Connexion
L’Iran a mené une attaque contre un site de déploiement d’avions de chasse américains F-35, F-15 et F-16. L’attaque a
L’article L’Iran affirme avoir détruit un grand nombre d’avions de chasse américains sur une base en Jordanie est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le Royaume-Uni, la France et l’Allemagne produiront conjointement des armes à longue portée et des systèmes de défense aérienne pour
L’article L’Allemagne, la France et le Royaume-Uni préparent Kiev à des frappes intensives contre la Russie est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Les pays de l’UE devraient ouvrir leurs dépôts militaires aux approvisionnements destinés à l’Ukraine et transformer leur production, en abandonnant
L’article Le commissaire européen à la Défense appelle à passer d’armements raffinés à une production de masse est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
L’armée russe a lancé une frappe massive contre des installations de commandement et de contrôle militaires ukrainiennes, des bases aériennes
L’article L’armée russe lance des frappes de Kinjal et d’Orechnik en représailles de l’attaque contre le foyer d’étudiants de Starobelsk est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le président américain persiste dans son comportement excentrique. Trump promet d’envoyer 5 000 soldats supplémentaires en Pologne, ce qui, selon
L’article Trump promet d’envoyer 5 000 militaires supplémentaires en Pologne est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
La Biélorussie et la Russie ne représentent aucune menace pour quiconque, mais sont prêtes à défendre leur patrie commune, de
L’article Loukachenko : “La Biélorussie et la Russie sont prêtes à défendre la patrie de Brest à Vladivostok” est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
En Ukraine, les dirigeants du pays ont décidé de limoger deux vice-ministres de la Défense. Cette décision a été annoncée
L’article Vague de limogeages au ministère ukrainien de la Défense est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Des exercices conjoints d’entraînement au combat d’armes nucléaires et de soutien nucléaire ont débuté entre les unités militaires russes et
L’article La Russie et la Biélorussie lancent des exercices conjoints sur l’emploi de l’arme nucléaire est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le président russe Vladimir Poutine a salué les essais du dernier système de missiles Sarmat, a déclaré le porte-parole du
L’article Nouveau test du missile Sarmat, un événement important selon Poutine est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le Parlement irakien a convoqué le ministre de la Défense, le ministre de l’Intérieur et de hauts responsables de la
L’article L’Irak découvre qu’Israël a construit une base militaire sur son territoire pour la guerre contre l’Iran est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
L’annonce par le président américain Donald Trump d’une possible réduction des forces américaines en Allemagne a provoqué un choc au
L’article Trump annonce une possible réduction des troupes américaines en Allemagne, le Pentagone pris au dépourvu est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
De violents combats entre une alliance de groupes antigouvernementaux et l’armée centrale ont ravagé le Mali. Les autorités maliennes ont
L’article L’Africa Corps russe mis à l’épreuve par les attaques coordonnées au Mali est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
La dernière réunion du Groupe de contact sur l’Ukraine au format Rammstein a définitivement consolidé la tendance à un partenariat
L’article La réunion du Groupe de contact sur l’Ukraine acte l’adaptation de la production militaire européenne aux besoins de Kiev est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Kalachnikov a développé et testé avec succès des cartouches multiballes uniques pour fusil d’assaut destinées à contrer les drones. «
L’article Le groupe Kalachnikov a mis au point des cartouches multiballes pour la lutte antidrone est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
L’Ukraine poursuit ses attaques contre les installations pétrolières et gazières russes, utilisant l’espace aérien des pays baltes. Dans la nuit
L’article Zelensky mise sur des financements du Moyen-Orient pour des drones, des missiles et un cosmodrome est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
En 2025, 410 000 personnes ont intégré l’armée sous contrat. Comme l’a indiqué M. Belooussov, les deux tiers d’entre elles
L’article L’armée russe a dépassé son plan de recrutement de contractuels est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Alexandre Otrochtchenko, commandant des forces aériennes et de défense aérienne de la 45e armée de la flotte du Nord, figurait
L’article Le commandant de l’aviation de la flotte russe du Nord a péri dans le crash de l’An-26 survenu la semaine passée est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
L’Iran a annoncé la destruction d’un deuxième avion de chasse F-35 de l’armée de l’air américaine dans son ciel. L’information
L’article L’Iran annonce avoir abattu un deuxième F-35 est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Une série de limogeages de hauts gradés militaires a eu lieu au Pentagone. CNN l’a rapporté le 3 avril, citant
L’article Trump limoge des généraux de l’armée de terre est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
L’Iran n’a pas utilisé la plupart des missiles qu’il a produits depuis le conflit de juin avec Israël, et nombre
L’article L’Iran affirme ne pas avoir encore utilisé la plupart des missiles produits depuis la guerre de 12 jours est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le président Trump a franchi une nouvelle étape dans l’escalade du conflit avec l’Iran en autorisant une frappe qu’il a
L’article Trump frappe l’île stratégique de Kharg où transite l’essentiel du pétrole iranien est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
L’Iran a annoncé avoir mis hors service le porte-avions américain Abraham Lincoln, alors que les échanges de frappes se poursuivent
L’article L’Iran affirme avoir mis hors service le porte-avions Abraham Lincoln est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Israël et les États-Unis ont attaqué les plus grandes villes d’Iran. Les frappes de représailles iraniennes ont touché de nombreux
L’article L’opération américano-israélienne contre l’Iran peut-elle dégénérer en guerre de grande ampleur ? est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le président serbe Aleksandar Vučić a qualifié l’alliance militaire entre la Croatie, l’Albanie et le Kosovo de « principale menace
L’article Vucic annonce accélérer le réarmement de la Serbie face à la triple alliance Albanie-Croatie-Kosovo est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Fin 2025, les fabricants russes de composants pour systèmes d’aéronefs sans pilote étaient parvenus à localiser une part importante de
L’article La Russie a localisé la production de la plupart des composants pour ses drones est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le 8 février, la France a lancé Orion 26, son plus important exercice militaire depuis la fin de la Guerre
L’article La France lance ses plus grands exercices militaires depuis la fin de la guerre froide est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Il n’est pas dans l’intérêt des États-Unis de s’engager seuls dans des opérations internationales ; l’armée américaine se concentrera plutôt sur
L’article Le Pentagone publie une nouvelle stratégie de défense est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le 27 décembre, le chef d’état-major russe, Guérassimov, a annoncé la sécurisation de Gouliaïpolié. Les forces ukrainiennes enquêtent sur les
L’article Guérassimov annonce la prise de Gouliaïpolié, les Ukrainiens enquêtent sur l’abandon du poste de commandement est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le budget militaire japonais pour 2026, approuvé par le gouvernement, dépasse les 9 000 milliards de yens (58 milliards de
L’article Le Japon approuve un budget militaire record pour sa défense côtière et des armes télécommandées est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
L’article Macron veut lancer la construction d’un nouveau porte-avions est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Alors que les initiatives de Trump pour mettre fin au conflit entre Moscou et Kiev font l’objet de discussions, le
L’article Zelensky prépare un nouveau plan de Défense comprenant une ligne de drones et des bataillons de femmes est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
‘Should Japan dare to cross red line, it is destined to pay heavy price’
From GT
China’s Ministry of National Defense (MND) on Thursday responded intensively to a series of recent moves by Japan, including the deployment of missiles on Yonaguni Island, the first export of deadly weapons since Japan relaxed arms export controls, and Japan’s initiation of discussions on revising three security-related documents.
Slamming these dangerous moves, MND spokesperson Jiang Bin said at a press conference held on Thursday that should the Japanese side dare to cross the red line and invite trouble to itself, it is destined to pay a heavy price. He added that people around the world, especially those from China and other victimized countries in Asia, will never forget the catastrophe brought by Japanese fascists. The specter of Japanese militarism must never be allowed to haunt the world again.
Recent media reports said that the Japanese government has sold its domestically produced Patriot air-defense missiles to the US. It was the first export of deadly weapons since Japan relaxed controls on arms exports. In addition, the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan has started discussions on revising its three security documents, including the revision of its three non-nuclear principles and increasing its defense spending.
Commenting on the latest moves, Jiang warned that the international community must be on high alert against Japan’s revisionist attempts to break away from the restraints of its pacifist constitution. The attempts include brazenly expanding its military build-up, drastically increasing its defense budget, expediting the revision of its security policies, relaxing restrictions on weapons exports, and attempting to revoke the three non-nuclear principles. It is even attempting to intervene militarily on the Taiwan question. These moves pose serious threats to regional peace and stability, Jiang said.
Regarding the Japanese side’s plan to station medium-range surface-to-air missiles at Yonaguni Island 110 kilometers east of Taiwan, and responding to Japanese Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi’s recent claim that the deployment “will lower the risk of Japan being attacked”, the MND spokesperson said, “Should the Japanese side dare to cross the red line and invite troubles to itself, it is destined to pay a heavy price.”
Jiang noted that this year marks the 80th anniversary of Taiwan’s restoration. “Instead of repenting for its war crimes of invading and colonizing Taiwan, Japan is taking an extremely wrong approach by suggesting military intervention in a so-called Taiwan contingency. This dangerous approach will uproot the post-WWII international order, and lead Japan to repeat the mistakes of its militarist past.”
The PLA has strong capabilities and reliable means to defeat any aggressors, Jiang stressed.
The MND also responded to recent claims from a source in the Japanese Self-Defense Forces saying that if the aircraft carrier Fujian takes military action in the Taiwan Straits, “Japanese and US forces will have the capability to sink it.”
In response, Jiang said, “it is nothing but sheer fantasy and an overestimation of one’s own abilities.”
Japan’s recent series of dangerous moves have inflicted severe harm and posed a major threat to peace and stability in the region and beyond, a Chinese expert said.
“Alarmingly, Japan has shown no remorse whatsoever for its aggressive past in World War II; instead, it continues to stir up troubles and revive militarist practices. Furthermore, Japan harbors ambitions to develop nuclear weapons, acquire nuclear-powered equipment, and promote arms exports. The core reason for its ‘recklessness’ is its utter lack of repentance for its WWII aggression,” Song Zhongping, a military affairs expert, told the Global Times on Thursday.
Song warned that if such a country is allowed to revive militarism, it will undoubtedly bring catastrophic consequences to the region and the world at large.
Song believes that China, as a core force for safeguarding regional and global peace, will never tolerate Japan’s dangerous acts. If Japan dares to exacerbate regional unrest and inflict harm on the region, China will resolutely step forward, and take firm and effective measures to crack down on and resolutely curb Japan’s militarist resurgence.
Tensions have boiled between Beijing and Tokyo following Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s erroneous remarks on the Taiwan question. The comments have sparked widespread public debate and continuous protests within Japan, with prominent politicians and experts voicing open opposition.
In an exclusive interview with the Global Times, Yukiko Kaikita, president of the Kumamoto Chapter of the Women’s Association for Peace and Against Military Expansion, said Takaichi’s remarks constitute blatant interference in China’s internal affairs, and that a large number of Japanese citizens hope she will retract her statements and issue an apology.
“Most importantly, Japan’s core commitment to the world is that we would never again wage war. When World War II ended in 1945, the Japanese people not only enshrined this principle in our constitution but also internalized, from the bottom of their hearts, the conviction that ‘we must never go to war again’,” said Kaikita. “Yet, among Japanese politicians, that conviction gradually faded, as it was replaced by a complete tilt toward the US-Japan security framework. This shift fills us with deep anger.”
Tard dans la soirée du 20 novembre, le porte-parole de la présidence, Dmitri Peskov, a tenu un point de presse
L’article Poutine s’entretient avec Gerassimov à l’un des postes de commandement du groupe Zapad dans le Donbass est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le président ukrainien Volodymyr Zelensky et son homologue français, Emmanuel Macron, ont signé un mémorandum d’intention portant sur l’achat d’armements
L’article La France promet 100 Rafale à Zelensky mais personne n’a l’argent pour les commander est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
À Dubaï, il fait 32 degrés Celsius, une chaleur étouffante, mais des centaines d’hommes en costume sombre se pressent autour
L’article Au Salon aéronautique de Dubaï, la Russie est le seul pays à disposer de son propre pavillon est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
NATO having spent $400B, armed 32 countries to the teeth, and still got humiliated by the glorified gas station they mocked for decades, and now Finland’s defense minister is lashing out at China because he can’t face the truth:
Russia crushed the West’s entire Ukraine project, and the people who promised “as long as it takes” are choking on their own failure.
What Antti Hakkanen calls “China massively financing Russia’s war chest” is nothing but the howl of a man watching the myth collapse. He’s not revealing Chinese financial aid, it doesn’t exist, he’s mourning. Mourning the fantasy that Western sanctimony could bend Eurasia into submission. Mourning the delusion that sanctions would break Russia. Mourning the fairy tale that Europe’s rusted militaries, hollow economies, and performative moralism could stop a country that actually knows how to fight.
When a $400B project collapses in real time, projection becomes doctrine.
We were humiliated so badly by the gas station, let’s blame China, then it doesn’t sound quite as humiliating. That western ROI, is absolutely humiliating for the West.
And while these ministers flail, the truth they avoid is the truth they fear: Russia didn’t just survive the siege, it grew stronger, and is now an economic superpower, thanks to European sanctions. Production up. Trade soaring. A yuan–ruble axis that outflanks the dollar-euro Ponzi. An army that out-produces all of NATO’s munitions lines combined. And a political class that didn’t buckle when every Western capital bet the house on collapse. The West is left blaming Beijing, because blaming themselves would mean facing the magnitude of their humiliation.
But beneath all this geopolitical cope lies the ugliest truth of all, the industrial-scale laundering that turned Ukraine into a gold rush for Western contractors and Ukrainian elites. While Ukrainian soldiers bled in mud, the presidential inner circle lined pockets with wartime energy contracts, nuclear-grid kickbacks, and foreign aid skimmed through shell firms that all led back to the same small circle of insiders. Golden toilets. Monaco apartments. Offshore accounts fattened while families froze in high-rise stairwells during blackouts. And one day, when this war finally ends and the spell breaks, Ukraine’s own citizens will turn around and see who sold them to the highest bidder. Not Moscow. Not Beijing. But the very handlers who promised salvation and delivered only debt, depopulation, and graves. There is no amnesty in history for leaders who steal from their own dead.
Finland isn’t sounding an alarm, but it is confessing defeat. Because if a “gas station with nukes” can defeat 32 NATO militaries, devour $400B in Western investment, and still push relentlessly through Pokrovsk, then it isn’t a gas station at all — it’s a civilization with a memory, a spine, and an economy immune to Western fantasies. What broke wasn’t Russia. What broke was the illusion that the West still commands the world.
And here’s the real sting: China didn’t break NATO’s strategy, NATO’s arrogance did.
A hubris so blinding they mistook their own propaganda for reality. A delusion so deep they believed history had ended. A failure so absolute the only thing left is to blame the rising world for refusing to drown with them.
That’s the verdict of this war.
Not just defeat, exposure. And no minister in Helsinki can spin that away.
– Gerry Nolan @ TheIslanderNews
La Russie occupe la deuxième place du classement des pays en termes de puissance militaire, rapporte Business Insider, citant le
L’article Le classement Global Firepower place l’armée russe au 2e rang mondial est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Les forces armées russes ont créé une force de systèmes sans pilote, comme l’a annoncé le 12 novembre le colonel
L’article L’armée russe dispose désormais d’une composante dédiée aux drones est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Minister of Defence Belousov at the Russian Security Council (RSC): “… the United States plans to adopt the new Dark Eagle medium-range missile system with hypersonic missiles with a range of 5,500 kilometers at the end of this year.”
with appreciation to Dr. Karl at karlof1’s Geopolitical Gymnasium.
Russian Security Council met in person instead of the recent video format—telling.
That Russia’s Security Council met wasn’t surprising; what was surprising was for Mr. Volodin, the Duma Head, to request the agenda be postponed and the issue of Trump’s vow to resume testing nuclear weapons be discussed since it’s of great concern as you’ll read. And then the most surprising point was the publication of the entire discussion, which was certainly an act of signal sending. As one might presume, the Russians are far better informed about the Outlaw US Empire’s nuclear program than the Empire’s citizens are. The Gym’s American readers ought to pay close attention to what Team Trump has planned and note the primary meme this will fall under—Peace Through Strength. Now for the discussion:
V. Putin: Dear colleagues, good afternoon!
As you know, our government delegation has just returned from a trip to the People’s Republic of China. Mikhail Vladimirovich [Mishustin] has reported to me in detail about the results of this work. I believe that it was very timely, informative, and highly useful. After the main issues have been addressed, I would like to ask Mikhail Vladimirovich to inform all our colleagues about this.
The main issue we are discussing today is transport safety. The speaker is Andrey Sergeevich Nikitin, Minister of Transport.
V. Volodin: Vladimir Vladimirovich,can we skip the agenda?
V. Putin: Yes, please, I ask you.
V. Volodin: Given that Trump recently literally stated that the United States of America is resuming nuclear weapons testing, the deputies are asking a question and are generally concerned about the situation. Because it is clear where the world can be pushed.
Therefore, based on the fact that two years ago, you said that if the United States returns to testing nuclear weapons, Russia has every right to do the same. Can you explain what steps and actions we will take on this topic, which is of great concern to almost every member of parliament? Given that this is an extremely important issue, especially since the President of the United States has expressed his opinion on it.
V.Putin: Yes, indeed, this is a serious issue. Let’s listen to our colleagues.
The floor is now given to the Minister of Defence, Andrey Removich [Belousov]. Please, I ask you.
A. Belousov: Dear Vladimir Vladimirovich! Dear colleagues!
We should certainly focus not only on the statements and remarks of political figures and American officials, but primarily on the actions of the United States of America. These actions clearly indicate Washington’s active development of strategic offensive weapons.
First, the White House has consistently withdrawn from long-standing arms reduction and limitation treaties. In 2002, it withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, in 2019, it withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, and in 2020, it withdrew from the Open Skies Treaty.Therefore, a possible U.S. withdrawal from the nuclear test moratorium could be a logical step towards dismantling the global strategic stability system.
The second is that the United States is carrying out a forced modernizationof its strategic offensive weapons. Work is underway to create a new intercontinental ballistic missile, the Sentinel, with a new nuclear warhead. It will have a range of 13,000 kilometers. Work is also underway on a new strategic nuclear submarine, the Columbia, to replace the Ohio. A new heavy bomber, the B-21 Raider, is being developed. A nuclear-armed cruise missile is being developed, and so on. It is planned to reopen 56 launchers on 14 Ohio-class submarines, I want to emphasize, namely de-mothballing, they’re fully loaded with Trident II ballistic missiles. Preparations are also underway for the reverse conversion of 30 B-52H strategic bombers into nuclear weapons carriers.
Third, the Americans have begun implementing the Golden Dome program, which includes both missile interception and pre-launch destruction of Russian and Chinese missiles.
Fourth, the United States plans to adopt the new Dark Eagle medium-range missile system with hypersonic missiles with a range of 5,500 kilometers at the end of this year. This system is planned to be deployed in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. The flight time from Germany, where this missile system is planned to be deployed, to central Russia is estimated to be around six to seven minutes.
Fifth, Washington regularly conducts exercises for strategic offensive forces. The last such exercise, Global Thunder 2025, which focused on the preemptive use of nuclear missiles against Russian territory, took place in October of this year.
In general, this is a single set of measures that includes possible US plans for conducting nuclear tests, which significantly increase the level of military danger for Russia.
This means that we must maintain our nuclear capabilities in a state of readiness to respond to any unacceptable damage caused by the enemy, and we must act appropriately in response to Washington’s actions to ensure the security of our country.
Taking into account the above, I consider it expedient to begin preparations for full-scale nuclear tests immediately. The readiness of the forces and facilities of the Central Test Site in the Novaya Zemlya archipelago allows for their implementation in a short timeframe.
V. Putin: Thank you. I have invited the Chief of the General Staff to participate in the work on the first issue, the main issue. Since this issue has arisen, I would like to ask Valery Vasilyevich to also speak on this topic, please.
V. Gerasimov: Comrade Supreme Commander-in-Chief!
The fact that the American side has not provided any official explanations for President Trump’s statement regarding the resumption of nuclear tests does not suggest that the United States will not begin preparing for and conducting nuclear tests in the near future.
The American side may continue to avoid giving official explanations, but this does not change the situation, because if we do not take appropriate measures now, we will miss out on the opportunity to respond to the United States’ actions in a timely manner, as it takes several months to several years to prepare for nuclear tests, depending on their type.
We are aware of statements made by a number of high-ranking American officials about the resumption of nuclear testing in the United States, and an analysis of these statements indicates that Washington is focused on preparing and conducting such tests.
V. Putin: As for the clarifications, many of my colleagues have received a telegram from our ambassador in Washington from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on this topic.
Sergey Evgenievich, do you have this?
S.Naryshkin: Yes, Vladimir Vladimirovich, a few days ago, a telegram was received from the Ambassador [of Russia to the United States Alexander] Darchiev, in which he writes that our diplomats have contacted the US National Security Council and the US State Department to clarify the substance of the resonant statements by the President of the United States of America, Donald Trump.
Our diplomatic colleagues asked what exactly was meant by the statement made the day before about the President of the United States instructing the Pentagon to immediately proceed with nuclear weapons tests, and they requested clarification from the National Security Council and the State Department. However, both the White House and the U.S. Department of State declined to provide a specific response, stating that they would report the information to their superiors and contact the Russian side if it was deemed necessary to provide clarification on the issues raised by the Russian diplomats.
V.Putin: Sergey Kuzhugetovich, I know that the Security Council has also dealt with this issue and has analysed what is happening in this regard in the ruling circles, as we say, of the United States itself. Do you have anything to explain on this matter?
S. Shoigu: Yes, Vladimir Vladimirovich, certainly.
Both before and after our ambassador’s address, various statements were made, primarily aimed at achieving the same goal. Following the President’s extreme statement on November 3, he gave a lengthy interview in which he repeatedly asserted that the United States would resume nuclear weapons testing, accusing both Russia and China of conducting such tests.
Following or preceding him, Secretary of Defense Hegseth has already reported that the Pentagon is promptly carrying out the American President’s order to resume nuclear weapons testing. Vice President Vance has further stated that sometimes the nuclear arsenal needs to be tested to ensure its proper functioning. This is echoed by Speaker of the House Johnson, who asserts that the resumption of testing is a demonstration of the necessary strength to maintain peace and deter Russia and China.
The head of the Ministry of Energy, Wright, who is actually responsible for nuclear testing in the United States, said that the testing would be of new systems, and it would be non-nuclear explosions. The head of the Senate Intelligence Committee, Cotton, in turn, noted that this was not about large-scale tests with “nuclear mushrooms” in the desert or the South Pacific, but rather about small controlled underground explosions, which are essentially such tests of nuclear weapons. This will allow the United States, I quote, to test both long-standing and promising nuclear weapons systems.
Based on the analysis of all these statements and all these declarations, we are not entirely clear about the further actions and steps taken by the United States of America regarding the testing or non-testing of nuclear weapons.
V. Putin: Alexander Vasilyevich, your service deals with the problems of countering foreign intelligence services on the territory of the Russian Federation, but there is also a part of your work related to the activities of special services abroad.
What is your opinion on this matter?
A. Bortnikov: Vladimir Vladimirovich, of course, the situation is very difficult. And I agree that this should be taken very seriously, but there are many questions that need to be answered in order to make a specific decision.
In this regard, Vladimir Vladimirovich, I ask you to give us time to thoroughly investigate this matter and prepare appropriate proposals.
V. Putin: All right.
I have marked some of your statements and opinions, and I would like to note that Russia has always strictly adhered to its obligations under the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty, and we have no plans to deviate from these obligations.
However, in my Address to the Federal Assembly in 2023, I stated that if the United States or other states participating in the relevant Treaty conduct such tests, Russia will also have to take appropriate retaliatory measures.
In this regard, I instruct the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, the special services, and the relevant civilian agencies to do everything possible to collect additional information on this issue, analyze it at the Security Council, and make coordinated proposals on the possible start of preparations for nuclear weapons testing.
Let’s proceed from this. I am waiting for your report.
Let’s move on to the main issue on today’s agenda. [My Emphasis]
The Outlaw US Empire was clearly stated as “the enemy,” which IMO is very important. Now what Mr. Volodin has as an answer to his Duma colleagues seems to be that preparations for testing are being made while a further investigation into the enemy’s intentions is being conducted. I note that no specific time was mentioned regarding the entry into operation of the Dark Eagle hypersonic missile, nor is there any time-table associated with the Trident refurbishment, which IMO has the biggest threat to Russia. IMO, it’s clear to me that Deep State actors were shocked by the appearance of the Poseidon and Burevestnik and have generated a knee-jerk response to their technological backwardness. That Golden Dome is to have some form of offensive capability is also a new bit of info about it. But as most of us know, those vaunted new Outlaw US Empire weapon systems face production delays and cost overruns that also contribute to the knee-jerk reaction: Oh my god, what can we do to show our claims to parity are valid? And IMO this reaction also spells the death of New Start when it fails to be renewed this February.
Oh, and Russia launched another Poseidon carrier a few days ago, the second of five planned, each of which carry six Poseidons and other weapons. Since one is already at sea, it can be assumed that it has a full complement of Poseidons. Plus given its propulsion mode, Poseidon doesn’t need a sub as a launch platform as it could be launched from a Russian port.
So, it’s clear the testing of Russia’s newest strategic weapon systems has generated a response within the Outlaw US Empire. How that response pans-out given the decrepit state of the Empire’s nuclear weapons forces and its woefully incompetent Military Industrial Complex remains to be seen. IMO, Russia’s actions are very reasonable and are what one ought to expect. I’m sure this topic will be revisited soon.
Lors d’une réunion des membres permanents du Conseil de sécurité, le ministre russe de la Défense, Andreï Biélooussov, a proposé
L’article Biélooussov propose à Poutine de lancer des préparatifs d’essais nucléaires est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le Pentagone procède régulièrement à des essais du missile Minuteman III, un missile à capacité nucléaire qui constitue l’épine dorsale
L’article Les États-Unis procèderont bientôt à un tir de missile Minuteman est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Le ministère russe de la Défense a créé un nouveau département pour l’amélioration de l’efficacité. Ce département optimisera et renforcera
L’article Le ministère russe de la Défense s’est doté d’un département d’amélioration de l’efficacité, selon TASS est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
China seamlessly took over with its 12th Beijing Xiangshan Forum, which is attended by representatives of over 100 countries, regions and international organizations.
From the Zapad drills, Smoothie mentioned the international representatives, who he said were there not only to observe but to educate and train themselves.
China’s military leaders don’t often speak out in public. This time they did. Following are the comments of China’s Minister of National Defense Dong Jun who called for efforts to provide strong support for global governance, and to work together to build a community with a shared future for humanity. Added are the comments of Senior Chinese military official Zhang Youxia, who called for efforts to make new, greater contributions to ensuring lasting world peace and universal security.
BEIJING, Sept. 17 (Xinhua) — China’s Minister of National Defense Dong Jun on Wednesday called for efforts to provide strong support for global governance, and to work together to build a community with a shared future for humanity.
Dong made the remarks during separate meetings with the defense chiefs of Malaysia, Cambodia, Myanmar, Namibia, Rwanda and Senegal, all of whom are in Beijing to attend the 12th Beijing Xiangshan Forum.
Extending a warm welcome to the defense chiefs, Dong said that this year’s forum is of historical significance and practical importance.
The Chinese military is ready to carry forward its long-standing friendships with all parties, enhance strategic communication, engage in higher-level security cooperation, and work collaboratively to respond to risks and challenges, he said.
During the meetings, the foreign defense ministers all expressed their willingness to strengthen military cooperation with China.
BEIJING, Sept. 17 (Xinhua) — Senior Chinese military official Zhang Youxia on Wednesday called for efforts to make new, greater contributions to ensuring lasting world peace and universal security.
Zhang, a member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee and vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC), made the remarks at a welcome banquet for the 12th Beijing Xiangshan Forum, which is attended by representatives of over 100 countries, regions and international organizations.
Zhang expressed hope that all participants would make good use of the forum as a platform to strengthen the bonds of friendship, undertake equal dialogue and consultation, hold discussions on major security issues and defend common interests.
The recent military parade marking the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War once again declared to the world that the strength of the Chinese military represents a growing force for global peace, he said.
The Chinese military is willing to continue working with all parties to deepen and expand military exchanges and cooperation across various fields and at multiple levels, address new threats and challenges by promoting greater unity and cooperation, and inject more stability into a turbulent world, he noted.
BEIJING, Sept. 18 (Xinhua) — Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun on Thursday pledged greater efforts to safeguard world peace at the 12th Beijing Xiangshan Forum.
“In a time full of challenges, cooperation is the best choice,” Dong said at the forum.
He said that the Chinese military is willing to work with all parties to uphold security with concrete actions, enhance military mutual trust, step up multilateral coordination, and promote high-quality and efficient cooperation while improving related mechanisms, so as to make greater contributions to safeguarding world peace and building a community with a shared future for humanity.
Noting that this year marks the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People’s War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War, Dong emphasized the need to uphold a correct view on World War II, safeguard historical justice, and foster the widest possible consensus.
The Chinese military stands ready to work with all parties to defend sovereign equality, uphold the post-war international order, bolster multilateralism, protect common interests, and jointly advance reforms to improve the global governance system, he said.
Under the theme “Upholding International Order and Promoting Peaceful Development,” the forum pools together more than 1,800 official representatives, scholars and observers from over 100 countries, regions and international organizations. It runs from Sept. 17 to 19.
The forum features four plenary sessions and eight parallel sessions. It also includes high-level dialogues, seminars for young military officers and scholars, and closed-door academic seminars, as well as interviews, special briefings, exhibitions, and visiting activities to enhance mutual learning between China and the rest of the world.
During the forum, participants focus on issues such as working together to uphold the victorious outcome of the World Anti-Fascist War and the post-war international order, as well as exploring effective ways to resolve conflicts.
From TeleSur
Over the last week, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro ordered the integration of the Bolivarian Militia into the existing “Peace Quadrants” in 5,336 community circuits across the country, aiming to guarantee peace, security, national unity, territorial integrity, and sovereignty.
As commander in chief of the Bolivarian National Armed Forces (FANB), he called for militia enlistment on Aug. 23–24 in military barracks, military units, public squares, and grassroots integral defense bases.
“We have broken, as Chavez did, in time, with military dependence on the Yankee empire and with the imperial theses of occupation armies that imposed coups d’etat and other forms of ideological, institutional and political domination in Latin America,” Maduro said.
Currently, about 5 million militiamen are active throughout Venezuela and involved in more than 600,000 patrols, the Bolivarian leader revealed, stressing that the militia is deployed at all territorial levels: states, municipalities, parishes and communes.
The Popular, Military and Police Fusion
Bolivarian Militia Commander, Maj. Gen. Javier Marcano Tabata, said the militia is the result of a “great strategic vision” because it trains under the tactical method of revolutionary resistance and under the philosophy of a people’s war.
“The Armed Forces are an instrument of peace, but we prepare for the military defense of our territory, sovereignty and self-determination. We follow the example of Bolivar. Venezuela does not want to conquer or go anywhere to seize anything. Venezuela wants respect,” said Brig. Gen. Joel Sanchez, vice rector of the Bolivarian Military University of Venezuela, during the International Forum ‘For a More Humane Humanity,’ held July 23–24, 2025.
“Venezuela wants to develop its social and political processes for the growth of society. As Bolivar said, we seek to give the greatest possible happiness to the people and all our friends,” he added.
“As our national anthem says, we are ‘United with ties.’ Following the policy of our Bolivarian government, we implement a popular, military and police fusion. United we are stronger. United we will win,” Sanchez stressed.
The Bolivarian National Militia
The militia is an organization with historic roots. During Spanish colonization, Carib tribes and other Indigenous peoples fiercely resisted the Spanish empire. Later, during the independence war, militiamen Manuel Gual and Jose Maria España became popular symbols.
In modern times, President Hugo Chavez transformed militias into auxiliary bodies of the Armed Forces in 2005, when he named Gen. Julio Quintero commander general of the National Reserve.
On April 13, 2009, the Defense Ministry renamed the General Command of the Military Reserve and National Mobilization as the General Command of the Bolivarian National Militia, and designated April 11 as its anniversary date, in commemoration of the events of the 2002 coup attempt.
Mission and Vision
The Bolivarian Militia’s mission is to register, organize, equip, train, and indoctrinate the people to contribute to national security at all levels of the Territorial Defense System.
Its vision is to be a modern, dynamic, flexible, and highly trained organization, integrated by the nation’s popular base, to maximize the operational readiness of the FANB.
Its objective is to incorporate the organized people into actions aimed at guaranteeing Venezuela’s comprehensive defense.
Structure
The militia depends on the Strategic Operational Command, which links it to the FANB’s commander in chief. Administratively, it reports to the Defense Ministry.
The General Command of the Bolivarian Militia is composed of two branches: “Territorial Militias,” defined by geographic units, and “Combat Corps,” made up of workers from specific institutions.
Militia units are classified into three types according to their objectives: General use: Mobile units designed to operate across a state or several municipalities; Territorial use: Units tasked with defending a city or significant targets within a defined area; and Local use: Units intended to defend specific economic and political targets in a locality, or to help maintain public order.
Venezuela also has the National Reserve, made up of citizens not in active military service, those who have completed military service, or those who voluntarily join reserve units.
Territorial Militia
Territorial Militia members routinely gather on weekends for military instruction. During the week, they engage in social promotion and other activities decided by command. In emergencies, they may be called to immediate mobilization.
The “Rural Militia” is a special group within the Territorial Militia, distinguished by its weapons and equipment. Each Territorial Militia has a staff composed of officers trained within the militia and reservists.
Combat Corps
Combat Corps are made up of workers from specific public or private institutions. They are organized not by residence but by affiliation with a given institution, and are responsible for ensuring operations continue with minimum personnel.
Such institution is administratively responsible for its Combat Corps, which operates under the General Command of the Bolivarian Militia.
Members receive instruction in infantry, communications, first aid, and coordination with security agencies. After medical evaluation, they may access specialized courses in parachuting, commando tactics, heliborne operations, or diving.
Equipment and Weapons
The Territorial Militia’s standard weapon is the Belgian FN FAL automatic assault rifle, which has been replaced in the regular army by the Russian- and locally manufactured AK-103.
Militias also use MPI KM-72 and MPI KMS-72 rifles, East German versions of the Soviet AKM. They also have other equipment such as machine guns, mortars, and 106 mm recoilless rifles.
The Rural or Peasant Militia carries machetes and Russian Mosin-Nagant M91/30 bolt-action rifles.
Rejecting U.S. Threats
The Bolivarian Militia issued a statement rejecting U.S. claims that seek to undermine President Maduro’s image and justify actions against the peace and tranquility of the Venezuelan people.
The militia’s commander general, Maj. Gen. Orlando Romero reiterated that his institution remains on permanent alert, in “perfect popular, military and police fusion,” and in absolute loyalty to Maduro as commander in chief of the FANB.
“Do not underestimate the children of Bolivar, Zamora and Chavez. The homeland grows in the face of adversity, and the Bolivarian Militia will always stand with the people to safeguard their peace and dignity,” he warned.
Avant la déclaration du président américain sur l’Ukraine, annoncée pour lundi, le dirigeant ukrainien Volodymyr Zelensky a proposé de prolonger
L’article Zelensky nomme Ioulia Svyrydenko premier ministre pour trouver des armes et de l’argent est apparu en premier sur STRATPOL.
Translator: Maxwell Scott
From Academician for Thinking People
China’s research and development spending in 2024 exceeded 3.6 trillion yuan ($496 billion), an increase of 8.3% from the previous year. Even more impressive is the intensity: in 2024, China’s R&D intensity reached 2.68% of GDP, compared with 2.58% in 2023.
Although the United States is still the leader in absolute spending, amounting to about $823 billion, taking into account economic efficiency, China’s R&D expenditures in 2023 exceeded the actual volume by 2.3 times, approaching 1.8 trillion US dollars. China’s public sector spending on research is already 1.6 times higher than that of the United States and continues to grow, while U.S. government spending is declining.
Numerous forecasts suggest that by 2030, China may surpass the United States in R&D spending by 30% or more, which will radically change the global innovation landscape. Beijing recently announced plans to increase government spending on science and technology by 10% in 2024.
China has been investing in science purposefully for a long time, and it is already yielding results. (https://t.me/worldmarketstudies/803). The country has become a leader in the number of highly cited publications. According to Clarivate, which runs the Web of Science, a platform that indexes leading peer—reviewed journals, scientific books, and research articles, 20 times more highly cited research papers were published in the United States in 2003 than in China. By 2013, this gap had narrowed: about four times as many top-level papers had been published in America. But the data for 2022 showed that China has already surpassed both the United States and the entire European Union (EU). (https://t.me/worldmarketstudies/803)
Thus, China is already a leader in the number of scientific publications on advanced materials by a wide margin. (https://t.me/worldmarketstudies/803)
Moreover, according to the Leiden Ranking, which compares the research contributions of 1,506 universities from 72 countries based on their publications from 2019 to 2022, eight Chinese universities or institutes are among the top ten global leaders.
And ten years ago, we had a ridiculous reform of the Russian Academy of Sciences, (https://scientificrussia.ru/articles/reforma-ili-unictozenie-kak-izmenilas-ran-za-gody-sobstvennoj-perestrojki-mk-vedeneeva-natala ), which led to nothing, creating another useless department of the FANO, which is not clear what it was doing. That’s all…
Note: FANO probably stands for Federal Administration of National Education.
The SCO can do what NATO cannot: defuse hostilities by providing ‘indivisible security’ to its Eurasian member states and across the multipolar world.
The defense ministers of all 10 members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) met last week in Qingdao, in China’s Shandong Province.
That, in itself, is the stuff drama is made of. Not only because it was a warm-up for the main SCO annual summit later this year in Tianjin with heads of state. But mostly because at the same table we had top BRICS members Russia, China, India and Iran, plus Pakistan; an Indian defense minister visiting China for the first time in five years and facing his Pakistani counterpart after their latest serious exchange of fire; and the Iranian minister closely consulting with Beijing immediately after the Israel–Iran ceasefire kabuki orchestrated by POTUS.
If that was not intriguing enough, the SCO meeting in Qingdao took place almost simultaneously with the NATO summit in The Hague.
Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Muhammad Asif cut to the chase, remarking how, unlike NATO, the SCO can “further peace in this region.” China’s Defense Minister Dong Jun stressed that the SCO plays the role of a “stabilizing anchor.”
The now-fragmented (thanks to US President Donald Trump) collective west has no idea what the SCO is all about. The SCO is a 25-year-old multilateral organization, founded a few months before 9/11, and consists of 10 full member states, two observer nations, and 14 dialogue partners: nearly half of the world’s population, from Eastern Europe (Hungary) all the way to the Indian Ocean and the Pacific Rim.
The SCO is not an Asian NATO – as in an offensive military alliance, and it doesn’t want to be; rather, in a quintessentially Chinese formulation, it prefers to affirm itself as a “giant ship of security.”
Initially conceptualized to fight against what the Chinese define as “three evils” – terrorism, separatism, and extremism – the SCO has seriously evolved into a mechanism of economic cooperation. Its latest round table at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum less than two weeks ago, for instance, was hosted by SCO Secretary-General Nurlan Yermekbayev, moderated by the ultra-experienced Sergey Katyrin, president of Russia’s Chamber of Commerce and Industry, and focused on the challenges of creating a common SCO logistics, financial and energy infrastructure.
This panel moderated by Alexey Gromyko, director of the Institute of Europe of the Russian Academy of Sciences and with the secretary of the Union State (Russia–Belarus) Sergey Glazyev as the main speaker, intertwined the SCO with the Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU), debating what is the role to be played by the post-Soviet space in the emerging multipolar economy.
So the SCO today promotes not only joint counterterrorism drills and intelligence sharing, but also economic cooperation fine-tuned to the cultural expectations of different civilizations. It’s a multipolar organism by definition.
Strategic partners Russia–China get on board
The heart of the matter in Qingdao had to evolve around what can be called the Primakov triangle – a nod to former Russian prime minister Yevgeny Primakov who envisioned a post-Soviet, autonomous Russian powerhouse in a new multipolar order. Today, we see that prescience in a “RIC” composed of Russia, Iran, and China, and not India: These three independent civilizational states are, at the moment, the top three actors advancing the complex Eurasia integration process.
Russian Defense Minister Andrey Belousov met privately with Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun, as well as with Iranian Defense Minister Aziz Nazirzadeh. At the SCO table, Belousov did not mince his words.
He said that US and Israeli attacks on Iran breach the UN Charter and international law; he confirmed that Moscow had proposed to broker a de-escalation; and he re-emphasized that “the role of international institutions designed to ensure global stability has fallen to an unacceptable level.”
Belousov also stressed all 10 Ministers’ top headache: that “terrorist ideologies” and “transit of militants” continue to spread from West Asia to Afghanistan.
On Ukraine, Belousov was quite predictable; Russia is steadily advancing, and Kiev resorts to “terror tactics” as it contemplates doom. None of the players at the SCO table would dream of contradicting him.
So, where was India amidst all this action? Well, refining its shopping list. Defense Minister Rajnath Singh personally asked Belousov for urgent upgrades to the Su-30MKI and much faster delivery of the remaining S-400 Triumf. These are part of a hefty $5.43 billion deal; three units have been delivered, and the next two will arrive by early 2026.
These S-400s were instrumental during Operation Sindoor – India’s mini-war against Pakistan.
Immediately after Trump’s Israel–Iran “ceasefire” kabuki, Tehran approached Beijing to examine buying options for a substantial batch (at least 40) of Chinese J-10CE fighters (the export version of the J-10C). These negotiations, by the way, have been going on for at least 10 years.
From an Iranian point of view, in terms of low cost and availability, the J-10C might be a better option than the Russian MiG-35s and Su-35Es (the export version of the Su-35S). But it’s important to remember that the Su-35 and the J-10C represent two different classes of jet fighters. Nothing prevents Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) from buying both – a case of interacting strategic partnerships.
Diplomatic sources confirm that Iran already has Su-35s. It is unclear how many, but certainly more than two. Russia is more than ready to sell up to two squadrons. Each squadron would have 12, so a total of 24 jets.
The consensus in Moscow is that Iran will step up simultaneous purchases of top-of-the-line Russian and Chinese fighter jets. And certainly air defense, as in Russian S-400s. The drama that unfolded in the past two weeks goes way beyond the artificial and superficial debate on whether Tehran lacked help from its close, strategic Russian–Chinese allies.
While the IRGC wants those fighter jets after the painful lessons of Israel’s 12-day war, it needs most of all to fine-tune its internal counter-intelligence and insurgency apparatus. A substantial amount of punishment suffered by Iran came from domestic saboteurs who launched drones, planted bombs, and surveyed high-value targets to be murdered.
We want war against Russia and China
Now compare all these Eurasian interactions in Qingdao with what happened in The Hague. Essentially, after being blackmailed by the appalling NATO Secretary-General Mark “Hello Daddy” Rutte, the European Union (EU) decided to allocate a whopping €650 billion (approximately $695.5 billion) of funds it doesn’t have to buy US weapons to declare war on Russia – and later China.
That brings us to the five percent kabuki. For every NATO member to spend five percent on offense, with their combined debt already exceeding 80 percent of GDP, they would need to nearly triple the €325 billion (approximately $381.2 billion) they spent on weapons in 2024, thus reaching nearly one trillion euros.
EU citizens with a brain can easily do the math: There will be a non-stop orgy of “cost-cutting,” tax hikes, and disappearing social benefits to finance the weaponizing. And stealing €300 billion (approximately $351.75) of Russian assets won’t help, because that won’t cover even a one-year increase.
All ministers at the SCO table in Qingdao knew that NATO was at war with Russia, and then China does not even qualify as a lousy Monty Python sketch. Russia already has 13,000 missiles and counting, and will soon be able to produce up to 300 hypersonic Oreshniks a year – more than enough to paralyze every single port and airport in Europe.
It was quite intriguing to observe Russian President Vladimir Putin’s immediate follow-up to what was discussed at the SCO in Qingdao. Cue to the Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU) forum in Minsk, at which Putin said, “thankfully, the situation in the Middle East is stabilizing. The longstanding conflict between Israel and Iran is, thanks to God’s grace, now behind us.”
Or, maybe not, if statements of Israeli officials are anything to go by. Still, for the Russian president, what always matters most is geoeconomics. At the forum, Putin highlighted the EAEU’s preferential agreements with Vietnam, Singapore, and Serbia, plus an imminent agreement with the UAE, saying: “Mutually beneficial relationships with countries across Eurasia, Africa, and Latin America are actively advancing.” Not to mention further cooperation with the BRICS, the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), ASEAN, the African Union, and, of course, the SCO.
And just as the ministers were leaving Qingdao, it was officially confirmed: Iran ditched the American GPS system for China’s Beidou. Talk about a sharp, bold move in the tech war chessboard. Next step: to snatch all those Su-35s and JC-10CEs.
Those whose calculus of a US/Iran war assumes overwhelming American air superiority will abruptly find the parameters of their equations altered.
By William Schryver at imetatronink.
How soon people have forgotten that, earlier this year, the US dispatched two carrier strike groups and a half-dozen B-2s (and other USAF assets) to disarm the Yemeni and open the selectively blockaded Red Sea.
They failed. Abysmally. For the second time!
First of all, in 2024, the USS Brave Sir Robin (CVN-69), USS Teddy Bear (CVN-71), and USS Fraidy Abe (CVN-72) gave it a try, only to eventually run away with their tail between their legs. The Brave Sir Robin left behind an F/A-18 at the bottom of the sea.
They were followed up by the USS Trembling Puppy (CVN-75) and the USS Timid Vinny (CVN-70). But they fared no better, with the Trembling Puppy losing two additional F/A-18 fighters over the course of its traumatic tour of the northern Red Sea.
And, not only did the Yemeni increase their score of MQ-9 Reaper drones to 23, they also targeted and credibly threatened both F-35s and B-2s, such that both platforms were summarily withdrawn from the fight for fear of one getting shot down.
Remember, Yemen is absolutely the bottom rung on the escalatory ladder of formidable adversaries.
Anyone who seriously believes the US Navy can operate in Iranian waters is just plain delusional.
Even if no ships got damaged or sunk, they’d still run out of munitions in a couple weeks or less — and they sure as hell won’t be able to reload in Bahrain.
As for an air campaign … well, I have yet to see any persuasive evidence that US/Israeli aircraft penetrated Iranian airspace to any appreciable extent in Act I of this war. Consequently, I am dubious that Iranian medium- and long-range air defenses were even used.
There is also zero credible evidence of top-shelf Iranian air defenses being destroyed.
From all indications, the Iranians were shooting down Israel’s big strike drones with short-range AD. And they shot down several.
The Israeli long-range air-launched ballistic missiles were apparently effective, but they simply don’t have very many of them, and as the war progressed into its second week, we saw fewer and fewer of them with each passing day.
In any case, when Act II of this war gets started (and it won’t be long), it will almost certainly entail penetration of Iranian airspace. And we will see not only the emergence of Iranian long-range AD, but I strongly suspect Russian and/or Chinese mobile air defense systems will suddenly appear on the battlefield.
Those whose calculus of a US/Iran war assumes overwhelming American air superiority will abruptly find the parameters of their equations altered.
The Russians and Chinese are not going to stand idly by and watch the US smash up their important southwest Asia ally in the rapidly emerging multipolar world.
And keep in mind: the US simply cannot logistically sustain a high-intensity air campaign for more than 2-3 weeks. And if even a dozen or so manned US aircraft are shot down, and a couple ships severely damaged … well, that will cause such overwhelming consternation in Washington that it might even result in a coup d’état, or something closely approximating one.
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