discovered right offshore the Mediterranean that belongs to Gaza. So the Israelis are after the gas.
But your basic question, you’d sent me a list of questions you were going to go through. And I think if you keep to that sequence, it’s good. What you’re really asking is, you know, what’s the main goal for Israel’s existence? And I think if people don’t really, their sense of justice is so strong that they can’t believe what the original goal was. And the initial goal in the 19th century was formed in a period where Europe was anti-Semitic. The most anti-Semitic part of all was Ukraine. If you read Leon Trotsky’s autobiography of growing up in Odessa, he described the pogroms there. And so the Zionists, the first wave of Zionists, were looking for how can the Jewish people escape from this anti-Semitism.
Here’s the problem. By 1947, when Israel was formed, anti-Semitism was passé. Most Jews in the United States, certainly who I grew up with, they were all assimilated. Of course, they had well wishes for Israel. There was very little talk of the Arabs. But you had two arms of Judaism.
The one arm were the people who remembered with a vengeance what was done for them against them in Ukraine and Russia, and especially by Hitler and the Holocaust. They wanted to be separate and to have just to be protected.
But most of the Jewish population in America and Europe was thoroughly assimilated. And the last thing they wanted was to be separate. They wanted just the opposite. They wanted anti-Semitism to end.
But the Zionists who were in charge of Israel, the Stern Gang leaders, were obsessed with the old antagonisms. And in a way, they were obsessed with Nazism and said, well, we want to do to them what they did to us.
And again, the idea of a land without a people meant a land— we intend to make Israel into a land without non-Jewish people. That’s what a land without people, their slogan, meant. And from the very beginning, they started by driving Arabs out of Palestine, destroying their olive trees, destroying their orchards, taking their houses, and just killing them. That’s why the English threw them in jail before turning around and said, well, it’s true that we’ve thrown all the leaders in jail, but let’s recognize Israel and make Israel a whole country to do what these leaders that we were before throwing in jail were doing.
ANIA: Thank you.
You said also in your email that ISIS is part of America’s foreign legion. Can you please elaborate on that?
MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, ISIS was organized originally to fight in Afghanistan against the Russians. And al-Qaeda, which was the parent of ISIS, was simply the roster of people who were willing to fight under the U.S. command.
Well, part of al-Qaeda turned against America on 9-11, but most, especially the Sunni followers of Wahhabi theology, were very eager to fight against the Shiites. Islam is divided into two parts, the Sunni Islam of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Republics, and much of the Near East, and the Shiites from Iran and maybe half of Iraq and parts of Syria also.
So you had these two sectarian groups fighting each other, and the United States provided the funding and the organization to them and essentially delegated to Israel much of the organization of organizing ISIS to fight against Assad, to fight against whomever the United States designated as our enemies, meaning we want to take their oil lands. America has taken Iraqi oil and won’t leave, is taking Syrian oil and won’t leave.
So essentially, the U.S. has used ISIS to fight against all of the Shiites on the theory that the Shiite Islam is all controlled by Iran, and they want to essentially wipe out the Shiites as they’re doing in Gaza, even though I think the Palestinians are mainly Sunni, but you should think of the ISIS as America’s foreign legion. They’ve hired them, they pay them, and they recruit from them.
You’ve just seen in what happened in Russia from the Ukrainians, Oregon recruited Sunni terrorists from Tajikistan. You’ve seen the United States trying to use ISIS to recruit, to fight in Russia’s southern periphery in Central Asia and to fight in the Uyghur territories of Xinjiang in Western China. They’re using ISIS to try to essentially attack the integrity of China, Russia, and Syria and any other area where the United States wants a regime change to put in the usual client oligarchy.
ANIA: So interesting, and they sell it under the description that this is the enemy and terrorist, and they are founding it. And the public is still buying this, Professor Hudson. How is this possible?
MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, this is hypocritical. Everybody throughout the world is appalled by the cruelty and the barbarism of ISIS. The United States is not going to come right out and say, hey, that’s us that they’re fighting. We’re directing ISIS from the presidential office. We love ISIS.
Well, Biden loves ISIS, and Blinken loves ISIS, and the entire neocons, the CIA loves ISIS because they’re all running it, but they can’t say it to the American public. They have to pretend just like they’re pretending with Netanyahu that, oh my heavens, look at [what] ISIS is doing. We’ve really got to fight against it.
And for instance, when it put in the white helmets in ISIS, these were the American supplied public relations unit to essentially do false propaganda, false images, make false flag attacks. All of these false flag attacks, all of the white helmets and the propaganda has all been coordinated by the United States.
ANIA: I want to ask you now a question that to some extent you actually answered already. Does Israel make any independent decisions that are not consulted with the United States in regards to bombing Gaza?
MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, the question is, what is the United States or what do you mean by the United States? They don’t need official approval. There’s already a broad agreement in principle. Do whatever you have to do.
The United States has given them a free hand saying, we’re not going to interfere. You’re our managers on site. Just as you’re managing ISIS, you can manage certainly your own country. The U.S. has given blanket approval for Israel’s genocide. That’s why it says there’s no genocide there.
And it shares the aim of extending the war to fight Iran. Again and again, what Netanyahu is saying, we’re not going to be safe until we defeat Iran. Well, the United States has, that’s America, that’s the neocon plan outlined in the 1990s. It was spelled out, I think, by General Petraeus of first Afghanistan, then Iraq, then Syria, and then Iran. All of this was worked out from the beginning. The United States is trying to figure out, how do we do it?
Well, there’s a general expectation that one way to do it is to have Israel mount a false flag attack, something Iran does that is so bad that Israel retaliates and then, as it just bombed the Iranian embassy in Syria, that Iran is going to then do something to Israel and the United States will come to protect our Israeli brothers and world peace and prevent the genocide that the Gazans are trying to do against Israel and that Iran is trying to do against the rest of the world and bomb Iran.
Back in 1970s, there were discussions of what do you do? What will Iran do to fight back? Well, there’s one thing that Iran can do, that it doesn’t have to bomb American troops in Syria or Iraq. It doesn’t have to bomb Israel. All it has to do is sink a ship in the Strait of Hormuz. That’s the big strait. You’ve seen what happened, what the Houthis have done with the Red Sea. The big traffic is the Strait of Hormuz. That’s where Saudi Arabian oil and we could call it the oil gulf. It’s called the Persian Gulf, but it’s really the oil gulf. That’s where all the oil trade is. If you sink a ship or two in the oil gulf, that’s going to push oil prices way, way up because that’s going to cut most of the world off for as long as Iran wants from the Middle Eastern oil supply.
Well, that’s what really terrifies Biden because he’s pretending that there’s no inflation in the United States and that the economy is quite heavy. The inflation that would follow from Iran sinking a ship in Hormuz will essentially be crowning the American opposition to Biden, which is growing.
It’s one thing to be against genocide and killing people, but much more important is if your gas prices go up, the American people think that that’s really much more important than the fact of genocide and crimes against humanity. That’s really what is frightening the US.
The question is right now, how do they make the Israeli provocation against Iran— an excuse for the United States to come in with all of NATO’s and European support and somehow prevent Iran from having the power to close down the Straits of Hormuz. That’s what they’re trying to figure out now. I don’t know what they’re going to do, but when Blinken has said, Israel has not broken any rules. It’s all okay. What the United States really is [saying], if they can get away with this, they can say there are really no rules at all for the whole world. We can do whatever we want. Right now is coming to a peak. It’s the follow-up that was all thought in advance of the whole Israeli movement against Gaza.
ANIA: Thank you, Professor Hudson.
Next question that is about targeting civilians, journalists, and workers. Again, you’ve addressed this already, but I will ask you this. Why is the Israeli army targeting all those groups?
MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, it’s targeting everyone. It’s targeting all civilians because it wants a land without Palestinian people. It’s targeting the most critical people necessary for a Gazan society to survive. It targets the journalists because it doesn’t want the world to see what it’s doing, because Israel has already lost its standing in the world. The United States tells them, especially, you’ve got to kill the journalists because if you don’t kill them, we, the Biden administration, are going to look bad. We already have the Americans turning against the war.
There’s only one anti-war candidate running in the presidential elections for this November. That’s Jill Stein. Every other candidate is completely backing Israel in the war, but the American people, the majority of Americans look at what’s happening in Israel as genocide and as a crime against humanity. They’re not going to vote for Biden. Biden is going to lose the election or certainly not win it. It may go into the House of Representatives if nobody wins it.
In order to drive the rest of the Gazan populations out, you have to, number one, get rid of the journalists. Number two, you want to get rid of the hospitals. As you’re bombing the people, a lot of them are going to get injured. You want all the injured people from the bombs to die. For that, you have to bomb the hospitals. You especially have to target the doctors for killing. Not only will there not be doctors to heal the wounded people, but other doctors, doctors without borders from other countries, will be afraid to go into Gaza because if you go there, you know that if you’re a food worker bringing aid or a doctor or an aid worker, you’re going to get shot because you’re at the top of the target list.
ANIA: It’s horrible. Just listening to this, you know, it’s very hard to…
MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, imagine how I used to feel sitting in meetings and all of this was just said as if this is part of a game and this is how we’re planning it all out. All of this was what was discussed. How do we do evil? I mean, this…
ANIA: Yeah, but those are not humans to me. They are not humans to me.
MICHAEL HUDSON: That’s right.
ANIA: Soulless beings that are not humans. That’s all I say here.
Professor Hudson, next question is about those Israeli developers who, as you said in your email, are already planning to turn Gaza into luxury beachfront properties. So what do you really know about this? They are already planning this? Like they have plans for those properties?
MICHAEL HUDSON: The Americans made a start. They began by building docks. You not only want beachfront property, you want docks for the buyers to have a place to tie up their yachts or their sailboats.
And so the United States is building these piers. One reason it’s doing it is it can pretend that it can say, we’re not building the piers for Israeli property owners to have yachts, we’re going to deliver food. But by the time we finish building the piers, there’ll be no more Gazans. I mean, that’s the whole point. By building the piers, they’ve enabled Israel to prevent the food trucks from coming in from the south. So building the piers is a means of pretending to help without doing anything at all to help actually [deliver] food to Israel.
So yes, all throughout the news, there have been statements by the Israeli real estate companies saying, Gaza could have been a nice place to live if there weren’t Arabs in it. And now if we can clear the land of Arabs, make it a land without those people, then this is a wonderful property. And it has natural gas to help the Israeli balance of payments. So the whole idea is to make this a center of Israel luxury development.
ANIA: Again, absolutely disgusting to me, just listening to this. I want to ask you now about, were Gaza [to cease] to exist completely, what will happen to all the Palestinians who survived?
MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, the land is going to be there, and it’ll be beachfront property. Alastair Crooke has been, I think, the clearest writer. He was one of the negotiators between Israel and the Palestinians. He’s explained that there cannot be a two-state solution anymore.
The Israelis say, we are going to kill all of the Palestinians. The Palestinians say, well, we can’t exist with the Israelis, and we have to defend ourselves. If we don’t kill them, they’re going to kill us. So Israel has to be either Palestinian or Israeli. It can’t be both. That is ended forever. So anyone who talks of a two-state solution, they’re just not looking it up.
So the question is, how is Gaza going to exist? Either it’s going to be all Israeli, and the Gazans will be forced to flee. The Israelis want them to flee by boats and to be sunk, most of them will be sunk in the Mediterranean, just like after America and France destroyed Libya. The Libyans tried to flee in boats, and they were sunk.
So either they will drown, or they will somehow work their way into a prison camp that Egypt and its leader is setting up for Gazan refugees. And then the Gazans will somehow try to gain entry into Europe or other countries. So you can expect a huge influx of Gazans into Europe.
Some people have suggested, well, now that Ukraine is turning into a land without a people, maybe either the Gazans can turn Ukraine over to the Palestinians, or we could give it to the Israelis, saying, well, this is your ancestral land, this is where all of the pogroms that started Zionism began. Now you can go back and there are no more Ukrainians. They have programs against you. Maybe the Israelis should go to Ukraine. One population or the other has to emigrate.
Well, Israelis already have been losing a huge chunk of their population, especially their working age population, especially those who have jobs in information technology or highly paying jobs. So, you’re already seeing a population outflow.
So, Gaza will exist geographically, but we have no idea about what is going to be the demographic composition.
And I think the Israeli Defense Forces Chief, Herzi Halevi, said just last Sunday that Israel, he announced Israel knows how to handle Iran, just as they’re handling Gaza, that they’ve prepared for this. They have good defensive systems. And he said, we are operating and cooperating with the USA and strategic problems partners in this region. So, the US is going to be putting pressure on Egypt to expand the concentration camps that it’s setting up and to pressure the Europeans. Maybe so many Germans are leaving their country now that there’s no more work for them. Maybe the Palestinians will go to Germany and other European countries, and wherever they can find some kind of refuge.
America was willing to give the Jewish population refuge as long as the Jewish population served European imperialist aims of controlling the Near Eastern oil. But what can Palestine offer to be protected? If the Palestinians don’t have anything to offer the Europeans or the Americans, their governments simply do not care. They’ve done absolutely nothing to protect the Palestinians because they don’t care if there’s no money in it for them. And the Arab countries with money, the Saudi Arabians, the United Arab Republics have not really lifted a hand to help this. Even though a large labor force in Saudi Arabia is already Palestinian, they don’t need more Palestinians there. So, that’s basically what’s happening.
ANIA: Thank you, Professor Hudson. You know, before I ask you my last question, you know, people’s beliefs that the governments care about them. This is the most… I don’t understand how people can still believe that any government really cares about them in the world, looking at the situation like this. It’s heartbreaking. Just listening to what you said is a lot for me to take in.
The last question is when the bombing will stop and who is going to rebuild Gaza Strip?
MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, the bombing will stop when there are no more Palestinians to bomb. Israel doesn’t have the money to rebuild it or the intention of rebuilding. And even if Israel wants to rebuild it with nice homes all the way to the beachfront, who is going to do the building?
Well, already Israel has made a deal with India to get a lot of Indian construction workers from the poorest provinces of India coming over there. But again, who’s going to pay them? You can give them work permits, but the answer is who will pay them will be the contractors who are given the contracts to rebuild homes and offices and the new Israeli compound in Gaza, unless the world works and says, no, the Israelis have to give back all the land and it’s Israel that will be a minority under a Palestinian government.
You cannot have an Israeli government that is over the whole region because its policy is to kill the Palestinians. So I don’t see that, again, you can’t have a two-state solution. It doesn’t look like anyone’s supporting the Palestinians right now.
Who would help rebuild it? Well, the Turkish builders might come in and build it. Other Middle Easterners would rebuild it. Saudi Arabia could finance huge developments there. The United Arab Republics could buy land. American investors, maybe Blackstone could help develop there, but it’ll be foreign investment.
And if you look at the fact that the foreign investors of all these countries are looking for what they can get out of the genocide against Palestinians, you realize why there’s no real opposition to the genocide that’s taking place.
And the great benefit to the U.S. of all this is that as a result of this absence of any kind of the moral feeling that you’ve just expressed, no claims can be brought against the United States for any of the warfare, any of the regime change, interference that it’s planning for Iran, China, Russia, and as it’s been doing in Africa and Latin America. So Israel and Gaza and the West Bank should be seen, I think, as an opening of the new Cold War. And whatever you see happening in Gaza after the Gazans are driven out, you see this is really the plan for what the United States wants to do in China, in Russia, in Africa, in the whole rest of the world. You’re seeing a plan for basically how to financialize and make money out of genocide and the destruction of society. And in order to do that, you have to prevent anything like the United Nations of having any authority at all.
And the irony in all this is that the United States is creating just the opposite of what it wanted to do. I mean, obviously, while this is happening in Gaza, most of the global majority that we’ve spoken before, the world outside of NATO, America and Europe, are appalled. And the only way of stopping what’s happening in Gaza happening in the rest of the world is to create an alternative to the United Nations, an alternative to the World Bank, to the IMF, an alternative to all the organizations that the United States has controlled to turn the whole rest of the world into Gaza, if it can.
ANIA: Dr. Hudson, Professor Hudson, I want to thank you for coming back. I want to thank you for telling me after our last live stream to address this, because you shared it with me and with the audience. And I really hope that you will spread this video, guys, you will share it.
So I personally believe that we are fighting evil. And the way that I feel I am in a small way contributing to this is to trying to seek the truth and bring people who have knowledge and understanding and can share the facts and the truth with the world. Because if you don’t know what you’re fighting against, what you’re fighting with, then you’re like Don Quixote. You have to know what is the problem. And I am immensely grateful for guests like yourself to be on my channel and to share your knowledge with the audience. I can only imagine knowing all of this, what you shared with us today, living with this for so many years and watching the [unfolding] of those events in the world. For someone who has feelings and emotions, it’s very hard to bear. I can only imagine. So thank you for your contribution.
MICHAEL HUDSON: I’m on your show, Ania, because you see that this is evil, and it is evil.
ANIA: Yes. Thank you so much. I know you have to go. And I want to invite you again, of course, in the near future. Hopefully, you find time for our next conversation. To everyone who’s watching, make sure to check all the links to Professor Hudson that are already attached down below this live stream. And like I said, please share the video. Hit this like. It’s free of charge, and it helps the channel also. And more people can hear this information in the world. Thank you, everyone. And until next time.
Peter Koenig
14 April 2024
The warning was on the wall. Ever since Israel attacked “out of the blue” on 1 April 2024 the Iranian Consulate in Damascus, Syria, killing 7, including two generals, an Iranian retaliation was to be expected.
The New York Times (NYT) reports “Iran mounted an immense aerial attack on Israel on Saturday night, launching more than 200 drones [other sources talk about 300 drones] and missiles in retaliation for a deadly Israeli airstrike in Syria two weeks ago, and marking a significant escalation in hostilities between the two regional foes.”
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) say there were over 300 aerial threats, including some 200 drones, 100 ballistic missiles, and 30 cruise missiles. See this.
Israel and her western friends claim that many of the drones were intercepted by IDF and the help from allied military support. The latter apparently include the UK, France, and Jordan – and most likely also US-NATO forces that have long been stationed in the region.
Nevertheless, according to several RT reports, a large-scale missile and drone attack against Israel has been a success, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has said in a statement published by IRNA news agency. The Islamic Republic’s military managed to “hit and destroy” some “important military targets,” it added, without providing any further details.
Short video clips published by Iranian media on social networks, viewing Islamic Republic’s missiles hitting their targets in Israel. Several missiles appeared to have been striking targets in a settlement, RT reports, however without being able to confirm the veracity of the clips.
The Guardian informs, that it was the Islamic Republic’s first-ever direct attack on the Jewish State, a development that brings the two countries to the brink of all-out conflict after more than a decade of shadow war and soaring stress six months into Israel’s war in Gaza, following the Hamas attack last October.
It was reported on Israeli television that Iran had launched more than 100 drones as well as cruise missiles towards Israel, and Iran later said it had fired a “first wave” of ballistic missiles. See this.
This latest war theatre is in full development. At this point it is unclear what exactly happened and to what level the conflict may escalate. A regional war – that could expand to a WW-scenario is a real danger. It depends largely to what extent foreign – non regional – players, will get involved. Arab states have already warned against any “foreign”, meaning non-regional, intervention. Specifically, that means the US / NATO. The latter would include of course almost all of the spineless European nations.
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Iran has many reasons for retaliation. Other than the Syrian Consulate event, the killing of General Qasem Soleimani with a targeted US drone attack on 3 January 2020 in Baghdad. This assassination was still carried out under President Trump, but the question remains, did he act on behalf of Israel – as many analysts suspect?
After a public mourning of Major General Soleimani, Iran launched missiles against US military bases in Iraq wounding at least 110 troops. Deaths were not officially reported.
Over the past several decades Israeli provocations on Iran abounded no end. Israel’s intent is to wipe out Iran as part of its “master plan” towards “Greater Israel”, and control of the Gulf of Hormuz with access to the Arabian Sea – and ultimately Asia. And in the north, where Israel is currently attempting to brutally genociding Palestinians – evicting them from their homeland, an atrocious slaughter supported by most western un-human leaders (sic).
This is not only Apartheid “social cleansing” – it is also taking possession – stealing – of tens or hundreds of billions worth of Gazan off-shore gas reserves.
To be sure, Israel is an illegal state, on Palestinian land stolen through the 1917 UK-sponsored Zionist-initiated Balfour Declaration, with the support in 1948 of the then 52-member young US-dominated United Nations. See this.
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For the past 100 years or so, Washington was – and still is – tacitly as well as openly manipulated by a strong worldwide Zionist movement. Zionists control the world’s – at least the western world’s – financial system, Big Finance, Wall Street, and not least the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), in Basle Switzerland, also called the Central Bank of all central banks, controlling about 90% of the worldwide monetary flow. All in Zionists command.
There is a strong symbiotic relationship, an interdependence between the Zionists, today’s Israel, and the US. The Zionists, the self-declared Chosen People, wield the scepter of Big Finance, aspiring for world domination through Greater Israel (see provisional map, below), with the might of military power by the United States.
Iran is the major stumbling block for Israel’s Zionists to achieve their goal. Once Iran is conquered, they dream, Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf States will fall in place.
Zionist-Israel has been allowed by the discreet influence of the US and UK secret services to become a “clandestine” nuclear power. They know they can count not only on the US tax-payers financial support, but more importantly, also with the Pentagon’s military might. By the way, US tax-payers have been footing a considerable portion of Israel’s budget for its 75-year existence.
Sounds controversial, doesn’t it – with the Zionists in control of worldwide Big Finance.
Israel’s provocations on Iran are openly or tacitly supported or even encouraged by Washington. The Washington war-mongers would love to go to war with Iran, a military and economic heavy weight, way beyond the Middle East.
And now, as a new BRICS member (BRICS-plus 5 [the sixth nation, Argentina, dropped out]), Iran’s strength has expanded almost exponentially, with such heavy-weight allies like China and Russia.
——
Israel’s assault on the Iranian Consulate in Damascus, may have been the spark that lit the fire. The extent of the “fire” cannot be assessed yet, as it will depend on clear-thinking and levelheadedness – or not – of western decision makers – specifically NATO countries.
President Biden has been clear, so western media: “Our support for Israel’s security is ironclad. The United States will stand with the people of Israel and support their defense against these threats from Iran.”
How serious is this American promise? – There is more at stake than words, especially considering Israel’s ever deeper falling within the world’s sympathy for her non-stop onslaught against Gaza and Palestine in general – having killed more than 35,000 Palestinians, about 70% of whom are women and children.
Strategically speaking, can the US afford this “unwavering” support for an outright genocide nation? And secondly, Washington knows that Iran has full support from Russia and China, Iran’s BRICS allies. BRICS association has similar meaning to that of NATO’s: Attack one country means you attack them all – and retaliation may be massive.
Are there still a few clear-thinking western political human strategists left, not to risk total destruction of civilization as we know it? – As President Putin has warned on several occasions, A Third World War, turning nuclear has no winner.
Let us hope reason and the sense for Peace will prevail.
————
Peter Koenig is a geopolitical analyst and a former Senior Economist at the World Bank and the World Health Organization (WHO), where he worked for over 30 years around the world. He is the author of Implosion – An Economic Thriller about War, Environmental Destruction and Corporate Greed; and co-author of Cynthia McKinney’s book “When China Sneezes: From the Coronavirus Lockdown to the Global Politico-Economic Crisis” (Clarity Press – November 1, 2020)
Peter is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG).
He is also a non-resident Senior Fellow of the Chongyang Institute of Renmin University, Beijing.
In his recent book The Russian Art of War, which I heartily recommend to all who want to understand why and how Western politicians and media experts have condemned Ukraine to a tragic defeat, author Jacques Baud highlights the distinction between propaganda and disinformation. The former tends to blow out of proportion one’s own advantages, while the latter is outright lies about one’s opponents.
In this regard, I have to say that Russian state media have for many months been engaging in disinformation by spreading the myth of the decline and imminent fall of Western civilization under pressure from the LGBTQ+ movement, by secularism run amok and other aberrant behavior now celebrated as ‘inclusivism’ in many American states and in the most progressive EU countries.
To be sure, the visual demonstrations on Sixty Minutes and Evening with Vladimir Solovyov of the ‘Satanism’ that they say has overtaken the West and is a prelude to its collapse, in the spirit of the sage observation from the past that ‘those whom the Gods would destroy they first make mad,’ these videos are taken from major U.S. and European television channels. Of course, for the most part the reporting was generated in the West by producers who are practicing ‘tabloid’ journalism. Along with stories on UFOs, videos of parades by the morally depraved sell newspapers and improve ratings.
However, for Russian state television it all serves the ongoing Information War in which the Kremlin counters the libelous anti-Putin, anti-Russian narrative emanating from Washington, London and Brussels with its own narrative in which Russia is the defender of traditional values against the Satanists and perverts who now rule in Western countries. Russian television airs special programs on how normal God-fearing Christians living in the West are resettling in Russia to raise their children in a morally healthy environment.
I write to you today from Knokke, a resort on the Belgian seacoast 120 km from Brussels and 20 km from Bruges, the epicenter of foreign tourism in Belgium, where the reality around me in my rented apartment totally overturns all notions of the West’s moral decline and possible fall. Indeed, Vladimir Putin could move here tomorrow and feel totally comfortable with the way traditional values predominate daily life.
This city of 33,000 is probably the wealthiest per capita in Belgium. That is worth noting because the crusade against traditional values is everywhere being waged by elites, not by your ‘man in the street,’ for reasons of political gain through the divide and conquer aspect of identity politics. I say ‘wealthy’ in a qualified sense: when studio apartments sell for half a million and family apartments sell for two or three million euros, the owners are properly speaking ‘millionaires.’ At the same time, they are not billionaires, who are more likely to have their getaway residences on the shores of Lake Como in Italy or in other more prestigious foreign locations. My educated guess is that the folks I see strolling down the digue (literally, ‘dike’ but in fact a very wide sidewalk that borders the beach) in these days before the season starts are successful owners of small businesses, high executives in major corporations and high civil servants, all of whom work for a living. They are Belgians with a small admixture of vacationing Germans, French and visitors from other nearby countries. During the high season, there are a great number of day visitors who come from all levels of Belgian society and whom I will not take into account in what follows.
The overwhelming impression is that Knokke is a family resort. There are a great number of young couples pushing baby carriages with their newly hatched offspring or accompanying toddlers and kindergarten age kids who are taking their first rides on scooters or bikes. But there are also great numbers of retirees who are taking charge of their grandchildren on weekends or holidays while the parents get time off.
There does not appear to be any decline of fecundity in Flanders. Many couples have two or three children in tow. Among the adolescents, there are ‘girl power’ threesomes, and the boys are similarly grouped. But at dating age, all I see is heterosexual couples.
I have no doubt that the traditional rule of 10% homosexuals holds true in the populations in Knokke, but as in the past there is no aggressive promotion of alternative life styles here, no ‘in your face’ parades. There are no sex neutral toilets or advertising for sex change operations in the media.
There is a well cared for Catholic church in the midst of the Knokke shopping district. They have an 11.30am Sunday mass, which I may visit later today to do a headcount. But religion is not a big social determinant in a culture that is strongly commercial like the one in Knokke. We have seven day a week shopping, and stores are full on Sunday as well as on other days.
The mood here is ‘la vie en rose’ as the good times roll on for this stratum of the population at least. This good life centers on the innocent pleasures of the table. There are a great many very good restaurants in Knokke and also some restaurants of gastronomic distinction. They all seem to be well patronized. The concentration here is much greater than in Brussels. Then there are also a large number of top quality traiteurs, i.e., caterers, many of whom offer prepared and portioned gourmet food for take-away at half the cost in restaurants.
What else is a beach bordering the cold waters of the English channel good for if not staring out at the sea or at the digue strollers with a mug of beer and some chips or peanuts ready to hand? My grandfather, who came from Lithuania, often repeated that ‘there is no bad beer.’ I don’t quite know what he had in mind, but here in Knokke it remains true that the Belgian beers remain enormously diverse and of exceptional quality. And there are hundreds of people seated each afternoon at cocktail tables in concessions managed by restaurateurs who are quaffing the beers and socializing.
In conclusion, I strongly urge RT or Russian state television to send a crew here to Knokke to see that the end of the world is not nigh in Western Europe. And also to see that Belgian society is not ‘tired of the Ukraine war,’ as the Russian ambassador recently commented to the press. Leaving aside Prime Minister De Croo and his politician buddies, Belgian society is utterly indifferent to the war and focused on its own pleasures and challenges.
©Gilbert Doctorow, 2024
Translation below into German (Andreas Mylaeus)
Ist der Westen hoffnungslos vom “Satanismus” überwältigt, wie russische Medien suggerieren?
In seinem kürzlich erschienenen Buch The Russian Art of War (Die russische Kriegskunst), das ich allen wärmstens empfehle, die verstehen wollen, warum und wie westliche Politiker und Medienexperten die Ukraine zu einer tragischen Niederlage verurteilt haben, hebt der Autor Jacques Baud den Unterschied zwischen Propaganda und Desinformation hervor. Erstere neigt dazu, die eigenen Vorteile ins Unermessliche zu steigern, während letztere die Gegner schlichtweg belügt.
In diesem Zusammenhang muss ich sagen, dass die russischen Staatsmedien seit vielen Monaten Desinformation betreiben, indem sie den Mythos vom Niedergang und drohenden Untergang der westlichen Zivilisation unter dem Druck der LGBTQ+-Bewegung, des Amok laufenden Säkularismus und anderer abartiger Verhaltensweisen verbreiten, die heute in vielen amerikanischen Bundesstaaten und in den fortschrittlichsten EU-Ländern als “Inklusivismus” gefeiert werden.
Die visuellen Demonstrationen in Sechzig Minuten und Abend mit Vladimir Solovyov über den “Satanismus”, der ihrer Meinung nach den Westen überrollt habe und das Vorspiel zu seinem Zusammenbruch sei, und zwar gemäß der weisen Beobachtung aus der Vergangenheit, “wen die Götter vernichten wollen, den machen zuerst verrückt”, diese Videos stammen von großen amerikanischen und europäischen Fernsehsendern. Natürlich wurde der größte Teil der Berichterstattung im Westen von Produzenten erstellt, die Boulevardjournalismus betreiben. Geschichten über UFOs und Videos von Paraden der moralisch Verkommenen verkaufen Zeitungen und verbessern die Einschaltquoten.
Für das russische Staatsfernsehen dient das alles jedoch dem laufenden Informationskrieg, in dem der Kreml der verleumderischen, gegen Putin gerichteten, antirussischen Darstellung aus Washington, London und Brüssel seine eigene Darstellung entgegensetzt, in der Russland der Verteidiger traditioneller Werte gegen die Satanisten und Perversen ist, die jetzt in den westlichen Ländern herrschen. Das russische Fernsehen strahlt Sondersendungen darüber aus, wie normale, gottesfürchtige Christen, die im Westen leben, nach Russland umsiedeln, um ihre Kinder in einer moralisch gesunden Umgebung aufzuziehen.
Ich schreibe Ihnen heute aus Knokke, einem Ferienort an der belgischen Küste, 120 km von Brüssel und 20 km von Brügge entfernt, dem Epizentrum des Auslandstourismus in Belgien, wo die Realität um mich herum in meiner Mietwohnung alle Vorstellungen vom moralischen Verfall und möglichen Untergang des Westens völlig umstößt. In der Tat könnte Wladimir Putin morgen hierher ziehen und sich mit der Art und Weise, wie traditionelle Werte das tägliche Leben beherrschen, völlig wohl fühlen.
Diese Stadt mit 33.000 Einwohnern ist wahrscheinlich die reichste pro Kopf in Belgien. Das ist erwähnenswert, denn der Kreuzzug gegen die traditionellen Werte wird überall von den Eliten geführt, nicht vom “Mann auf der Straße”, und zwar aus Gründen des politischen Gewinns durch den Aspekt des “Teile und Herrsche” der Identitätspolitik. Ich sage “wohlhabend” in einem eingeschränkten Sinne: Wenn Einzimmerwohnungen für eine halbe Million und Familienwohnungen für zwei oder drei Millionen Euro verkauft werden, sind die Eigentümer genau genommen “Millionäre”. Gleichzeitig sind sie aber keine Milliardäre, die ihre Feriendomizile eher an den Ufern des Comer Sees in Italien oder an anderen prestigeträchtigen Orten im Ausland haben. Ich vermute, dass die Leute, die ich in diesen Tagen vor Saisonbeginn an der Digue (wörtlich “Deich”, aber in Wirklichkeit ein sehr breiter Bürgersteig, der an den Strand grenzt) flanieren sehe, erfolgreiche Inhaber von Kleinunternehmen, Führungskräfte in großen Unternehmen und hohe Beamte sind, die alle für ihren Lebensunterhalt arbeiten. Es sind Belgier mit einer kleinen Beimischung von urlaubenden Deutschen, Franzosen und Besuchern aus anderen nahe gelegenen Ländern. Während der Hochsaison gibt es eine große Anzahl von Tagesbesuchern, die aus allen Schichten der belgischen Gesellschaft kommen und die ich im Folgenden nicht berücksichtigen werde.
Der überwältigende Eindruck ist, dass Knokke ein Familienort ist. Es gibt viele junge Paare, die Kinderwagen mit ihrem frisch geschlüpften Nachwuchs schieben oder Kleinkinder und Kinder im Kindergartenalter begleiten, die ihre ersten Fahrten auf Rollern oder Fahrrädern unternehmen. Aber es gibt auch viele Rentner, die an Wochenenden oder in den Ferien auf ihre Enkelkinder aufpassen, während sich die Eltern eine Auszeit nehmen.
Ein Rückgang der Fruchtbarkeit scheint in Flandern nicht zu bestehen. Viele Paare haben zwei oder drei Kinder im Schlepptau. Unter den Jugendlichen gibt es ‘Girl Power’-Dreier, und die Jungen sind in ähnlichen Gruppen organisiert. Aber im Dating-Alter sehe ich nur heterosexuelle Paare.
Ich zweifle nicht daran, dass die traditionelle Regel von 10 % Homosexuellen in der Bevölkerung von Knokke zutrifft, aber wie in der Vergangenheit gibt es hier keine aggressive Werbung für alternative Lebensstile, keine “in your face”-Paraden. Es gibt keine geschlechtsneutralen Toiletten und keine Werbung für geschlechtsangleichende Operationen in den Medien.
Mitten im Einkaufsviertel von Knokke gibt es eine gut gepflegte katholische Kirche. Dort findet sonntags um 11.30 Uhr eine Messe statt, die ich vielleicht später am Tag besuchen werde, um die Besucher zu zählen. Aber in einer stark kommerziell geprägten Kultur wie der in Knokke ist die Religion kein wichtiger sozialer Faktor. Bei uns kann man sieben Tage die Woche einkaufen, und die Geschäfte sind am Sonntag genauso voll wie an den anderen Tagen.
Die Stimmung hier ist ‘la vie en rose’, denn die guten Zeiten gehen weiter, zumindest für diese Schicht der Bevölkerung. Dieses gute Leben konzentriert sich auf die unschuldigen Freuden der Tafel. In Knokke gibt es viele sehr gute Restaurants und auch einige Restaurants von gastronomischem Rang. Sie scheinen alle gut besucht zu sein. Die Konzentration ist hier viel größer als in Brüssel. Darüber hinaus gibt es eine große Anzahl erstklassiger Traiteure, d.h. Caterer, von denen viele zubereitete und portionierte Gourmetgerichte zum Mitnehmen anbieten, die nur halb so viel kosten wie in Restaurants.
Wofür ist ein Strand am kalten Wasser des Ärmelkanals sonst gut, wenn nicht dafür, mit einem Krug Bier und ein paar Chips oder Erdnüssen in der Hand auf das Meer oder auf die Bummelanten zu schauen? Mein Großvater, der aus Litauen stammte, sagte oft, dass es kein schlechtes Bier gibt. Ich weiß nicht genau, was er damit meinte, aber hier in Knokke sind die belgischen Biere nach wie vor sehr vielfältig und von außergewöhnlicher Qualität. Und jeden Nachmittag sitzen Hunderte von Menschen an Cocktailtischen in von Gastronomen betriebenen Lokalen, um Bier zu trinken und sich zu unterhalten.
Abschließend möchte ich RT oder das russische Staatsfernsehen dringend bitten, ein Team nach Knokke zu schicken, um zu sehen, dass das Ende der Welt in Westeuropa nicht nahe ist. Und auch, um zu sehen, dass die belgische Gesellschaft nicht “des Ukraine-Krieges überdrüssig” ist, wie der russische Botschafter kürzlich gegenüber der Presse erklärte. Sieht man einmal von Premierminister De Croo und seinen Politikerkollegen ab, so ist der belgischen Gesellschaft der Krieg völlig gleichgültig und sie konzentriert sich auf ihre eigenen Vergnügungen und Herausforderungen.
gilbertdoctorow
Forgive the young man, radiant and exuding like the Sun. We were all firebreathers once. He doesn’t realize this is round one. Last night, the messianic midgets received the biggest gift of their foreshortened lives; they will run with it now, fully suiciding USUK and the demented Old Order….
As Surgeons, We Have Never Seen Cruelty Like Israel’s Genocide in Gaza. We urge anyone who reads this to publicly oppose sending weapons to Israel as long as this onslaught continues.
By Feroze Sidhwa and Mark Perlmutter at Common Dreams.
On March 25 the two of us, an orthopedic surgeon and a trauma surgeon, traveled to the Gaza Strip to work at Gaza European Hospital in Khan Younis. We were immediately overwhelmed by the overflown sewage and the distinct smell of gunpowder in the air. We made the short journey from the Rafah crossing to Khan Younis, where Gaza European Hospital stands as one of the last remaining semi-functional hospitals for the 2.5 million human beings—half of them children—in the Gaza Strip. As humanitarian surgeons we thought we had seen all manner of cruelty in the world, but neither one of us has ever experienced anything like what we found when we arrived in Gaza.
We exited the van into a sea of children, all shorter and thinner than they ought to have been. Even over their screams of joy at meeting new foreigners, the snowmobile-like hum of Israeli drones could be heard overhead. It quickly became background noise, an omnipresent reminder that violence and death can rain down on anyone at any time in this besieged and ransacked territory.
Our limited sleep was constantly interrupted by explosions that shook the hospital’s walls and popped our ears, even well after the United Nations Security Council declared a cease-fire must be implemented. When warplanes screamed overhead, everyone braced for a particularly loud and powerful explosion. The timing of these attacks always coincided with “iftar,” when families in this overwhelmingly Muslim county broke the daily fast of Ramadan and were most vulnerable.
We as Americans must acknowledge that we are responsible for this crime against humanity, now in its seventh month and unfolding in full view of the entire world.
We walked through the wards and immediately found evidence of horrifying violence deliberately directed at civilians and even children. A three-year-old boy shot in the head, a 12-year-old girl shot through the chest, an ICU nurse shot through the abdomen, all by some of the best-trained marksmen in the world. Every square inch of the hospital’s floor is taken up with makeshift tents where displaced families live, desperate to find some semblance of safety. They are the lucky several hundred who get to live indoors, unlike the tens of thousands sheltering outside on the hospital’s grounds.
As we got to work we were shocked by the violence inflicted on people. Incredibly powerful explosives ripped apart rock, floors, and walls and threw them through human bodies, penetrating skin with waves of dirt and debris. With the environment literally embedded in our patients’ bodies we have found infection control to be impossible. No amount of medical care could ever compensate for the damage being inflicted here.
As humanitarian trauma surgeons we have both seen incredible suffering. Collectively, we were present at Ground Zero on 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, the Boston Marathon bombing, and the 2010 earthquake in Haiti on the first day of these disasters. We have worked in the deprivation of southern Zimbabwe and the horrors of the war in Ukraine. Together we have worked on more than 40 surgical missions in developing countries on three continents in our combined 57 years of volunteering. This long experience taught us that there was no greater pain as a humanitarian surgeon than being unable to provide needed care to a patient.
But that was before coming to Gaza. Now we know the pain of being unable to treat a child who will slowly die, but also alone, because she is the only surviving member of an entire extended family. We have not had the heart to tell these children how their families died: burned until they resembled blistered hotdogs more than human beings, shredded to pieces such that they can only be buried in mass graves, or simply entombed in their former apartment buildings to die slowly of asphyxia and sepsis.
The United States has heavily funded and overwhelmingly armed what is called “the occupation” of Palestine, but the term is misleading. Israel’s first president, Chaim Weizmann, declared that the existence of the Palestinians was simply “a matter of no consequence.” Thirty years later, Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Dayan told the Israeli cabinet that the Palestinians “would continue to live like dogs…and we will see where this process leads.”
Now we know: This is where it leads. It leads to Gaza European Hospital, and to two surgeons realizing that the blood on the floor of the trauma bay and the operating room is dripping from our own hands. We Americans provide the crucial funding, weapons, and diplomatic support for a genocidal assault on a helpless population.
The two of us continue to hope against hope that American politicians, and especially President Joe Biden, will abandon their support for Israel’s war on the Palestinians. If they do not, then we have learned nothing from the history of the past hundred years. Polish poet Stanislaw Jerzy Lec quipped that “no snowflake in an avalanche ever feels responsible,” but we as Americans must acknowledge that we are responsible for this crime against humanity, now in its seventh month and unfolding in full view of the entire world.
By December, the Israeli Air Force had dropped so much American ordinance on Gaza that it exceeded the explosive force of two of the atomic bombs that destroyed Hiroshima. Nearly 14,000 children have been killed in Gaza in the past six months, more than were killed in all war zones in the entire world in the past four years combined. No conflict of any size in history has ever been this deadly to journalists, healthcare workers, or paramedics. Indeed, we and our entire team lived in constant fear that Israel would attack Gaza European Hospital directly, as it has with so many others. The complete and utter destruction of al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City, along with the killing, kidnapping, and torture of the healthcare staff, only heightened this sense of dread.
We came to Gaza as two individual snowflakes trying to stop this avalanche of death and horror, and yet we also feel responsible for it. We urge anyone who reads this to publicly oppose sending weapons to Israel as long as this genocide continues, until the Israeli siege of Gaza is lifted, and until an end to the occupation can be negotiated.
War Update with Jon Elmer at The Electronic Intifada
Jon Elmer details the complex resistance ambush that chased the Israeli military from Khan Younis. Nora Barrows-Friedman, Asa Winstanley, Ali Abunimah and Jon Elmer of The Electronic Intifada were joined by independent investigative journalist Antony Loewenstein, on the day 187 livestream.
Knocking at the wrong door. Egypt and Qatar can’t ‘deliver’ the Hamas leadership in Gaza
By Abdel Bari Atwan at Rai Al Youm.
This week, US President Joe Biden called Egyptian President Abdelfattah as-Sisi and the emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin-Hamad to press them to threaten Hamas and force it to agree to a ‘temporary’ cease-free to pause the war and exchange captives. Hamas did not reply directly, but hinted the proposal was unacceptable.
The exercise demonstrates the US president’s astonishing degree of ignorance about his two supposed Arab allies, and also about Hamas and the nature of its on-the-ground leadership in the Gaza Strip.
I have been closely following the ongoing negotiations in Doha and Cairo, the roles played by the mediators, and the way Hamas has been handling — and foiling — the plans that emerged from the earlier four-way meeting of intelligence chiefs in Paris.
Several points stand out.
First, Biden and his entourage seem incapable of understanding that it is the Hamas leadership in the Gaza Strip led by Yahya al-Sinwar that has the final say. They still think certain Arab rulers or former PLO leaders can decide matters on its behalf.
Secondly, the Egyptian and Qatari mediators have no means of putting pressure on the Sinwar’s leadership.
Egypt lost its strongest card — the Rafah crossing — by failing (not wanting or not being able) to open it for humanitarian aid over the past six months, and by opting for ‘neutrality’ regarding Israel.
Qatar and its emir also lost their only card, the $30 million in financial aid they used to provide monthly to Hamas in the Gaza Strip monthly, transferred via Tel Aviv with prior coordination.
Third, the amended US proposal is confined to the humanitarian needs of the Gaza population and offering temporary, not permanent, solutions, aimed at rescuing Israel. It does not address their legitimate demands for freedom, liberation, and a dignified life, but treats them as supplicant beggars.
Fourth, Hamas’ leaders in Gaza do not know the Arab world’s leaders, especially those who revolve in the US orbit, and do not want to make their acquaintance. They decided form the start to keep their distance from them, not trust them, and rely on themselves, with assistance and political support from the Axis of Resistance. Most of them have barely travelled outside the Gaza Strip, other than when being released from Israeli prisons back to their refugee camp homes.
Fifth, by contacting the Egyptian and Qatari rulers to demand they pressure Hamas into agreeing a temporary truce, Biden effectively conceded Israel’s defeat in the war. But he also demonstrated his inability to extract any meaningful concession from Netanyahu. He therefore turned his pressure on the Arab and Palestinian sides.
Sixth, Biden avoided calling for an immediate ceasefire or unconditional access for humanitarian aid for the past six months. The reasons he is now so keen on them is not out of sympathy for the suffering children of Gaza, but to prevent Iran retaliating for Israel’s airstrike on the Iranian consulate in Damascus. He knows a temporary cease-fire might avert or postpone such retaliation, which could expand the Gaza war into a region-wide war.
I hope Sinwar will reject the poisoned US prisoner exchange agreement that is on the table, and hold fast to his demands for a permanent ceasefire, withdrawal of Israeli forces, return of displaced people, and resumption of relief and reconstruction operations.
The US intelligence community, composed of 18 different agencies, conceded in its latest annual report that Israel would never be able to eradicate Hamas and would continue to face armed Palestinian resistance for many years to come.
Netanyahu’s repeated threats to invade Rafah will not make any difference. He may have succeeded in cowing and intimidating Arab leaders, but his methods won’t work with the leaders of the Palestinian resistance in Gaza.
the main discussion begins around 30 min; the preamble is worthwhile too. He discusses the first glimmers of dawning realization of absolute defeat in the messianic madmen — a Haaretz article from yesterday (paywall). Nothing new to the “Reality-based” but the limits appear to have been reached in saner liberal quarters — beyond the cope of drugs, hedonism and mindless chest-thumping.
What happens when conventional means are no longer sufficient, effective attrition and siege have been laid, and one’s sugar daddy is shown to be a naked, flaccid and geriatric dementia-patient long denied admittance to the padded sanitary homes for the criminally insane?? We are about to find out…….
Israel Has Been Defeated – a Total Defeat
The war’s aims won’t be achieved,
the hostages won’t be returned through military pressure,
security won’t be restored
Israel’s international ostracism won’t end
As I indicated in my last essay, a great deal of information that would allow one independently to come to a comprehensive understanding of what is going on in the world is available in mainstream media, however counterintuitive that may be for those who revile the Washington narrative and its commercial purveyors. However, the facts we need to know are either buried deep in articles that have titles and opening paragraphs that contradict the content lower down OR as I wrote in that last essay, they are separate dots that are never connected by the journalists and their editors to draw the big picture they do not want to see.
My case today is not taken from the Ukraine war but from its consequences: the visible and statistically demonstrated decline of the European economy and in particular of the country that has long been celebrated as its locomotive, Germany.
This issue has featured in much of the reporting of The Financial Times and other major media these last several weeks when numbers for the economic performance at the end of last year and start of this year have been published. The latest growth estimate for Europe put out by the European Central Bank is an anemic 0.6% while Germany is likely entering a second quarter of recession.
A lot has been written about the leading causes of the bad economic results, in the expectation that once they are identified suitable corrective measures can be put in place. Of late, attention has been directed at the weak capital markets in Europe, compared to the United States, for example, all of which deprives industry of funds for investment that will raise productivity and make Europe more competitive on world markets.
Additional points for discussion are eagerly awaited from Mario Draghi, former Italian prime minister and former President of the European Central Bank, who has been tasked by the European Commission to deliver recommendations on how European competitiveness might be improved.
However, these approaches overlook the fact that deficient capital markets and the many other handicaps that Draghi is likely to name have been around for a long time but that the present stark weakness of the German economy is something very new and, frankly astonishing, to anyone who cares to look at the figures on the collapse of German automobile manufacturing, for example.
Going back six months or more there were articles in our press and feature programs on the BBC and other media recounting how German industrialists are moving abroad and making new manufacturing investments there rather than in their homeland. At that time the high cost of energy ever since Russian pipeline gas was discontinued following the destruction of Nord Stream I was openly mentioned as a factor in the deindustrialization of Germany.
However, that objectivity and frankness has since been put aside. In a BBC report on German industry a week ago, I heard that high energy costs due to the end of cheap Russian gas is not a significant factor in Germany’s economic travails since only 6% of German industry is very energy dependent.
Today, when European gas prices have dropped dramatically from the record levels of late 2022, there is some truth in reducing the weight we give to energy when explaining the German economic decline that is ongoing. However, natural gas has a far greater role in economic and social life than just to fuel the metallurgical or glass industries. It also is feedstock for the chemical and related industries as well as for fertilizers needed to maintain German and European agricultural output. Moreover, the decision of the German and European governments to prioritize geopolitics over domestic economic performance has been a very clear message to industry that Europe is not the place they want to be. Industrialists may not say much in public, but their falling investment here speaks volumes.
The facts are so obvious when you look at them that even the propagandists at The Financial Times have been obliged to give them space. See the article a day ago entitled “German industry unlikely to fully recover from energy crisis, warns RWE boss.” Here you see it in black and white: “German industry is unlikely to recover to pre-Ukraine war levels as elevated prices from imported liquefied natural gas have put Europe’s largest economy at a ‘disadvantage’, the chief of one of Germany’s leading energy companies has warned.”
This is not Russian propaganda. It is highly authoritative and responsible German executives speaking and they are reported in the viciously anti-Russian FT. No investigative journalists like Sy Hersh need apply to light the way for the general public.
©Gilbert Doctorow, 2024
Translation below into German (Andreas Mylaeus)
Europas sinkende Wirtschaft: Wie viele Ursachen können wir nennen und dabei den Faktor Russland ignorieren?
Wie ich in meinem letzten Aufsatz angedeutet habe, finden sich in den Mainstream-Medien viele Informationen, die es einem ermöglichen würden, sich unabhängig ein umfassendes Bild davon zu machen, was in der Welt vor sich geht, so kontraintuitiv das auch für diejenigen sein mag, die das Washingtoner Narrativ und seine kommerziellen Überbringer verachten. Die Fakten, die wir wissen müssen, sind jedoch entweder tief in Artikeln vergraben, deren Titel und einleitende Absätze dem Inhalt weiter unten widersprechen, oder sie sind, wie ich in diesem letzten Aufsatz schrieb, einzelne Punkte, die von den Journalisten und ihren Redakteuren nie miteinander verbunden werden, um das große Bild zu zeichnen, das sie nicht sehen wollen.
Mein heutiger Fall bezieht sich nicht auf den Krieg in der Ukraine, sondern auf seine Folgen: den sichtbaren und statistisch belegten Niedergang der europäischen Wirtschaft und insbesondere des Landes, das lange Zeit als ihre Lokomotive gefeiert wurde, Deutschland.
Dieses Thema hat in den letzten Wochen einen Großteil der Berichterstattung der Financial Times und anderer großer Medien bestimmt, als die Zahlen für die Wirtschaftsleistung zum Ende des letzten und Anfang dieses Jahres veröffentlicht wurden. Die jüngste Wachstumsschätzung der Europäischen Zentralbank für Europa beläuft sich auf magere 0,6 %, während Deutschland wahrscheinlich in ein zweites Quartal der Rezession eintritt.
Es wurde viel über die Hauptursachen für die schlechten wirtschaftlichen Ergebnisse geschrieben, in der Erwartung, dass, sobald sie identifiziert sind, geeignete Korrekturmaßnahmen ergriffen werden können. In letzter Zeit wurde die Aufmerksamkeit auf die im Vergleich zu den Vereinigten Staaten schwachen Kapitalmärkte in Europa gelenkt, die der Industrie Mittel für Investitionen vorenthalten, die die Produktivität steigern und Europa auf den Weltmärkten wettbewerbsfähiger machen würden.
Weitere Diskussionspunkte werden mit Spannung von Mario Draghi, dem ehemaligen italienischen Ministerpräsidenten und ehemaligen Präsidenten der Europäischen Zentralbank, erwartet, der von der Europäischen Kommission beauftragt wurde, Empfehlungen zur Verbesserung der europäischen Wettbewerbsfähigkeit vorzulegen.
Dabei wird jedoch übersehen, dass es unzulängliche Kapitalmärkte und die vielen anderen Handicaps, die Draghi wahrscheinlich aufzählen wird, schon seit langem gibt, dass aber die derzeitige eklatante Schwäche der deutschen Wirtschaft etwas ganz Neues ist und, offen gesagt, für jeden, der sich die Zahlen über den Zusammenbruch der deutschen Automobilproduktion ansieht, erstaunlich ist.
Vor mehr als sechs Monaten wurde in der Presse und in Sendungen der BBC und anderer Medien darüber berichtet, dass deutsche Industrielle ins Ausland abwandern und dort neue Investitionen tätigen, anstatt in ihrem Heimatland zu produzieren. Damals wurden die hohen Energiekosten, die seit dem Wegfall der russischen Gaspipeline nach der Zerstörung von Nord Stream I anfallen, offen als ein Faktor für die Deindustrialisierung Deutschlands genannt.
Diese Objektivität und Offenheit wurde jedoch inzwischen beiseite geschoben. In einem BBC-Bericht über die deutsche Industrie vor einer Woche hörte ich, dass die hohen Energiekosten aufgrund des Wegfalls des billigen russischen Gases kein wesentlicher Faktor für die wirtschaftliche Misere in Deutschland seien, da nur 6 % der deutschen Industrie stark energieabhängig seien.
Heute, da die europäischen Gaspreise gegenüber den Rekordwerten von Ende 2022 drastisch gesunken sind, ist es richtig, dass wir der Energie bei der Erklärung des anhaltenden wirtschaftlichen Niedergangs in Deutschland weniger Bedeutung beimessen. Erdgas spielt jedoch im wirtschaftlichen und gesellschaftlichen Leben eine weitaus größere Rolle als nur als Brennstoff für die Metall- oder Glasindustrie. Es ist auch Ausgangsstoff für die chemische und verwandte Industrien sowie für Düngemittel, die zur Aufrechterhaltung der deutschen und europäischen landwirtschaftlichen Produktion benötigt werden. Darüber hinaus war die Entscheidung der deutschen und europäischen Regierungen, der Geopolitik Vorrang vor der heimischen Wirtschaftsleistung einzuräumen, eine sehr klare Botschaft an die Industrie, dass Europa nicht der Ort ist, an dem sie sein möchte. Industrielle mögen in der Öffentlichkeit nicht viel sagen, aber ihre sinkenden Investitionen hier sprechen Bände.
Die Fakten sind so offensichtlich, dass sogar die Propagandisten der Financial Times gezwungen waren, ihnen Raum zu geben. Siehe den Artikel von vorgestern mit der Überschrift “German industry unlikely to fully recover from energy crisis, warns RWE boss” (“Die deutsche Industrie wird sich wahrscheinlich nicht vollständig von der Energiekrise erholen, warnt der RWE-Chef”). Hier sehen Sie es schwarz auf weiß: “Es ist unwahrscheinlich, dass sich die deutsche Industrie auf das Niveau vor dem Ukraine-Krieg erholt, da die hohen Preise für importiertes Flüssiggas Europas größte Volkswirtschaft ‘benachteiligt’ haben, warnte der Chef eines der führenden deutschen Energieunternehmen.”
Dies ist keine russische Propaganda. Es sind höchst maßgebliche und verantwortungsbewusste deutsche Führungskräfte, die hier sprechen und über die in der bösartig antirussischen FT berichtet wird. Investigative Journalisten wie Sy Hersh brauchen sich nicht zu bewerben, um für die Öffentlichkeit Licht ins Dunkel zu bringen.
gilbertdoctorow
En raison d’un sol mouvant et de fondations instables, la tour de Pise s’est inclinée depuis sa construction en 1173. Heureusement, grâce à un système de pylônes géants et de câbles d’acier très résistants, ce site classé au patrimoine mondial de l’UNESCO a été consolidé et (un peu) redressé au cours des dernières décennies.
Aujourd’hui, les mêmes outils et techniques utilisés à Pise par les ingénieurs sont employés pour empêcher l’autre merveille inclinée d’Italie, la tour Garisenda, de devenir la tour Jenga de Bologne.
La Garisenda, l’une des deux tours du 12e siècle qui surplombent la vieille ville pittoresque de Bologne, est depuis toujours déséquilibrée, explique Tomaso Trombetti, professeur d’ingénierie structurelle à l’université de Bologne. Lors de la construction de la torre en briques de 48 mètres de haut, un côté de sa fondation s’est tassé plus rapidement que l’autre. Cela a créé une inclinaison qui s’est progressivement aggravée pour atteindre quatre degrés, et qui représente aujourd'hui « un danger », explique Trombetti. L’autre tour de Bologne, l’Asinelli, mesure 97 mètres de haut et n’est quant à elle pas penchée de manière significative.
Guido Gottardi, professeur d’ingénierie géotechnique à l’université de Bologne, explique que les mêmes pylônes utilisés lors de la restauration de la tour de Pise de 1993 à 2001 seront ancrés dans le sous-sol autour de la tour Garisenda. « Il s’agit essentiellement d’une contre-mesure passive, qui servira à soutenir la tour en toute sécurité pendant que des interventions de renforcement et de restauration seront effectuées au niveau du sous-sol et de sa structure en maçonnerie. » Des collectes de fonds destinées à réhabiliter les deux tours fragiles sont également en cours.
La tour fait partie de ces nombreuses structures historiques bancales qui nécessitent une intervention humaine pour ne pas tomber en ruine. Outre les ravages du temps, de tels sites sont la cible de pillages et subissent les effets du surtourisme, de l’industrialisation et du changement climatique. Voici cinq autres merveilles en péril que les défenseurs de l’environnement tentent actuellement de sauver.
Le roi Henri VIII a construit le château de Hurst en 1544 sur une langue de terre le long de la côte du Hampshire. Les fortifications en pierre avaient pour objectif de défendre l’Angleterre contre les envahisseurs européens. Mais aucun ennemi humain n’a été aussi tenace que la mer, qui n'a de cesse de s’abattre sur le château. Les tempêtes violentes, l’élévation du niveau de la mer et le battement constant des vagues ont fini par saper les fondations du château, provoquant l’effondrement partiel de la batterie orientale de la structure en 2021.
Au cours des années qui ont suivi l’effondrement, 22 000 tonnes de roches et de galets ont été ajoutées pour renforcer le château. « Nous avons eu recours à un balayage laser pour créer des modèles numériques en 3D, qui nous ont ensuite permis d’évaluer quelles étaient les meilleures méthodes et pratiques [pour] restaurer le château », explique Ron Blakeley, chef de projet national pour English Heritage, qui cogère le complexe. D’avril à début novembre, les voyageurs peuvent se rendre en bateau sur le site pour explorer l’arsenal et la tour d’artillerie.
Dans une vallée aride à 420 kilomètres au sud du Caire se trouve Abydos, ce site archéologique composé d'un temple et d'une nécropole tentaculaires où de nombreux pharaons égyptiens de l’Antiquité ont été enterrés. Les premiers travaux de construction datent d’il y a 5 900 ans. Aujourd’hui, les visiteurs peuvent se promener dans les salles aux impressionnantes colonnes de pierre, admirer des sculptures murales raffinées dédiées au pharaon Séthi Ier et jeter un coup d’œil à l’Osiréion, une structure souterraine en pierre qui pourrait avoir été érigée en l’honneur d’Osiris, le dieu de la mort de l’Égypte ancienne.
Malheureusement, des pillards ont dégradé le site et dérobé des trésors de l’Antiquité et ont continué à déterrer illégalement des objets ces dernières années. Aujourd’hui, Abydos est l’un des sites archéologiques les plus surveillés et les moins fréquentés du pays. « Le haut niveau de sécurité et le manque de commodités pour les visiteurs contribuent au faible taux de fréquentation [d’Abydos] », explique Johnathan S. Bell, vice-président des programmes du World Monument Fund (WMF), une ONG qui protège le patrimoine culturel.
Pour enrayer le déclin du complexe archéologique, le gouvernement égyptien, le WMF et d’autres organismes ont lancé plusieurs projets de conservation. Ces projets comprennent la restauration minutieuse des frises murales colorées et l’installation d’ancrages en acier pour renforcer les points affaiblis de l’Osireion.
Peu de musées exposent autant d’œuvres d’art que Murujuga, ce paysage accidenté d’Australie occidentale où les Aborigènes ont gravé dans la roche plus d’un million de pétroglyphes pendant des milliers d’années. En vous rendant dans cette galerie en plein air, située à environ 1250 kilomètres au nord de Perth, vous y découvrirez des sentiers bordés de gravures de wallabies, de kangourous et de symboles indigènes.
Cependant, l’exploitation minière et d’autres formes d’industrialisation endommagent le plus grand site d’art rupestre du monde situé sur cette péninsule isolée. À en croire les scientifiques, Murujuga (aussi appelée Burrup) pourrait ne pas survivre à un autre siècle de pollution croissante.
En février 2024, les traditionnels propriétaires autochtones de Murujuga ont célébré deux victoires dans leur combat pour préserver le site. En effet, le gouvernement d’Australie-Occidentale a non seulement ajouté environ 253 hectares pour le développement au parc national protégé de Murujuga, mais a aussi annoncé une nouvelle mesure qui accorde une plus grande place à ces communautés dans la gestion du site.
Ces peuples aborigènes sont par ailleurs à la tête d’une initiative visant à faire inscrire Murujuga au patrimoine mondial de l’UNESCO.
À 30 km au nord de Mexico, plus d’un million de voyageurs visitent chaque année les ruines de Teotihuacan. Construit entre le 1er et le 7e siècle de notre ère par une civilisation inconnue, ce site de 36 kilomètres carrés constituait il y a un millier d’années la plus grande métropole de l’hémisphère occidental.
Connue pour ses impressionnantes structures de pierre, dont la pyramide du Soleil et le temple de Quetzalcoatl, la cité de Teotihuacan est en proie au surtourisme tandis que ses bâtiments se dégradent en raison des dommages causés par les intempéries et de restaurations mal exécutées dans les années 1900. Le World Monument Fund alerte également sur les structures informelles qui entourent désormais le site et occupent des terrains qui pourraient regorger de trésors archéologiques.
Des mesures ont déjà été prises pour conserver Quetzalcoatl, comme l’amélioration du drainage, le comblement des fissures structurelles et l’extraction du sel corrosif qui recouvrait sa façade. Aujourd’hui, le WMF et d’autres groupes font pression pour que la communauté locale soit davantage impliquée dans le cadre d’une stratégie de tourisme durable.
Les sites historiques sont loin de n’être que des châteaux ou des tours médiévales. La station-service Osterman, construite dans les années 1920 et située dans la petite ville de Peach Springs dans l'Arizona, a longtemps été chérie par sa communauté et appréciée par les voyageurs de la Route 66. Construit à partir d’un bloc de briques provenant d’un magasin Sears, le bâtiment était particulièrement important pour le peuple Hualapai local, car de nombreux membres de cette communauté indigène travaillaient à la station ou s’y réunissaient avec des amis et leur famille.
Située à 64 kilomètres au sud du Grand Canyon Skywalk, la station-service est tellement aimée des Hualapai qu'ils ont décidé de racheter le bâtiment après sa fermeture en 2005. Aujourd’hui, ils le restaurent avec l’aide du National Trust for Historic Preservation, une ONG qui protège les sites patrimoniaux à travers les États-Unis.
« Le mur qui s’était effondré a été reconstruit et un nouveau toit est en cours d’installation », explique Amy Webb, directrice principale de la préservation au National Trust. Les Hualapai prévoient de convertir le bâtiment en un musée, un centre artistique, un café et une station de recharge pour véhicules électriques.
Cet article a initialement paru sur le site nationalgeographic.com en langue anglaise.
Tel un groupe d’adolescents se pressant au sommet d’une falaise, attendant de voir si quelqu’un aura assez de courage pour sauter en premier dans le lac, des centaines de manchots empereurs (Aptenodytes forsteri) âgés de quelques mois seulement se massent au sommet d’une plateforme glaciaire de l’Antarctique culminant à 15 mètres environ au-dessus de la mer.
Poussés par la faim, les poussins se penchent au-dessus du gouffre, comme pour se demander s’ils survivront à un plongeon d’une telle hauteur dans les eaux glaciales de l’Antarctique.
Puis un manchot se lance.
Certains spécimens tendent le cou pour le regarder chuter et heurter l’eau en contrebas avec fracas. Quelques secondes plus tard, le petit manchot refait surface et s’éloigne en nageant pour aller se remplir l’estomac de poissons, de krills et de calamars frais. Petit à petit, d’autres jeunes poussins s’élancent, tombent et agitent des ailes faites pour traverser l’eau, et non les airs.
Les réalisateurs de la série documentaire National Geographic intitulée Les Secrets des pingouins, ont immortalisé cette scène extraordinairement rare à l’aide d’un drone au mois de janvier dans la baie d’Atka, sur les rives de la mer de Weddell, en Antarctique occidental. Selon certains scientifiques, il s’agirait des toutes premières images vidéo de jeunes manchots empereurs sautant d’une falaise aussi haute.
« Je n’arrive pas à croire qu’ils aient réussi à filmer ça », jubile Michelle LaRue, biologiste de la conservation à l’Université de Canterbury à Christchurch, en Nouvelle-Zélande. Michelle LaRue, qui n’a pas été témoin de ces sauts, s’était rendue dans la baie d’Atka pour conseiller l’équipe de tournage qui en était à sa troisième année de documentation du comportement du manchot empereur, de la ponte des œufs à l’envol des petits.
D’ordinaire, les manchots empereurs nichent sur de la glace de mer flottante qui fond et disparaît chaque année, et non sur une plateforme glaciaire, qui est, elle, fermement attachée à la terre. Mais dernièrement, certaines colonies nichent sur la plateforme. Selon les théories des scientifiques, ce changement pourrait être lié à une fonte saisonnière de la banquise de plus en plus précoce à cause du changement climatique.
Selon la liste rouge de l’Union internationale pour la conservation de la nature (UICN), le manchot empereur, dont la population mondiale s’élève à 500 000 oiseaux environ, est « quasi menacé » d’extinction, et ce en grande partie à cause des conséquences du changement climatique sur son royaume de glace.
Début janvier 2024, à la fin de l’été de l’hémisphère sud, dans les semaines qui ont précédé la rupture de la banquise, les réalisateurs ont repéré un groupe de poussins qui, selon LaRue, ont vraisemblablement grandi sur la plateforme de glace avant de se mettre en route vers la falaise, plus au nord, en se dandinant. Curieux de savoir où ils se rendaient, les réalisateurs ont déployé un drone pour obtenir une vue plongeante. Peu à peu, d’autres poussins ont rejoint le groupe de flâneurs, dont les rangs se sont garnis jusqu’à ce que deux cents jeunes manchots se tiennent au sommet du promontoire.
Gerald Kooyman, physiologiste qui étudie les manchots empereurs en Antarctique depuis plus de cinq décennies, raconte qu’il n’a assisté qu’une seule fois à un événement de ce type… il y a plus de trente ans.
« La neige à la dérive avait formé une rampe en pente douce de glace de mer jusqu’à un iceberg et un troupeau de poussins sur le départ avait grimpé la rampe jusqu’à l’iceberg », écrit-il dans son livre intitulé Journeys with Emperors, publié au mois de novembre 2023.
« On les a repérés au niveau d’une falaise de 20 mètres surplombant une mer qui était parfois désencombrée et parfois parsemée de fragments de glace. » En l’espace de deux jours, près de 2 000 poussins se sont rassemblés sur le rebord.
« Puis ils ont commencé à se laisser tomber dans le vide », écrit Gerald Kooyman, professeur émérite au Centre de biotechnologie marine et de biomédecine de l’Institut Scripps d’océanographie, en Californie.
« Ils ne sautaient pas, ne faisaient pas de bond, il se contentaient d’avancer et de tomber tête la première, parfois en effectuant deux vrilles avant de frapper l’eau dans un plouf sonore ».
D’après les scientifiques qui surveillent les manchots à l’aide de satellites en orbite, ce phénomène est rare. Peter Fretwell, scientifique du British Antarctic Survey (BAS) ayant étudié la colonie d’empereurs de la baie d’Atka pendant plusieurs années à l’aide d’images satellites, voit occasionnellement des empreintes de manchots tracer un chemin vers le nord, vers cette falaise. Selon lui, il se pourrait qu’en janvier les poussins aient suivi un ou deux adultes vagabonds qui « sont, en somme, allés dans le mauvais en sens ».
Les manchots empereurs juvéniles se jettent généralement depuis la glace de mer et sautent d’une hauteur de moins d’un mètre dans l’océan. Mais selon les scientifiques, ces poussins se sont retrouvés à un endroit permettant mal d’entrer dans l’eau, et ils étaient en plus affamés. Leurs parents étaient déjà partis en mer. Ils leur avaient envoyé par ce départ le message que le temps était venu pour eux de pêcher par eux-mêmes, et les poussins étaient restés assis sagement en attendant que poussent leurs plumes lisses, soyeuses et imperméables pour remplacer leur duvet.
« Quand ils arrivent sur cette paroi de falaise, ils se disent : "Bon, je vois l’océan et je dois aller là-dedans, explique Michelle LaRue. Cela n’a pas l’air d’être un saut très amusant, mais j’imagine qu’il va bien falloir que j’y aille." »
Si les scientifiques ne pensent pas que l’incident du saut de la falaise soit directement lié au réchauffement de l’Antarctique par l’effet du changement climatique, Peter Fretwell souligne toutefois que le déclin continu de la banquise du continent contraint peut-être davantage de manchots empereurs à se reproduire sur les plateformes glaciaires ; ainsi ce comportement pourrait être plus fréquent à l’avenir.
Le déclin soudain de la glace de la banquise en Antarctique depuis 2016 et ses conséquences probablement sinistres pour la survie à long terme des manchots empereurs préoccupent les scientifiques.
« Selon nos estimations, nous pourrions perdre l’ensemble de la population d’ici à la fin du siècle, prévient Peter Fretwell. Il est déchirant de penser que l’espèce dans son entièreté pourrait disparaître si le changement climatique continue sur la trajectoire actuelle. »
Michelle LaRue demeure optimiste quant à la capacité des empereurs à s’adapter. Pour elle, leurs récents sauts de l’ange témoignent de leur robustesse.
« Ils sont extraordinairement résilients, souligne-t-elle. Ils sont là depuis des millions d’années ; ils ont assisté à beaucoup de changements différents au sein de leur environnement. La question est la rapidité avec laquelle ils seront capables de faire face aux changements qui sont en train de se produire ; et jusqu'à quels retranchements ils pourront être poussés. »
Cet article a initialement paru sur le site nationalgeographic.com en langue anglaise.
Rendez-vous au Mercado Municipal, ce bâtiment de style Beaux-Arts surmonté d’un dôme, où vous pourrez acheter dès 6 heures tous types de produits, comme de la morue salée, des épices et des beignets frits. Ne manquez pas de goûter aux cohinxas, une spécialité locale en forme de poire et fourrée à la viande. Les Paulistes jouent des coudes pour boire un pingado, un espresso servi avec une goutte de lait, sur la mezzanine de Bar do Mané. Accompagnez-le des pastels au fromage encore fumants ou de ses fameuses versions sucrées, à la banane frite caramélisée ou à la goyave.
Les rues autour du marché sont chacune spécialisées dans un secteur particulier : lunettes, chaussures ou encore électronique. S’il y a foule, rendez-vous au Jardim da Luz, situé à 20 minutes à pied. Baladez-vous au milieu de la végétation luxuriante avant de rejoindre le musée Pinacoteca aux briques roses par la porte est du parc (le musée ouvre à 10 heures). L’ingénieux éclairage du toit et les passerelles flottantes en acier datant des années 1990 et ont été réalisées par l’architecture Paulo Mendes de la Rocha. Vous pourrez y admirer les œuvres de célèbres artistes contemporains comme Sonia Gomes, ainsi qu’un Picasso dérobé lors d’un grand braquage.
À la gare de Luz, bâtiment qui rappelle le Parlement britannique, prenez la Linha 4 du métro jusqu’à la station Oscar Freire. Les rues commerçantes environnantes sont les plus huppées de la ville. Arrêtez-vous d’abord à Pinga pour découvrir la mode brésilienne conceptuelle de créateurs comme Ão et Vanda Jacintho. Deux rues plus loin, vous trouverez Alameda Gabriel Monteiro da Silva, une avenue sur laquelle il est difficile de faire la distinction entre les somptueuses résidences au style minimaliste et les luxueuses boutiques comme Dpot, un magasin vendant du mobilier en bois de palissandre dans une villa surbaissée.
Le jiquitaia est une sorte de piment moulu par les Indiens Baniwa dans la forêt amazonienne. Il est la star du menu du restaurant éponyme situé dans le quartier Paraíso, mais aussi des cocktails qui y sont servis, où il rehausse le goût du bloody Mary maison. La salle à manger du restaurant est simple, mais accueillante. Le poisson entier grillé au barbecue est le plat idéal à partager. Il est découpé à votre table pour préserver le croustillant de sa peau épicée et servi avec du porridge de manioc et du riz parfumé. Pour ceux qui ne mangent pas de viande, le menu comporte une version végétarienne du ragoût de crevettes et de gombo à la saveur acidulée.
Traversez le quartier Paraíso pour aller admirer l’impressionnant Monumento às Bandeiras en granite. Réalisé par le légendaire sculpteur italo-brésilien Victor Brecheret, il rend hommage aux Brésiliens autochtones et aux enclaves exploités par les colons portugais qui exploraient l’intérieur des terres du Brésil. La leçon d’histoire se poursuit au Museu Afro Brasil, situé dans le parc Ibirapuera. Son hall est dédié à Emanoel Araújo, fondateur du musée et célèbre sculpteur connu pour ses totems massifs en acier plissé. À l’étage, vous trouverez la reconstruction partielle d’un navire négrier, ainsi que des peintures et sculptures modernes réalisées par quelques-uns des 100 millions de Brésiliens d’ascendance africaine.
La plupart des bâtiments du parc Ibirapuera (y compris celui abritant le Museu Afro Brazil) sont l’œuvre de l’architecte brésilien le plus connu, Oscar Niemeyer. Le plus photographié est sans doute le dôme organique d’Oca, un hall d’exposition réalisé en 1951 dont la forme s’inspire des anciennes habitations des autochtones brésiliens. Mention spéciale toutefois à l’Auditório Ibirapuera, bâtiment en forme de pyramide. Prenez le temps d’admirer cette structure, dont la marquise vermillon s’élève au-dessus de l’entrée comme une flamme, avant de vous laisser envelopper dans un tourbillon de rouge dans son hall. L’auditorium dispose de quelques centaines de places assises à l’intérieur, mais la scène s’ouvre complètement à l’arrière du bâtiment, ce qui permet d’accueillir 15 000 spectateurs sur l’immense pelouse.
Le soir venu, les habitants de São Paulo sortent de la station de métro República et prennent d’assaut les cafés et bars de l’Avenida Ipiranga. Orfeu est le plus animé et le plus coloré de tous. Il se trouve dans une rue piétonne interdite à la circulation et à la chaussée décorée (les fameux « trottoirs portugais », un assemblage de pavés né au 19e siècle à Lisbonne). Sur le balcon au deuxième étage, les couples se pelotonnent autour de boulettes de risotto et de dés de tapioca frits. On entend depuis le trottoir la funk arrocha, reconnaissable à ses percussions qui rappelle le Reggaeton, qui s’échappe des fenêtres ouvertes, tandis que des fêtards tatoués aux cheveux longs et légèrement vêtus boivent des caïpirinhas sur le trottoir.
Si vous êtes pris d’une fringale nocturne, rendez-vous à Estadão. À l’origine fréquenté par les employés du journal Estadão (qui a depuis déménagé), ce comptoir casse-croûte est aujourd’hui plus populaire que jamais. Il a su séduire sa clientèle avec son service en continu, ses carreaux de faïence ainsi que ses salamis et agrumes suspendus au plafond. Chaque plat du menu est délicieux, mais le Tradicional est l’idéal pour absorber l’alcool. Il consiste en d’épaisses tranches de rôti de porc, servi avec du chou frit sur un bon vieux Kaiser roll (petit pain autrichien) et à arroser d’une huile pimentée maison.
Cet article a initialement paru dans le numéro d’avril 2024 de l’édition britannique du magazine National Geographic Traveller, en langue anglaise.
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