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Update Israel/Iran. The week of consequences

Par : amarynth

The week of consequences is upon us. The US strike on Iranian nuclear facilities was on Saturday night, and the consequences will be much greater than the strike. (For current details, take a look at AHH’s apocalypse thread: https://globalsouth.co/globalsouthforum/topic/chronicles-of-the-apocalypse-18-june-2025/#post-60228)

There are a number of consequences at play at this time.

Consequence 1:

Groups of serious investigators are questioning the made-for-TV strike. Oh, not the fact that a strike happened, but the story told about it: Trump’s bleatings of ‘obliteration’. It seems that it did not happen the way we were told it did. Various issues are under the looking glass, including the time scale, the type of strike (were MOABs even used?), and the seriousness of the strike.

⁉ This is the tall tale that is being spun:

125 total aircraft
7 B-2 bombers
dozens of fighter escorts and SEAD assets
14 GBU-57s
Dozens of HARMS missiles
30 Tomahawks

I have seen zero persuasive evidence of aircraft attacks.

SLCMs (Tomahawks), yes.https://t.co/aJiHoTcspP

— Will Schryver (@imetatronink) June 23, 2025

Now that imagery has emerged, I think my take from last night is vindicated – the damage seen thus far is not consistent with extremely large “bunker-buster” bombs but with lighter standoff weapons that caused only surface damage.

The Iranians also clearly had ample warning.⬇… pic.twitter.com/wknYTVYIi6

— Armchair Warlord (@ArmchairW) June 22, 2025

Israel did a second strike on Fordow over the past hours. And here I thought it was ‘obliterated’. A new revelation in this TV drama is that the entire production was a cover-up.

Consequence 2:

We move on to China, whose Ambassador to the UN struck right at the heart of the matter.

China strongly condemns the US military attack on the nuclear facilities in #Iran under the IAEA safeguards. This is a flagrant violation of the UN Charter and international law, and has dealt a devastating blow to the #NPT regime, which is a very important pillar of the… pic.twitter.com/0vfbsX4er2

— FU Cong 傅聪 (@ChinaAmbUN) June 22, 2025

Iran is harmed, but also harmed is the US credibility as a country and as a party to any international negotiations.

This is a simple message. You are a pariah state and non-agreement capable. Trump (and his direct administration) are still playing their game, with Vance stating that they are not interested in regime change, while Trump tweets that regime change is a possibility.

A pariah state is a state, country, or nation considered to be an outcast in the international community.

I’ve criticised China that is or was still doing trade with Israel. That has taken a knock, and China has removed its workers from Israel. There will be no more building in the occupied territories in Israel by Chinese workers. They’re leaving and gone.

Consequence 3:

This is still unfolding, and we will have more information later in the day. Vladimir Putin had a meeting at the Kremlin with the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Abbas Araghchi. Peskov states: “It all depends on what exactly our Iranian partners propose. Today, there will be diplomatic engagements with Iran’s Foreign Ministry, where — in light of the recent dramatic escalation — both sides will exchange views. The Iranian side will have the opportunity to present their assessment of the situation,” Peskov stated.

Russia is open to requests for assistance from Iran. Countries are standing ready to assist. What Iran asks for, it will receive. This war will then transform into a large part of the world working against the hegemon, both kinetically and economically. This needs to roll out, and it will during the rest of the week. It will be fast.

Consequence 4:

Israel & the U.S. are backing down with serious rifts now visible in Trump’s base.

The region is sitting on a ticking time bomb. Closing or partially closing the Strait of Hormuz or striking U.S. bases would end up in a global economic crisis.

Nobody is waiting for Iran to declare a closure, and Oil tankers are turning back, rerouting, and not sailing through the Strait of Hormuz. The Houthis are on duty. Markets are jittery.

The U.S. and Israel are desperately trying to de-escalate. Both are signaling they want out of this confrontation, but quietly.

The night before the US strikes on Iran, I was speaking with AHH and said: “Trump may also do a very limited strike just to be able to declare victory.” This indeed is the theater that is unfolding. “Let us declare victory loudly, and we will not attack you any longer.” What is new? This is not diplomacy but fear, as Iran’s war was beyond what the hegemon expected. Unfortunately, they did not accept that Iran is a big country that coalesced around their leadership and is defending itself while attriting and weakening Israel—those Israelis who can are running away. Iran’s attrition is sufficient to keep the Israelis in bunkers or similar.

According to Yedioth Ahronoth, Zionist Israel is ready to end the war within days, and would immediately accept a ceasefire if the initiative came from Tehran.

The illusion of security inside the occupied territories is shattered. For Israel, the ongoing war is costing billions. There is no way they can achieve their goals, as the weekend’s strike theater optics have shown us. We are fortunate that Iran removed its enriched uranium and critical assets before the strike. We all knew it was coming.

It was a hollow strike that brought some self-serving press to Netanyahu and Trump.

Iran: Protected its nuclear facilties, hit Zionist Israel hard so hard that colonial settlers are either killing one another at the doorsteps of their bomb shelters or stepping on one another as they flee on board the ships escorting them away from Palestine, Iran also united its population, and is now stronger politically than it has been in decades.

Trump is delusional if he thinks that negotiations of any worth can resume from a “position of strength”! Oh, surely there will be negotiations, as Iran is a significant player on the world stage.  It is that the strength is moving to the Iranian side.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said, “We are not seeking war with Iran.” And he let go with this classic: We are not at war with Iran, we are at war with their nuclear program. “We hit you, we’re done. Now let’s talk.”

Talking will now happen with most of the world at Iran’s back. Cautiously, we can consider that the hegemon struck three holes into itself: One in the head, one in the heart, and one in the gonads.

The resistance lives.

Consequence 5:

The U.S. State Department has just released a worldwide caution to Americans about whether they should travel outside the United States.    You are now Pariah.

India.ca tells Americans what to do.

What can you, as Americans, do? About the problem that is America, through and through? In a perversion of the old saying, do onto others as you would have done unto you, go fuck yourself, the way that you fucked others too.

Take the bitter medicine you prescribe for every other country; why is it proscribed for you? Change your own regime, as you always plot and scheme, and casually discuss in your magazines. If regime change is good for every place you gander, bring it home to the goose. To start with, sabotage, strike, and direct direct action to turn the screws. Organize and militarize as is your Second Amendment right to. Tell them you’re cosplaying and form a militia with your crew. You don’t have to do anything, but be ready to. There’s lots of stuff you can do. Indeed, under your own founding fables, it’s your duty to.

As your declaration of inter-white Independence goes, “When a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government.” Even a hypocrite is right twice a day, now the bell tolls for you. Not for creating the United States out of stolen land, but for dissolving it before it nukes the earth. Again. Again again.

Americans ask me what they can do, and I’m telling you. Take your own advice, what you tell other populations to do, and we’ll support you. Every accusation is a confession from Empire, and every command abroad should be run as root, on your own localhost. So overthrow your own government, change your own regime, and toss us some flowers when you’re through.

It is harsh, but this is a good representation of where you stand in the eyes of others.  Break AIPAC’s back.  You fall for the lies each time you have an election.  Refuse to vote in mass if an honest and reliable person does not stand for election.   Support Massie in Kentucky in massive numbers.  He does not take AIPAC money, which is, in reality, your taxes.   Break the elections.  Create a mass refusal to pay taxes if your country continues to deceive and kill others. Bring your soldiers back from all the lily pads that you support throughout the world.  Get a counter statement to the big dick “Peace through Strenth” statement and run with it.  Withstand your government, as they lied to you.  Refuse for your government to go to any place in the rest of the world.  You are now a pariah, and this is the optics of your consequences.  This is but the start.

Two short notes:

1. If you need a good summary of what happened, here is one:  https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/the-us-bombing-of-iranian-nuclear?r=25fc37

2. Objectives:  The US wants to raid the enriched material.  They want it.  For this reason, no matter what anyone says, the regime change operation continues.

Reza Pahlavi Demands Regime Overthrow in Iran

Exiled proboscis monkey Reza Pahlavi, son of the deposed Shah, publicly called for the downfall of Iran’s leadership during a press conference in Paris.

“I have a direct message to Ali Khamenei: Step down,” Pahlavi declared, framing his appeal as a final ultimatum to the Iranian Supreme Leader.

He added, “And if you do, you will receive a fair trial and due process of law.”

Naturally, he delivered the message in English—after all, most of his remaining supporters are comfortably settled in Los Angeles, not Tehran.

Israel / Iran war update

Par : amarynth

ONE Iranian misisle struck the Negev Advanced Technologies Park in Be’er Sheev and incinerated military intel Unit 8200. Israel used the campus to operate C4i and the Cyber Defense Directorate.

🚨 Fire erupts and extensive damage reported after Iranian strike in Beersheba – SNN https://t.co/bRHx11vubF pic.twitter.com/y9X6qooElW

— Sputnik (@SputnikInt) June 20, 2025

Israel shoots at hospitals: At least five hospitals in Iran have been damaged following Israeli strikes in the vicinity, but there have been no direct hits, head of the Iranian Red Crescent Society Pir Hossein Kolivand says.

Early today Iran struck Israel

Iran’s IRGC:

🔺 The seventeenth wave of the “True Promise 3” operations has been carried out across the occupied territories against a range of targets, including military centers, defense industries, command and control centers, companies supporting the military operations of the regime, and air bases in Nevatim and Hatzerim.

🔺These centers have been part of the axis of evil against the oppressed people of Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen, and also in the imposed war against the Islamic Republic of Iran since the beginning of the Al-Aqsa Storm.

🔺The extensive fire and precise strikes in the cities of Tel Aviv, Haifa, and Be’er Sheva indicate that the offensive capability of ballistic missiles is on the rise until the complete punishment of the criminal gang of the regime.

The hitlist: Haifa, Tel Aviv, Golan, Beershaba and Eilat

The Israeli Ministry of Interior building – Knesset office was targeted in retaliation for the attack on the Internal Security Forces building in Tehran. Tit for tat.

🚨🇮🇷💥 IRANIAN MISSILES HIT ISRAEL’S HAIFA

Over 20 ballistic missiles were launched by Iran toward Israel in its latest wave of retaliatory strikes. pic.twitter.com/0m7V6FZaxy

— Sputnik (@SputnikInt) June 20, 2025

Iran’s FM Araghchi has just survived an assassination attempt and this is what he said in his meeting with the E3 Foreign Ministers.
NO negotiations while Israel continues attacks
Slams the silence on Israel’s ‘HEINOUS attacks’ and says ‘Our nuclear program is peaceful’.

Statement by Iran FM Seyed Abbas Araghchi after discussions with the foreign ministers of three European countries and EU’s foreign policy chief:

Today, we met and discussed with the foreign ministers of the UK, France, Germany, and the High Representative of the European Union in Geneva.

1. In this meeting, the serious concern of the Islamic Republic of Iran regarding the inaction of the three countries in condemning the aggressive actions of the Zionist regime was expressed, and it was emphasized that the Islamic Republic of Iran will continue to exercise its legitimate right to self-defense against this regime with the aim of stopping the aggression and preventing its recurrence in a serious and decisive manner.

2. It was also emphasized that Iran’s nuclear program is peaceful and under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Therefore, an attack on Iran’s peaceful nuclear facilities is considered a major crime and a severe violation of peremptory norms and international law. In this context, serious concern and criticism were expressed regarding the failure of the three countries and the European Union to condemn these attacks.

3. If the aggression stops and the aggressor is held accountable for its committed crimes, Iran is ready to consider diplomacy. In this regard, I clearly and transparently stated that Iran’s defensive capabilities are non-negotiable.

4. We welcome and support the continuation of dialogue with the three European countries and the European Union, and we express our readiness for another meeting in the near future.

Another small missile swarm into Israel early morning. One strike in Tel Aviv.

Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, per NBC news:

‘We have reached the conclusion that American ‘diplomacy’ was nothing more than a cover for Israel’s evil scheme.

If the United States wants to even hope of resuming diplomacy with Iran, it must first order Israel to cease its attacks.’

Fattah enters the conversation

Par : amarynth

Who Wins? A SINGLE 🇮🇷 missile vs. 14 🇮🇱 missile interceptors

Insane 🇮🇱 interceptor depletion:

Fattah-1?pic.twitter.com/vF3qotH0Iu

— Patarames (@Pataramesh) June 18, 2025

Further information. I think Russia and the RoW for once pressurized this organization and its leaders more than what the empire could do. Of course the US/Iran war has nothing to do with Iran building a nuclear bomb. The objective is unvarnished regime change in order to try and own the region. And this statement might have nothing to do with pressures. It may be that Grossi’s belated statement was deliberately delayed for Israel to excute their first attack on Iran. It may also be that this statement may be used by Trump to get out of the very hot water that he is in. He has a fractured base, it looks like he has a fractured top layer of decisionmaking, and action is being taken on the level of the congress to remove his ability to make war. He will do it anyway, without formally declaring or making a statement.

Moreover, the Israeli Air Defensive batteries, all seven layers of it, is malfunctioning. It does not stay up even with the Iranian relatively small missile salvos that we saw in the past 24 hours – anything from 3 to thirty. It is said that Israel is running out of missiles for the air defense systems, but I cannot confirm that.

After the Israeli full spectrum lockdown of information, we do not get sufficient visual evidence (specifically missile impacts) of this war.

From Tasnim News, Iran, and via Vanessa Beeley, this is the state of Israel:

Israel’s economy on the brink of structural collapse

Food and fuel crisis in the occupied territories

🔹 Following Iran’s massive missile attack on the occupied territories, the Israeli economy has faced an unprecedented crisis, from the closure of refineries and ports to the paralysis of airports and infrastructure.

🔹 Experts believe that continuing this trend will push the Israeli economy into a stage of structural collapse.

🔹 The Haifa Refinery, Israel’s largest oil refinery with a capacity of 200,000 barrels, was among the targets and has been taken out of production.

🔹 The destruction of three oil terminals in the ports of Haifa, Ashkelon, and Eilat, along with the shutdown of two major refineries, has effectively disabled Israel’s energy backbone.

🔹 Port activity has reached zero, airports have been closed, and all export and import logistics systems are in lockdown. In this situation, even food and fuel imports are facing a crisis.

@TasnimNews

The Ayatollah Khamenei just made a major speech.  We will post it once available.

Ayatollah Khamenei: ‘War will be met with war, bombing with bombing, and strike with strike. Iran will not submit to any demands or dictates.’

Zion pinned, being Demilitarized

Par : AHH

Judge Nap interviews Alastair Crooke : Why Israel is to Blame

⭕ IRGC Statement on the Eighth Wave of Operation True Promise 3

Public Relations of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC):

  • To the noble Iranian nation, a new wave of air-to-air missile attacks by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has just begun, more powerful and destructive than before.
  • In this operation, the command and control systems of the brutal Zionist regime, using modern methods and leveraging the capabilities of information equipment enhanced by the martyrs Bagheri, Salami, Hajizadeh, and other martyrs of the IRGC Aerospace Force, were able to disrupt the enemy’s multi-layered defense systems, such that the regime’s defense systems targeted each other.
  • The initiatives and capabilities employed in this operation, despite comprehensive support from the United States and Western powers and the possession of the latest and most advanced defense technology, led to the maximum number of missile strikes on targets in the occupied territories.
  • Today, we are witnessing the fulfillment of the sincere promises of Martyrs Baqeri, Salami, and Hajizadeh, who repeatedly declared that Operation Sadiq 3 and future operations would be more destructive, more precise, and more devastating than previous operations.
  • This operation also demonstrated that the calculations and assessments of the aggressive Zionist enemy and the Americans against Islamic Iran were completely wrong, and now we must witness the collapse of the occupying Zionist regime.
  • Supporters of this criminal regime must also know that effective, targeted, and more destructive operations against the vital targets of this false regime will continue until its complete destruction.

Victory comes only from God, the Almighty, the All-Wise.

Public Relations of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

A cargo plane from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport flies southwest over eastern Turkmenistan, descending as it approaches Iranian airspace. 15.06.2025

❌